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The Swamp

  • #94,861
  • Jan 28, 2022 9:23am Jan 28, 2022 9:23am
trying to short it so far opened one
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,862
  • Jan 28, 2022 9:28am Jan 28, 2022 9:28am
Quoting dma trader
{image} i keep hearing russia is about to invade. But market was suprised abut inflation data in a good way
us officials: Russia's build-up near ukraine has grown to include blood supplies, a key indicator of military readiness.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,863
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:29am Jan 28, 2022 10:29am
Quoting DMA Trader
{image} I keep hearing Russia is about to invade. but market was suprised abut inflation data in a good way
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,864
  • Jan 28, 2022 1:53pm Jan 28, 2022 1:53pm
Nobel laureate Paul Krugman says crypto has ‘disturbing’ parallels with subprime mortgage meltdown...
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/28/paul...-subprime.html
I am who I am
  • #94,865
  • Jan 28, 2022 8:00pm Jan 28, 2022 8:00pm
New COT report shows hedge funds just added more Eur longs and reduced more Eur shorts this week, a day before FMOC. They were net long Eur .
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  • #94,866
  • Jan 28, 2022 9:43pm Jan 28, 2022 9:43pm
Quoting Boulder
New COT report shows hedge funds just added more Eur longs and reduced more Eur shorts this week, a day before FMOC. They were net long Eur . {image}
Isn't the Euro contract net short? Why does the non-commercial position important to you than the net positions? I'm trying to understand why that specific 'Non--Commercial' is important. I have a question:
Do other contracts that are traded by the commercial side not hold any market moving power that everyone just focuses on non commercial side?
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  • #94,867
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:02pm Jan 28, 2022 10:02pm
Quoting jinxee
{quote} Isn't the Euro contract net short? Why does the non-commercial position important to you than the net positions? I'm trying to understand why that specific 'Non--Commercial' is important. I have a question: Do other contracts that are traded by the commercial side not hold any market moving power that everyone just focuses on non commercial side? {image}
Commercial is just that hedges.. Lets say someone makes 1200 EUR a week but the company is located in AUS they would have to convert to EUR to pay the Employee or contractor by shorting EUR they can make up for the loss of value so that people are paid and logistics contractors and more are taken care of..
Non Commercial is not in that category - Traders but is made up of Commercial holders by proxy. Then there is are just Traders.
I hope that kind of explains it since boulder is not here..
  • #94,868
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:09pm Jan 28, 2022 10:09pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} Commercial is just that hedges.. Lets say someone makes 1200 EUR a week but the company is located in AUS they would have to convert to EUR to pay the Employee or contractor by shorting EUR they can make up for the loss of value so that people are paid and logistics contractors and more are taken care of.. Non Commercial is not in that category - Traders but is made up of Commercial holders by proxy. Then there is are just Traders. I hope that kind of explains it since boulder is not here..
I understand, and the picture I painted after reading your answer is that 'The buying and selling by non commercials will affect the prices more because they're speculating and the commercials ones are buying and selling to hedge which shouldn't have that much impact on price because it's long term'

Now I have another question. Doesn't the commercials practice to keep the net positions as neutral or close to neutral because if you look at commodities futures, they're very neutralized and wouldn't the commercial side try to do the same here?
  • #94,869
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:21pm Jan 28, 2022 10:21pm
Quoting jinxee
{quote} I understand, and the picture I painted after reading your answer is that 'The buying and selling by non commercials will affect the prices more because they're speculating and the commercials ones are buying and selling to hedge which shouldn't have that much impact on price because it's long term' Now I have another question. Doesn't the commercials practice to keep the net positions as neutral or close to neutral because if you look at commodities futures, they're very neutralized and wouldn't the commercial side try to do the same here?...
Think about it as car insurance. You pay your monthly, yearly, semi yearly. depending on your coverage. The bond is created to hold that amount in escrow until the end of the policy. When the policy time is at end the premiums is the profit if no accident happened. Same here hedge is made nothing happens they pocket it. if something happens they were prepared.
  • #94,870
  • Jan 28, 2022 10:48pm Jan 28, 2022 10:48pm
Quoting jinxee
{quote} I understand, and the picture I painted after reading your answer is that 'The buying and selling by non commercials will affect the prices more because they're speculating and the commercials ones are buying and selling to hedge which shouldn't have that much impact on price because it's long term' Now I have another question. Doesn't the commercials practice to keep the net positions as neutral or close to neutral because if you look at commodities futures, they're very neutralized and wouldn't the commercial side try to do the same here?...
If a country promised 150+ countries it would deliver a product or service to the world and they failed on their promise. Should they lose value? or should they gain value?
  • #94,871
  • Jan 29, 2022 9:43am Jan 29, 2022 9:43am
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,872
  • Jan 29, 2022 1:39pm Jan 29, 2022 1:39pm
Quoting Boulder
PS Gator is so sexy!! {image}
I know
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,873
  • Jan 29, 2022 1:51pm Jan 29, 2022 1:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I know
  • #94,874
  • Jan 29, 2022 2:01pm Jan 29, 2022 2:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I know
omg... he hacked my computer...
  • #94,875
  • Jan 29, 2022 2:25pm Jan 29, 2022 2:25pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{image}
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,876
  • Jan 29, 2022 5:48pm Jan 29, 2022 5:48pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} {image}
weak data from China
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,877
  • Jan 30, 2022 12:28am Jan 30, 2022 12:28am
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,878
  • Jan 30, 2022 3:34am Jan 30, 2022 3:34am
Quoting DMA Trader
{image}
It was promised it would happen in march when the US gov was looking for investments and decided on insurance companies I wrote a post about it but deleted it. I specifically said they would have rates raised in march. I wish I would not have deleted it.. It sounded far out there.. so I took it down..
BOJ has investments in insurance companies in the US and was told they could have what they wanted.. to put it lightly
  • #94,879
  • Jan 30, 2022 6:47am Jan 30, 2022 6:47am
Quoting q_import
{quote} Think about it as car insurance. You pay your monthly, yearly, semi yearly. depending on your coverage. The bond is created to hold that amount in escrow until the end of the policy. When the policy time is at end the premiums is the profit if no accident happened. Same here hedge is made nothing happens they pocket it. if something happens they were prepared.
I really have no clue lol. I'm just wondering why people wanna go short because net non-commercial is net short while the overall net is long
  • #94,880
  • Jan 30, 2022 6:59am Jan 30, 2022 6:59am
Quoting jinxee
{quote} I really have no clue lol. I'm just wondering why people wanna go short because net non-commercial is net short while the overall net is long
Chartists
Most people here are not going from month to month week to week day to day more like 3minutes to 4 hours. Chartist trader.
Some people are long and short in the same hour.
I really can't speak for everyone that is my perception from what I see here in the forums.

Does the COT provide any information worth anything?

It does and it doesn't depending on what information you have been exposed to.. the EURO is always been for years 80%. 80% to me is something that I have been exposed to so it would mean nothing to anyone else.
The way you interrupt the data is going to be completely different from me.
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