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The Swamp

  • #94,321
  • Jan 12, 2022 12:16am Jan 12, 2022 12:16am
New notification setup is horrible.
  • #94,322
  • Jan 12, 2022 4:27am Jan 12, 2022 4:27am
someone ?

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  • #94,323
  • Jan 12, 2022 5:33am Jan 12, 2022 5:33am
Quoting gatorinla
Either 1439, or if the atm high holds. A retrace to 1328 minimal next. 1328 will void with a HH. ATm st bulls have not reached 1390. So the chance to retrace is a little better, than it will be after 1390 is held. Bulls st also have to hold 1389+. Or pa will retrace some. That would be a HH, so that retrace# is unknown atm. Now since it will be Sunday. Pa sometimes retraces on the new week. 1328 minimal, only if Friday's high holds. Just like last week it dropped after open. To get to 1328 there are the normal supports such as 1343, 31 before 1328....
I dont know where the top is exactly. I think its close. I dont know if 1439/47 will come. I would keep my eyes open here now. the top may already be here. This may be what it needed for the next leg down. It cant go higher w/0 closing above 1389+. It also cant go higher w/o a close above 1369.9. The day and 12h have closed below 1369.9. So keep eyes open. This is a good place to put a top.
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  • #94,324
  • Jan 12, 2022 5:44am Jan 12, 2022 5:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know where the top is exactly. I think its close. I dont know if 1439/47 will come. I would keep my eyes open here now. the top may already be here. This may be what it needed for the next leg down. It cant go higher w/0 closing above 1389+. It also cant go higher w/o a close above 1369.9. The day and 12h have closed below 1369.9. So keep eyes open. This is a good place to put a top. {image}
what would a top look like.. First thing is, the high holds. And start some smaller closes below 1346/43. followed by some under 1330/31, 1323, 1305, 1299, 1281/86.

Larger closes below 1275 1230 eventually 1208 1175
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,325
  • Jan 12, 2022 5:49am Jan 12, 2022 5:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know where the top is exactly. I think its close. I dont know if 1439/47 will come. I would keep my eyes open here now. the top may already be here. This may be what it needed for the next leg down. It cant go higher w/0 closing above 1389+. It also cant go higher w/o a close above 1369.9. The day and 12h have closed below 1369.9. So keep eyes open. This is a good place to put a top. {image}
Don't worry, I'll give you 1420 at least.
  • #94,326
  • Jan 12, 2022 6:00am Jan 12, 2022 6:00am
In this consolidation. The yellow is more up to date. The blue more relevant. First foe blue is sub 1360. But the yellow sub 1345, I say 1343 because of other things. Labeled 1-5 these are what this chart says. I will say others below theser because I. using larger tf.. I skip 1.. 2 use 1343 because its larger and below the bs above it. 3. 1223.
4. 1297.
5.1281
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,327
  • Jan 12, 2022 6:09am Jan 12, 2022 6:09am
#1 1360.. a few hours closed below. Followed by h closes above. Atm Bulls didnt get my memo. Even so the day, and 12h did close below 1369.9. So see it it starts being strong R.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,328
  • Jan 12, 2022 6:24am Jan 12, 2022 6:24am
Quoting gatorinla
#1 1360.. a few hours closed below. Followed by h closes above. Atm Bulls didnt get my memo. Even so the day, and 12h did close below 1369.9. So see it it starts being strong R. {image}
Sure she can go higher. I'm paying attention because its 1367/69 area. An Ideal place for a top...
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,329
  • Jan 12, 2022 6:34am Jan 12, 2022 6:34am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Don't worry, I'll give you 1420 at least.
sometimes it works. Sometimes it dont. R/R is decent. Fundi wise, the Fed looks to have little choice. 1420 wouldn't be far from that 1439 attraction.If bears cant muster below 1331.. you may be right. To me bulls have to close 1390 or go home. Atm bulls have to close a day above 1369.9. I have some trades betting against the bulls already. I set them to forget them. on a smaller tf, bulls need 1380, or go home.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,330
  • Jan 12, 2022 6:50am Jan 12, 2022 6:50am
Quoting gatorinla
#1 1360.. a few hours closed below. Followed by h closes above. Atm Bulls didnt get my memo. Even so the day, and 12h did close below 1369.9. So see it it starts being strong R. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,331
  • Jan 12, 2022 6:52am Jan 12, 2022 6:52am
nap time
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,332
  • Jan 12, 2022 7:46am Jan 12, 2022 7:46am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Don't worry, I'll give you 1420 at least.
you may get it. You have to hold 1390 (closes),, day 1369..4h close in 15 min.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,333
  • Jan 12, 2022 7:52am Jan 12, 2022 7:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} you may get it. You have to hold 1390 (closes),, day 1369..4h close in 15 min.
I'm out already. Closed all at 1390 and shorted 1411 just for today. Today is Wednesday and isn't a usual EU long day, except maybe 2 weeks ago.
  • #94,334
  • Jan 12, 2022 7:53am Jan 12, 2022 7:53am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I'm out already. Closed all at 1390 and shorted 1411 just for today. Today is Wednesday and isn't a usual EU long day, except maybe 2 weeks ago.
trip swap day..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,335
  • Jan 12, 2022 7:55am Jan 12, 2022 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} trip swap day..
Exactly. And that's why I really need the US to raise rates. It will probably increase the swap and deter Wednesday buys. It matters a lot to me because I use it to guage price moves.
  • #94,336
  • Jan 12, 2022 7:57am Jan 12, 2022 7:57am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Exactly. And that's why I really need the US to raise rates. It will probably increase the swap and deter Wednesday buys. It matters a lot to me because I use it to guage price moves.
up was against news fundis. So it has a shot to drop

Week range 1411.. adr 1421 or 1347
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,337
  • Jan 12, 2022 8:12am Jan 12, 2022 8:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} up was against news fundis. So it has a shot to drop Week range 1411.. adr 1421 or 1347 {image}
Exactly. You are spot on. And today is Wednesday.
  • #94,338
  • Jan 12, 2022 8:18am Jan 12, 2022 8:18am
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  • #94,339
  • Jan 12, 2022 8:18am Jan 12, 2022 8:18am
Quoting gatorinla
In this consolidation. The yellow is more up to date. The blue more relevant. First foe blue is sub 1360. But the yellow sub 1345, I say 1343 because of other things. Labeled 1-5 these are what this chart says. I will say others below theser because I. using larger tf.. I skip 1.. 2 use 1343 because its larger and below the bs above it. 3. 1223. 4. 1297. 5.1281 {image}
void 1-5 above

Out the cluster now. 1384 new 1. Closing below 1384 should test 1367/69
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,340
  • Jan 12, 2022 9:24am Jan 12, 2022 9:24am
Quoting Fadhl
From TA perspective only (and a bad NFP will help this view), I think EU is retracing up to 1.1440 (which is the retrace of the impulsive and deep wave down) before continuing down to up 1.100x-1.099x. GL!{image}
I think Dollar will hold 95 handle as the bottom/end of its retrace. The impulsive up wave should start after making a new LH-HL-HH-HL (this sequence) (between 95-96).
EU top should around the corner as well: 1.143-1.144.
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