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The Swamp

  • #94,921
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:36am Jan 31, 2022 6:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} an empty net has no risk. Don't feel bad. Lions have done this for countless millions of years. The species has survived.
The prey comes to the grass to eat. The lion waits for the prey to get closer. A lion dont waste energy chasing gazelles all over the place. He lets the gazelles get closer. That increases the chance of being successful. Sure he does not eat each day. But the overall odds increase, that he will survive.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,922
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:42am Jan 31, 2022 6:42am
FED dot plot
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,923
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:46am Jan 31, 2022 6:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 30 rejected. Bears attack again. {image}
15m near 1147/
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,924
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:52am Jan 31, 2022 6:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15m near 1147/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_qV-g1jZow&t=21s {image}
Closing above 1151.9may be a bullish sign,,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,925
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:24am Jan 31, 2022 7:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Closing above 1151.9may be a bullish sign,, {image}
The larger trend is down. That close above 1151.9 st slightly adds to a bounce chance.. The 1h is just a tiny amount of time comparably to the trend being down. Even so, it may not be a sign to short higher. Waiting may get you nothing. Shorting early may get you drawdown. One of these choices is free. The other has a chance to make money, or lose money earlier.

Some gamble is involved with the month and 1147. Closing below 1147 greatly enhances bears power. Even so, pa still may bounce before falling. Where that rise will go I dont think anyone knows. A close below 1147 may limit any rise. The first decent R to me is 1208. If Friday's low held, 1302 would have a shot. All the month bears may need is -1147. Pa is already near here. Bears dont need to do much until this month closes. Bears can coast. Bulls need to probably take 1208. Bulls are probably done. Because even if +1208 happens. 1331 is even less likely. So even if bulls prevent a -1147 close. Any bounce may be right back here to start closing below 1147. Eventually bears should make LL. Selling the bounces look to me, to be the best trades.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,926
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:25am Jan 31, 2022 7:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The prey comes to the grass to eat. The lion waits for the prey to get closer. A lion dont waste energy chasing gazelles all over the place. He lets the gazelles get closer. That increases the chance of being successful. Sure he does not eat each day. But the overall odds increase, that he will survive. {image}
The lion eat about once every 14 days...after that, he sleep (stay sideline) for about 7 days, and another about 7 days he hunt (do trading) again till eat again (take the profit)...on the other side, the wolf (of Wall Street) hunt every single day, he hunt more than he can eat...
I am who I am
  • #94,927
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:29am Jan 31, 2022 7:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The larger trend is down. That close above 1151.9 st slightly adds to a bounce chance.. The 1h is just a tiny amount of time comparably to the trend being down. Even so, it may not be a sign to short higher. Waiting may get you nothing. Shorting early may get you drawdown. One of these choices is free. The other has a chance to make money, or lose money earlier. Some gamble is involved with the month and 1147. Closing below 1147 greatly enhances bears power. Even so, pa still may bounce before falling. Where that rise will go I dont think...
this tiny level has a little power. even the largest bear cant go lower w/o 1151.9. So far, the 1h has closed above it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,928
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:31am Jan 31, 2022 7:31am
Quoting imwim
{quote} The lion eat about once every 14 days...after that, he sleep (stay sideline) for about 7 days, and another about 7 days he hunt (do trading) again till eat again (take the profit)...on the other side, the wolf (of Wall Street) hunt every single day, he hunt more than he can eat...
Oh yeah, google how many times a lion has sex a day. Why do you think he is King? He eats when hungry and has sex all day. Thats who man really is,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,929
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:40am Jan 31, 2022 7:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} light support 1151.9.. Closes below 1151.9, make it light R. But it may be stuck between 1147 and 1152. the 12 h closed at 1174. So pa may bounce in the 1151.9,47 area.
