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The Really Useful Grains/Soft Thread

  • #181
  • Jan 20, 2022 1:15pm Jan 20, 2022 1:15pm
cummulative delta for ZS March. 15m chart.

cd is suggesting massive on-boarding. in the past i have see .5 fib retracements, rarely more, and mostly .382

i think today we will see no more then 1416 retrace, the lower part of today's node.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #182
  • Jan 21, 2022 11:01am Jan 21, 2022 11:01am
dissappointed with today's trading so far.

1 on the daily inside bar setup.
2 looks like channel high is good resistance
3 fib 2.0 was the market's tp. at least so far.

it appears the market isn't buying my climate post volcano worries or hasn't on boarded them. i might be a little ahead of the game on this one. wouldnt be the first time.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #183
  • Edited 7:34pm Jan 23, 2022 6:59pm | Edited 7:34pm
Inserted Video


Inserted Video


highlights what i've mentioned, africa and south america effected.

now i did hear that the tonga volcano did not emit large sulfur as the blast was underwater. we'll see.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #184
  • Jan 26, 2022 10:27am Jan 26, 2022 10:27am
finnaly looks like soya will break prev 1430 ish high. if she can get over 1444 then the next node is in the 1497 1603 area.

fingers crossed!
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #185
  • Jan 26, 2022 10:54am Jan 26, 2022 10:54am
top of the channel is about 1444 so let's see what happens then.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #186
  • Jan 26, 2022 11:46am Jan 26, 2022 11:46am
a rather large order set @ 1445 so i reckon that's today's high probably. i'll take profits there and see how it handles this channel top.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #187
  • Jan 26, 2022 5:32pm Jan 26, 2022 5:32pm
channel high held it. i reckon we'll pop over during the asian session.

still in it but will take profits this evening probably.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #188
  • Jan 27, 2022 10:44am Jan 27, 2022 10:44am
i'm looking for 1461 ish for this move.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #189
  • Jan 28, 2022 6:33am Jan 28, 2022 6:33am
Quoting Mcbeaners
i'm looking for 1461 ish for this move. {image}
closed out 1461

at least for now.

vp for 2021, we are between two nodes so have watch and see if it will continue north to the high node.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #190
  • Jan 28, 2022 9:45am Jan 28, 2022 9:45am
it popped higher. I was away.

let's see if there is any room to go higher.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #191
  • Jan 31, 2022 9:59am Jan 31, 2022 9:59am
soya hit the wedge break target.

currently short wheat, h&s break.

looking for 741 ish. but depends on how it reacts here.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #192
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:30pm Feb 1, 2022 11:30pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
soya hit the wedge break target. currently short wheat, h&s break. looking for 741 ish. but depends on how it reacts here. {image}
soya, continued to roll higher. now in that upper node, probably for th rest of the his contract.

wheat, retraced back to the break, now will we see 741.5 ish? fingers crossed.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #193
  • Feb 1, 2022 11:35pm Feb 1, 2022 11:35pm
soya as mentioned.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #194
  • Feb 2, 2022 6:51am Feb 2, 2022 6:51am
key moment to drive wheat south came and went. for the moment it looks like 1.272 fib is going to hold. main session will tell more.

soya appears to be driving this higher...

possible long setup off the daily chart. we'll see.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #195
  • Feb 2, 2022 5:45pm Feb 2, 2022 5:45pm
closed my position around the lower trendline.

not clear what the next move is.
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  • #196
  • Feb 4, 2022 8:02am Feb 4, 2022 8:02am
wheat: kissed 1.6 during main session then retraced back to 1.272 during asian session.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #197
  • Feb 6, 2022 11:20am Feb 6, 2022 11:20am
Quoting Mcbeaners
key moment to drive wheat south came and went. for the moment it looks like 1.272 fib is going to hold. main session will tell more. soya appears to be driving this higher... possible long setup off the daily chart. we'll see. {image}
i tried to short wheat on friday and wacked. looks like support coming in (back above the 1.272 fib) and just maybe this W play (from daily) is coming into effect. needs more time of course

i've taken a small long and will add more.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #198
  • Feb 8, 2022 9:00am Feb 8, 2022 9:00am
I"m long wheat and i think now its about to kick ass.

we could do 870 or higher. (might need to roll over contract before this though).
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #199
  • Feb 9, 2022 11:40pm Feb 9, 2022 11:40pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
I"m long wheat and i think now its about to kick ass. we could do 870 or higher. (might need to roll over contract before this though).

been buying and selling this dependingon cummulative delta setups pre-open and at the close. today was ok, but given it didn't top 788 i could have sold that top a couple of times doubling my money maed. oh well, still like 870 for this.
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In tea leaves we trust!
  • #200
  • Feb 10, 2022 7:01am Feb 10, 2022 7:01am
soya beans. almost at ath!

i knew it would be good but not this good. now wheat should do the same imo.
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