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The Swamp

  • #94,941
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:33am Jan 31, 2022 9:33am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} bulls held M30 1152 after tests.. reversed M5 and M15.. on its way to make day range high 1206 {image}
adr reached.. I shorted 1206
  • #94,942
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:33am Jan 31, 2022 9:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The prey comes to the grass to eat. The lion waits for the prey to get closer. A lion dont waste energy chasing gazelles all over the place. He lets the gazelles get closer. That increases the chance of being successful. Sure he does not eat each day. But the overall odds increase, that he will survive. {image}
Shorting here may be wrong. But its cheaper. I closed longs. And will wait to see if it gives some retrace. before after.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,943
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:40am Jan 31, 2022 9:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} to get to 1302 it may look something like this. Between these are some possible buys 1172 and others in that above post. Buys are against the main trend. So dont be a hero. Buy support only. Don't risk much. {image}
cancels 1172 for now.. From the hip, 116x may be a possible L later. That pink upper area. X in above chart
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,944
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:46am Jan 31, 2022 9:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Shorting here may be wrong. But its cheaper. I closed longs. And will wait to see if it gives some retrace. before after. {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,945
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:58am Jan 31, 2022 9:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Shorting here may be wrong. But its cheaper. I closed longs. And will wait to see if it gives some retrace. before after. {image} {image}
I am waiting for tomorrow the high to 1123 if half way is not met then the odds are really good..
  • #94,946
  • Jan 31, 2022 10:07am Jan 31, 2022 10:07am
Not the best day for this post. The trend is down, its the last day of the month. On a normal day a possible L may develop 1164/69. Subject to adjustment. 1169 may attract. Either 1169 or 1302 will be *next. Accuracy will be *100%
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,947
  • Jan 31, 2022 10:10am Jan 31, 2022 10:10am
Quoting gatorinla
nothing fits exactly right. But this along with those others and 1208 are fit close in this fingerprint. 1323 *1331 1342 sequence with 1123, with 1908.. 1208 area may be st toppy using this 1216 too. After, the Norm at 1302 may pull within the 23.6 boundary at 1308. All numbers are less than 8 pips apart. So a drop to 1164 area like earlier posted may become true. pink/blue divide box. {image}
before and after.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,948
  • Jan 31, 2022 10:23am Jan 31, 2022 10:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image} {image}
changed tp to 1170.. just above 1169. possible support 1169 area. st pa is bullish as long as it continues to close above 1169.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,949
  • Jan 31, 2022 10:32am Jan 31, 2022 10:32am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} adr reached.. I shorted 1206
I flat all my trades ..done for the day..
  • #94,950
  • Jan 31, 2022 10:35am Jan 31, 2022 10:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat all my shorts ..done for the day..
I have a short left. I may regret tp. Its not too big to hold if it runs up to 1302. But i will regret not closing it with profit. I will take a chance with trend down, and adr. I have a decent Long closed, in the bank.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,951
  • Jan 31, 2022 10:55am Jan 31, 2022 10:55am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat all my trades ..done for the day..
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,952
  • Jan 31, 2022 11:01am Jan 31, 2022 11:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} changed tp to 1170.. just above 1169. possible support 1169 area. st pa is bullish as long as it continues to close above 1169. {image}
on a 5 min pa is bullish as long as above 1208.. 1h closed above 1208
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,953
  • Jan 31, 2022 11:17am Jan 31, 2022 11:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have a short left. I may regret tp. Its not too big to hold if it runs up to 1302. But i will regret not closing it with profit. I will take a chance with trend down, and adr. I have a decent Long closed, in the bank.
hard to see above 1.13 but anything can happen
bot expectation of traders for ECB and BOE - is new rate hiker are coming
i think they are wrong on EUR/USD
not sure what to say about GU

FED and ECB didn't do anything so far.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,954
  • Jan 31, 2022 11:20am Jan 31, 2022 11:20am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} hard to see above 1.13 but anything can happen bot expectation of traders for ECB and BOE - is new rate hiker are coming i think they are wrong on EUR/USD not sure what to say about GU FED and ECB didn't do anything so far.
Thinking is detrimental sometimes. What's it doing. Its closing an h above 1208.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,955
  • Jan 31, 2022 11:21am Jan 31, 2022 11:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Thinking is detrimental sometimes. What's it doing. Its closing an h above 1208.
yup nothing for me until it goes back bewlo 1.12
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,956
  • Jan 31, 2022 11:23am Jan 31, 2022 11:23am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yup nothing for me until it goes back bewlo 1.12
I say collect small shorts on the rise.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,957
  • Jan 31, 2022 11:29am Jan 31, 2022 11:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I say collect small shorts on the rise.
i was thinking of it but don't know how much raise can happen if we really manage to stay above 1.12 next level is 1.128 for me
1.138 not really imposible than down.

1..18 area support for longs
gonna buy there if it can stay probably if it goes up
support in 1.12 long to 1.128/1.13

but imo it's just a stupid Move.

but this is also what COT sugest and bets on ECB
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,958
  • Edited 12:12pm Jan 31, 2022 11:53am | Edited 12:12pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i was thinking of it but don't know how much raise can happen if we really manage to stay above 1.12 next level is 1.128 for me 1.138 not really imposible than down. 1..18 area support for longs gonna buy there if it can stay probably if it goes up support in 1.12 long to 1.128/1.13 but imo it's just a stupid Move. but this is also what COT sugest and bets on ECB
ecb hopfully hits some R 1302/1402 to short. If by some freak in pa it closes today above 1331.. Than a lot of people will be toast. 1226 is the 1/2 way point to 1331.

I posted 1323 and 1343 were affiliated with 1123. The real number may be 1331. So if its repealed at 1226, you know why.. After closing below 1123 it may not return. But as long as above 1123 w/o a month close below. It has a chance to return to 1331. Or to 1/2 way (1226). If you drop a ball on the floor. It bounces.
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  • #94,959
  • Jan 31, 2022 12:21pm Jan 31, 2022 12:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ecb hopfully hits some R 1302/1402 to short. If by some freak in pa it closes today above 1331.. Than a lot of people will be toast. 1226 is the 1/2 way point to 1331. I posted 1323 and 1343 were affiliated with 1123. The real number may be 1331. So if its repealed at 1226, you know why.. After closing below 1123 it may not return. But as long as above 1123 w/o a month close below. It has a chance to return to 1331. Or to 1/2 way (1226). If you drop a ball on the floor. It bounces. {image}
pure 1331 path from low. It did stop once exactly at the 25% mark.
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  • #94,960
  • Jan 31, 2022 12:59pm Jan 31, 2022 12:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the month closed 1 min ago to me.. being above 1323 makes me think its bearish because its below 1447. But its not so bearish enough to have held 1323. It has some chance to go back to 1447.. {image}
This has bothered me since the November close. Than again it closed above 1331 in Dec. Will it do it again today. The big boys cot seem to think like me. About this number needing a month close below. Since the year closed above it.

PA was below 1331 just before the month closed. But always made a run to close above 1331 to end the month.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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