The Swamp | Page 4732 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #94,621
  • Jan 20, 2022 9:10am Jan 20, 2022 9:10am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} long 1.1334
strange is most of the pairs are up against usd today.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,622
  • Jan 20, 2022 9:16am Jan 20, 2022 9:16am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} strange is most of the pairs are up against usd today.
It will not go up any more. Crosses must be completed be Eu can be released they all run in waves..it just so happens its EU's turn
I am wrong most of the time though
  • #94,623
  • Jan 20, 2022 9:16am Jan 20, 2022 9:16am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} strange is most of the pairs are up against usd today.
others dont have 1331. The eu usd has the lions share of volume. It may lead.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,624
  • Jan 20, 2022 9:22am Jan 20, 2022 9:22am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H1 again 1337... 10 mins to go... update: bulls held 3rd test...
Bulls gave up H1 finally...let see this starts to drops more..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: _1.png Size: 12 KB
  • #94,625
  • Jan 20, 2022 10:09am Jan 20, 2022 10:09am
Peloton to halt production of its Bikes, treadmills as demand wanes

back below ipo price
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,626
  • Jan 20, 2022 10:19am Jan 20, 2022 10:19am
looking at the usd now. Some wiggle room for the eu to fall, if the other crosses basket rise. The USD didnt close above 95.87, after being above. The eu didnt close below 1331 after being above (year close on both) Despite most expeditions of the usd rising. It may struggle to rise, or retrace some. The eu could still drop if the usd stalls, if the other crosses rise. FOMC may help the USD. But if it can't break and hold +95.87 it will fall. The eu in the 1331+ zone. The USDx in the below 95.87 area. I dont know the FOMC reaction. I do think if the eu would bounce. It could reach 1547/50 and more. EU bears need those large closes below 1331 and 1208. with usd closes above 95.87.

This is a +50 year chart. The USD does have a chance for a supercycle rise to 117.xx. We all have a chance to make a lot of coin. 95.87 is in the way atm. The economy is more connected to the world then 50 years ago, A high USD will have worldwide effects. The scope of nobody can know. Food will probably cost more for third world, and even developed countries. That may mean more starvation with social unrest. That will equal increased chances of war,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.png Size: 75 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,627
  • Jan 20, 2022 10:32am Jan 20, 2022 10:32am
Quoting gatorinla
looking at the usd now. Some wiggle room for the eu to fall, if the other crosses basket rise. The USD didnt close above 95.87, after being above. The eu didnt close below 1331 after being above (year close on both) Despite most expeditions of the usd rising. It may struggle to rise, or retrace some. The eu could still drop if the usd stalls, if the other crosses rise. FOMC may help the USD. But if it can't break and hold +95.87 it will fall. The eu in the 1331+ zone. The USDx in the below 95.87 area. I dont know the FOMC reaction. I do think if...
each candle is 1y.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,628
  • Jan 20, 2022 12:02pm Jan 20, 2022 12:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} each candle is 1y.
What about buy back to 1333 or 1331 looks interesting
  • #94,629
  • Jan 20, 2022 12:06pm Jan 20, 2022 12:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LC is higher. Odds for 1367/69, 98 and more. Are a little higher. Change that possible 1332 Long to 1335/36. Some support maybe 1331 ish. trip swap day.. maybe a smoother move after rollover. light support at 1345
That LL makes 1398 not valid. Pa did make 1369 before retreating. Too many older supports to list below 1331. 1331 now has a 4h close below. It has a chance to close a day below 1331. While its below 1331 with closes the bounce chances decrease some. Earlier all tf closed above 1331 above the 4h. Now the 4h and below closed below 1331. Next will be day shot for +-1331, tomorrow the week. If you short you want pa below 1250 to start to weaken 1369.. you also need that 1184 LL As long as pa is above 1250 1284 pa can normally run back above 1331 and 1368
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,630
  • Jan 20, 2022 12:45pm Jan 20, 2022 12:45pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} What about buy back to 1333 or 1331 looks interesting
1284 did hold s last week. Now 1250 may be a spot for ping. I may put a pending short 1547/50 just because its a likely R area. But not because I want to long to it.. It just looks interesting like 1350. Plus last week LC did close higher. Earlier day LC closed lower. So a drop in today's lows was probable. The depth unknown. Pa here at 1310 atm makes 1547 unlikely tomorrow. But if for some crazy ass reason we see 1420+ tomorrow before LC. It could find, 1447/ 1547 before FOMC. Bears have to run with this ball. I dont think bears can run too far w/o FOMC help. Stranger things have happened before a rate release. What's priced in? Bears closed below 1367 with a day close. Atm below 1331 with a 4h close. They need to keep them to fall. They also need 1284 1208 and the LL closed. A constant test of strength. The attraction to 1394 may be gone. But it still has an attraction above 1369.9, and still above 1331. I tried to long to the 1398 attraction. That didnt work unless I took some at 1369. The same thing could happen at +1250 ish or maybe 1284. If you want to risk a few near 1250, for a shot at 1367 or 1547.. It may be worth your wild. You may want to tp some at 1331 first.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,631
  • Jan 20, 2022 1:07pm Jan 20, 2022 1:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1284 did hold s last week. Now 1250 may be a spot for ping. I may put a pending short 1547/50 just because its a likely R area. But not because I want to long to it.. It just looks interesting like 1350. Plus last week LC did close higher. Earlier day LC closed lower. So a drop in today's lows was probable. The depth unknown. Pa here at 1310 atm makes 1547 unlikely tomorrow. But if for some crazy ass reason we see 1420+ tomorrow before LC. It could find, 1447/ 1547 before FOMC. Bears have to run with this ball. I dont think bears can run...
I was thinking when the day rolls over to the next we could get a retrace during asia or it could be the london touch..then keep going down..
or it be the range for the day low to the retrace point
Unknown at this time I have no price action to verify anything.. I am just making a plan of action for tomorrow..
  • #94,632
  • Jan 20, 2022 1:24pm Jan 20, 2022 1:24pm
I'll be exiting shorts at 1.1275 if it gets there. Daily support at 73.
Will enter small longs around 1.1275 and build if it goes in my favour.
Start shorting again around 1.1355 and exit all longs.

