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The Swamp

  • #94,901
  • Jan 30, 2022 11:49pm Jan 30, 2022 11:49pm
ps off memory.. one should verify this.. I think the Fed news release was at 1255 eu. If pa manges to rise above this level. It would erase all the drop since. That's something to think about. That should make 1302 odds increase.

No BS. The usd is bullish. The eu should fall at some point. Don't take a bounce for more than that. Collecting tiny positions on a rise is probably best. But one has to calculate the drawdown if it rises to 1302 or 1406. Plan for the best. Prepare for the worst. Forex will bend you over.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,902
  • Jan 31, 2022 12:05am Jan 31, 2022 12:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ATm picture. I think I'm on the right track about 1208. You see this live. I wont delete or change.. It's wrong or right. The big ass trend and Powell/Fed are against this. So a net set may be best. Catch a bounce to catch the trend direction. Works more than not. 1208 looks far away. 1302 is twice as far. R/R increases at the higher levels. {image}
4h just closed 1165,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,903
  • Jan 31, 2022 12:07am Jan 31, 2022 12:07am
bedtime..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,904
  • Jan 31, 2022 1:55am Jan 31, 2022 1:55am
Quoting W0lfram
{quote} Huge red flag in the Ukraine's Ministry of Defense they say that this is bullshit {quote} {image} She will surely get slapped for accusing the United States of an information war against Ukraine
yes there was also an article in FT
https://www.ft.com/content/7718e11d-...6-487a4cf84ab9
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,905
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:04am Jan 31, 2022 5:04am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yes there was also an article in FT https://www.ft.com/content/7718e11d-...6-487a4cf84ab9
Attachment g
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,906
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:17am Jan 31, 2022 5:17am
rumors again about a weak number on US labor market
expectation are about 200.000 jobs
some annalists expecting a loss in jobs data.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,907
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:36am Jan 31, 2022 5:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm using a lot of assumption about 1208. Also The month has used the average range. BB month is also in the 1147 hold. I'm just using a lot of normal things as support. To say a possible bounce is above average. We can add in the big boys speculating, are putting money in this same area. They are not always right either. But they are more times than wrong. If I'm wrong about 1208. Than I'm wrong about 1164.7. That dont change much about 1147 or 1155. I'm just trying to see if other things are fitting a different mold with a common direction....
1151 52 (light support) replaces 1155. 1155 some S, but weaker st S.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,908
  • Jan 31, 2022 5:54am Jan 31, 2022 5:54am
Eur still weak, let see bulls can hold M30 1152 and H1 1139 at its close, most important month uptrend stop 1146 at NY close.
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  • #94,909
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:04am Jan 31, 2022 6:04am
Quoting Boulder
Eur still weak, let see bulls can hold M30 1152 and H1 1139 at its close, most important month uptrend stop 1146 at NY close. {image}
Today is the last day month end rebalancing, be careful of choppy price action./...
month range low 1129, day range low 1112 and day range high 1206
  • #94,910
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:04am Jan 31, 2022 6:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1151 52 (light support) replaces 1155. 1155 some S, but weaker st S. {image}
Not the month 1147. But 1151.9 replaces st 1147. 1147 may still be some support. I was surprised pa didnt at least touch 1151.9
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,911
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:06am Jan 31, 2022 6:06am
Quoting Boulder
Eur still weak, let see bulls can hold M30 1152 and H1 1139 at its close, most important month uptrend stop 1146 at NY close. {image}
The tea water is hot. I let you sleep.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,912
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:11am Jan 31, 2022 6:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The tea water is hot. I let you sleep.
if the US opens above 1157 then a drop will be coming.
  • #94,913
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:14am Jan 31, 2022 6:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Not the month 1147. But 1151.9 replaces st 1147. 1147 may still be some support. I was surprised pa didnt at least touch 1151.9 {image}
light support 1151.9.. Closes below 1151.9, make it light R. But it may be stuck between 1147 and 1152. the 12 h closed at 1174. So pa may bounce in the 1151.9,47 area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,914
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:16am Jan 31, 2022 6:16am
Quoting q_import
{quote} if the US opens above 1157 then a drop will be coming.
It seems to me a drop is coming,,, bulls are still too weak ..
I am sideline atm.. wait for confirmation
  • #94,915
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:17am Jan 31, 2022 6:17am
Quoting Boulder
Eur still weak, let see bulls can hold M30 1152 and H1 1139 at its close, most important month uptrend stop 1146 at NY close. {image}
coming to test M30...lets see bulls can hold... ...if not..H1 1139...bulls last defense..
  • #94,916
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:21am Jan 31, 2022 6:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} light support 1151.9.. Closes below 1151.9, make it light R. But it may be stuck between 1147 and 1152. the 12 h closed at 1174. So pa may bounce in the 1151.9,47 area.
It clearly breached 1151.9. So if pa start closing above. It will be easy to spot. Above or below 1151.9 should be st direction.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,917
  • Edited 7:42am Jan 31, 2022 6:24am | Edited 7:42am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} It seems to me a drop is coming,,, bulls are still too weak .. I am sideline atm.. wait for confirmation
if below 11230 then we will continue to drop..
if below 1157 then we will spike tomorrow but continue to drop..
if we are above 1157 we will spike down and then rise over the next 2 days..
  • #94,918
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:26am Jan 31, 2022 6:26am
Quoting DMA Trader
rumors again about a weak number on US labor market expectation are about 200.000 jobs some annalists expecting a loss in jobs data.
took some of but just intraday/ i am still short from Friday . on E/U
it will get a little harder from here, there are also reason to go long on E/U
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,919
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:27am Jan 31, 2022 6:27am
Quoting q_import
{quote} if the US opens above 1157 then a drop will be coming.
an empty net has no risk. Don't feel bad. Lions have done this for countless millions of years. The species has survived.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,920
  • Jan 31, 2022 6:31am Jan 31, 2022 6:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It clearly breached 1151.9. So if pa start closing above. It will be easy to spot. Above or below 1151.9 should be st direction. {image}
30 rejected. Bears attack again.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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