The fox or wolf can have their places to scalp too. A lion can hunt these too. The point being, wait for the tall grass. Don't chase your prey. Let it come to you. Over several pairs, you can eat all day. If one is not enough. But you will burn out chasing prey. You will end up maggot shit.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,930
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:41am Jan 31, 2022 7:41am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Today is the last day month end rebalancing, be careful of choppy price action./... month range low 1129, day range low 1112 and day range high 1206
indeed...
  • #94,931
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:47am Jan 31, 2022 7:47am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Today is the last day month end rebalancing, be careful of choppy price action./... month range low 1129, day range low 1112 and day range high 1206
bulls held M30 1152 after tests.. reversed M5 and M15.. on its way to make day range high 1206
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  • #94,932
  • Jan 31, 2022 7:47am Jan 31, 2022 7:47am
Quoting q_import
{quote} 1124 lions are sad
opportunity knocked twice at 1147. Friday holding. Then again today. I know 1208/1211 may be R.. But normal 1302 has its shot also. I do think even with a close above 1208, pa will make a LL. But it may have to wait for a new month. It may go back to 1331. 1402 is even possible and it still drop after. I just cant say it will. I do think cot has a chance to rise eu. I think pa is very bearish, even if pa did make it back to 1331 1369 or 1402. I dont think the month can close above 1331, that would change things if it did. If it does close above 1208. Then of course 1331 has a shot as R. So does 1369 or 1402 and 1302.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,933
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:02am Jan 31, 2022 8:02am
Price now above 1h .... will see how h4 close
4 h until 6h close
trading above 1.12 shorts forbidden .
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,934
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:02am Jan 31, 2022 8:02am
Quoting q_import
{quote} 1124 lions are sad
I got stuck in travel Friday.. I would have posted it to the pip if i was at my pc.. Let me find the exact number that goes with 1323 and 1343..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,935
  • Edited 8:23am Jan 31, 2022 8:08am | Edited 8:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I got stuck in travel Friday.. I would have posted it to the pip if i was at my pc.. Let me find the exact number that goes with 1323 and 1343..
here it is. 1123.. Fridays low 1120. This was before i had the large chart with 1331. So i knew something was between 1323 and 43. I later found 1331. 1123 was with the same sequence as 1323 and 1343.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont see any support breaks following the last 2. In this current consolidation. Other than if being NFP. I may not expect much. Since it is a NFP day. One never knows. Since 1208 is there. Pa can stay here a long time. Even below 1208 has a bunch of tough looking support. I'm tired of posting the sisters to 1343 and 1323.. The first being 1175.. through 112x/ {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,936
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:26am Jan 31, 2022 8:26am
possible scalp buy 1172 68 59
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,937
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:44am Jan 31, 2022 8:44am
nothing fits exactly right. But this along with those others and 1208 are fit close in this fingerprint. 1323 *1331 1342 sequence with 1123, with 1908.. 1208 area may be st toppy using this 1216 too. After, the Norm at 1302 may pull within the 23.6 boundary at 1308. All numbers are less than 8 pips apart. So a drop to 1164 area like earlier posted may become true. pink/blue divide box.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,938
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:54am Jan 31, 2022 8:54am
Quoting gatorinla
nothing fits exactly right. But this along with those others and 1208 are fit close in this fingerprint. 1323 *1331 1342 sequence with 1123, with 1908.. 1208 area may be st toppy using this 1216 too. After, the Norm at 1302 may pull within the 23.6 boundary at 1308. All numbers are less than 8 pips apart. So a drop to 1164 area like earlier posted may become true. pink/blue divide box. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,939
  • Jan 31, 2022 8:57am Jan 31, 2022 8:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
to get to 1302 it may look something like this. Between these are some possible buys 1172 and others in that above post. Buys are against the main trend. So dont be a hero. Buy support only. Don't risk much.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,940
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:25am Jan 31, 2022 9:25am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} bulls held M30 1152 after tests.. reversed M5 and M15.. on its way to make day range high 1206 {image}
almost there 1203 high atm..I started to scalp short =
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