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The Swamp

  • #94,961
  • Jan 31, 2022 1:52pm Jan 31, 2022 1:52pm
1.125 was the last time support. now probable resistance at first
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #94,962
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:07pm Jan 31, 2022 2:07pm
maybe some retrace 15m
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,963
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:10pm Jan 31, 2022 2:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
maybe some retrace 15m {image}
closing 1h above 1224 may still be bullish. some light support may be there. 1226 is the mid point to 1331.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,964
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:13pm Jan 31, 2022 2:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} closing 1h above 1224 may still be bullish. some light support may be there. 1226 is the mid point to 1331.
lighter support at 1229. If bears cant close below it. they better go home. The odds of seeing 1302 and 1331 are well out of average range. The last day of the month makes it possible to close 1332
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,965
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:21pm Jan 31, 2022 2:21pm
A past s/r 1239.8...+1240 may still be bullish. Bears need it to start with closes. past support at 1239. present support at 1229.. price is above those.. Not a bearish sign.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,966
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:27pm Jan 31, 2022 2:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
A past s/r 1239.8...+1240 may still be bullish. Bears need it to start with closes. past support at 1239. present support at 1229.. price is above those.. Not a bearish sign. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,967
  • Jan 31, 2022 2:50pm Jan 31, 2022 2:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
maybe some retrace 15m {image}
if it continues to close a 1h above 1229 it will probably go higher. Even stronger above 1240 close. see chart levels

1223 is second support.

The trend is bearish, but today it was/is bullish. Adr is spent. The last day of the month.. Who wins?

Also st pa above 1197 93 84 may be bullish. Bears need to close some hs below 1184 or it can bounce like 1147 did. Norm atm is 1184 or 1302
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  • #94,968
  • Jan 31, 2022 3:02pm Jan 31, 2022 3:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it continues to close a 1h above 1229 it will probably go higher. Even stronger above 1240 close. see chart levels 1223 is second support. The trend is bearish, but today it was/is bullish. Adr is spent. The last day of the month.. Who wins? Also st pa above 1197 93 84 may be bullish. Bears need to close some hs below 1184 or it can bounce like 1147 did. Norm atm is 1184 or 1302 {image}
if you have your plan for 1302. than 1229 or the others may be a buy.

If it going back to 1331+ to close the month.. We should have that answer within 8 hs.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,969
  • Jan 31, 2022 3:33pm Jan 31, 2022 3:33pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat all my trades ..done for the day..
A large bathtub is a must.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,970
  • Jan 31, 2022 3:46pm Jan 31, 2022 3:46pm
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  • #94,971
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:05pm Jan 31, 2022 5:05pm
Bulls held the month uptrend stop at NY close today.....new month starts.... now wait to see bears can hold H4 downtrend stop at H4 close
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  • #94,972
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:33pm Jan 31, 2022 5:33pm
Quoting Boulder
Bulls held the month uptrend stop at NY close today.....new month starts.... now wait to see bears can hold H4 downtrend stop at H4 close {image}
that's what I was afraid of.. The chances for 1302 1331 and 1402 are better now than last Friday. Pa closed above 1208 and 1147.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,973
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:02pm Jan 31, 2022 6:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that's what I was afraid of.. The chances for 1302 1331 and 1402 are better now than last Friday. Pa closed above 1208 and 1147.
Pa may find support 1184 ish.. The chances of support here have grown some. I would trust that month close more. If it holds above +1164 for the 11:59:59 est close. The odds for 1302 have increased. 1184 or 1302 is next up.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,974
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:55pm Jan 31, 2022 8:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it continues to close a 1h above 1229 it will probably go higher. Even stronger above 1240 close. see chart levels 1223 is second support. The trend is bearish, but today it was/is bullish. Adr is spent. The last day of the month.. Who wins? Also st pa above 1197 93 84 may be bullish. Bears need to close some hs below 1184 or it can bounce like 1147 did. Norm atm is 1184 or 1302 {image}
pa went below 1229,, it couldn't close below 1223. So if it closes above 1229 again. It may be bullish. Maybe test the high are more.
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  • #94,975
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:02pm Jan 31, 2022 9:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pure 1331 path from low. It did stop once exactly at the 25% mark. {image}
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ecb hopfully hits some R 1302/1402 to short. If by some freak in pa it closes today above 1331.. Than a lot of people will be toast. 1226 is the 1/2 way point to 1331. I posted 1323 and 1343 were affiliated with 1123. The real number may be 1331. So if its repealed at 1226, you know why.. After closing below 1123 it may not return. But as long as above 1123 w/o a month close below. It has a chance to return to 1331. Or to 1/2 way (1226). If you drop a ball on the floor. It bounces. {image}
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  • #94,976
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:09pm Jan 31, 2022 9:09pm
I dont think pa can bounce 100 pips, in the next 2 hs. I've been fooled before.

So since a 1331 close is unlikely. We may see a sideways range before March. Maybe contained within 1120 and 1331 area. Missed because bears may not get a close below 1208 or 1164. But below 1331 and 1369. The center range may be 1226..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,977
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:20pm Jan 31, 2022 9:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
I dont think pa can bounce 100 pips, in the next 2 hs. I've been fooled before. So since a 1331 close is unlikely. We may see a sideways range before March. Maybe contained within 1120 and 1331 area. Missed because bears may not get a close below 1208 or 1164. But below 1331 and 1369. The center range may be 1226..
Bulls got a little weaker with a close below 1331, along with the new LL. 116x and 1208 look like they wont get a close below. That indicates bears are not ready to run. I think sideways has a good shot. For a while. The next month close in 4 weeks.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,978
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:34pm Jan 31, 2022 9:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bulls got a little weaker with a close below 1331, along with the new LL. 116x and 1208 look like they wont get a close below. That indicates bears are not ready to run. I think sideways has a good shot. For a while. The next month close in 4 weeks.
I better shut up.. there is still a little time left to me.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,979
  • Feb 1, 2022 12:40am Feb 1, 2022 12:40am
this is why GBP and EUR are going up
much expectation imo for BOE and ECB

Thursday
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,980
  • Feb 1, 2022 2:07am Feb 1, 2022 2:07am
Quoting DMA Trader
this is why GBP and EUR are going up much expectation imo for BOE and ECB Thursday {image}
It's going to be thunder and lightening. The MMs must be smiling and waiting for thr slaughter. I can imagine the smirk on their faces now. Hahahahaha
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