This is my plan, how it turns out who knows lol
A fool and his money are easily parted
  • #94,633
  • Jan 20, 2022 1:55pm Jan 20, 2022 1:55pm
Stock Market Bloodbath and eur didn't move
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,634
  • Jan 20, 2022 2:11pm Jan 20, 2022 2:11pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I was thinking when the day rolls over to the next we could get a retrace during asia or it could be the london touch..then keep going down.. or it be the range for the day low to the retrace point Unknown at this time I have no price action to verify anything.. I am just making a plan of action for tomorrow..
Can it happen.. sure. The week LC is most often correct. Will it? I can't make that decision. PA is below 1331 with a day close below.. So i dont have do anything but wait.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,635
  • Edited 7:16pm Jan 20, 2022 7:05pm | Edited 7:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Can it happen.. sure. The week LC is most often correct. Will it? I can't make that decision. PA is below 1331 with a day close below.. So i dont have do anything but wait.
I guess you where right
If this goes up target will be 13769 for me I dont know what numbers you have for an upmove..
  • #94,636
  • Jan 20, 2022 11:52pm Jan 20, 2022 11:52pm
E pur si muove...Russia proposes ban on use and mining of cryptocurrencies...
https://www.reuters.com/business/fin...3fXxsokNUlyk6g
I am who I am
  • #94,637
  • Jan 21, 2022 12:11am Jan 21, 2022 12:11am
Quoting DMA Trader
Stock Market Bloodbath and eur didn't move
got out on this up move.
didn't do anything
got some crypto
....

have no idea of the direction
most of the up move was because us market bloodbath so this can continue - earnings are coming light of expectation and guidance way lower.
1.134 -1.135 - 1.136 i see resistances. in EUR/USD

but imo this are rare situations when literally anything can happen like go to 1.14 or 1.125 both today. and i would still not have a clue.
people need to be careful on this FED expectation are getting higher for FED not to act aggressively
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: longs in euro tp.png Size: 14 KB
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,638
  • Jan 21, 2022 12:36am Jan 21, 2022 12:36am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} got out on this up move. didn't do anything got some crypto .... have no idea of the direction most of the up move was because us market bloodbath so this can continue - earnings are coming light of expectation and guidance way lower. 1.134 -1.135 - 1.136 i see resistances. in EUR/USD but imo this are rare situations when literally anything can happen like go to 1.14 or 1.125 both today. and i would still not have a clue. people need to be careful on this FED expectation are getting higher for FED not to act aggressively {image}
so if markets go down and eur goes up i think it's for the short term
first area 1.134 reached.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,639
  • Jan 21, 2022 1:55am Jan 21, 2022 1:55am
Lets see bears can hold H1 1349 at H1 close ,, if not, day range high 1365 range,,,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: _1.png Size: 12 KB
  • #94,640
  • Jan 21, 2022 1:59am Jan 21, 2022 1:59am
Something must be feeding EU this strength. I wonder if it is EURGBP. Price trying to rise there so GU dumps while EU rises or ranges at the top. And EU never was able to breach 1300 yesterday. Let's see if Gator's 1250 happens.
67 traders viewing now