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The Swamp

  • #94,261
  • Edited 5:10am Jan 10, 2022 4:53am | Edited 5:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1318 may be like 1284/86 last week. Even 1309 played a little role for considering just a small tf. I want to see if 1331 has power. Since the month/year/week/day closed above it. If it does, 1439/47 looks likely. Stronger with some 1390 closes. 1343 was closed above Friday too. It just couldn't do 1367/68 Friday.
Bull bear needs to take those and hold the other side. After bear bull needs to hold 1389+, or -1284. And even those have other s/r to get around. It is possible 1367/68 is going to stop a rise long term. Friday didnt make it there. Close but no cigar. So its possible that may be top already. I didnt think so, since it wasn't touched. But i may be wrong. I thought/think closing above 1343 and 1331. Was pointing to test 1367 or 1389.
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  • #94,262
  • Jan 10, 2022 5:12am Jan 10, 2022 5:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bull bear needs to take those and hold the other side. After bear bull needs to hold 1389+, or -1284. And even those have other s/r to get around. It is possible 1367/68 is going to stop a rise long term. Friday didnt make it there. Close but no cigar. So its possible that may be top already. I didnt think so, since it wasn't touched. But i may be wrong. I thought/think closing above 1343 and 1331. Was pointing to test 1367 or 1389. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OMAIsqvTh7g{image}
Beyond; closing 1390. would give 1439/47 a better shot. Bears may have other plans.
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  • #94,263
  • Jan 10, 2022 5:20am Jan 10, 2022 5:20am
Also i figured 1328 was probably a minimal retrace. If Friday's high was to hold st. A possible long if *1318/28 could hold support. To half ass prove it did. Pa has to start closing above 1342 now. Then it may test 1367 or 1389. .. But either has it own merit as a R.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,264
  • Jan 10, 2022 5:30am Jan 10, 2022 5:30am
Quoting gatorinla
Also i figured 1328 was probably a minimal retrace. If Friday's high was to hold st. A possible long if 1378/28 could hold support. To half ass prove it did. Pa has to start closing above 1342 now. Then it may test 1367 or 1389. .. But either has it own merit as a R.
It seem as if we are going to have a run up. another 2 hours if it has not reached target then up we go as your describing its limiting its movement on the 200 ma 15m chart acting accordingly as if a trend has been underway for days now..
  • #94,265
  • Jan 10, 2022 6:05am Jan 10, 2022 6:05am
Quoting q_import
{quote} It seem as if we are going to have a run up. another 2 hours if it has not reached target then up we go as your describing its limiting its movement on the 200 ma 15m chart acting accordingly as if a trend has been underway for days now..
The year closed below 1447 bearish. But it also closed above 1208 and 1331. These 2 are even larger than 1447. I have to give 1439 norm, a better shot now. And if PA shorts closing above 1447. Than 1492 has a shot.

Fundi wise the U.S has inflation. Last week wages report has it up .6%. The Fed looks forced to raise. The labor market is very tight at 3.9%. With the best employment in 50+ years. Record numbers of new businesses are being started.

Europe has the same inflation. And worse with the oil tax (cost more than the U.S.). So they are screwed mostly. Raise rates to fight inflation at home, and raise the price of a Beamer in the U.S. Or dont raise. Slow inflation in the EZ? Or slow economic growth? Either may have the Europeans hitting the streets. Either will have the EZ members taking heat from its voters. Putin will be right there stoking the flames of unrest through social network bots (like Brexit) . The future is foretold in the past.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,266
  • Jan 10, 2022 6:15am Jan 10, 2022 6:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The year closed below 1447 bearish. But it also closed above 1208 and 1331. These 2 are even larger than 1447. I have to give 1439 norm, a better shot now. And if PA shorts closing above 1447. Than 1492 has a shot. Fundi wise the U.S has inflation. Last week wages report has it up .6%. The Fed looks forced to raise. The labor market is very tight at 3.9%. With the best employment in 50+ years. Record numbers of new businesses are being started. Europe has the same inflation. And worse with the oil tax (cost more than the U.S.). So they are...
once the feds begins to sell off its assets the dollar will get really strong. I dont know about EZ. equities will really take a hit.
the dec 15th FOMC meeting said its all got to go.. lets get it off the balance sheet..
If I was the market maker I would keep everything ranging until Feb March.. then make it quick..

Quoting q_import
{quote} once the feds begins to sell off its assets the dollar will get really strong. I dont know about EZ. equities will really take a hit. the dec 15th FOMC meeting said its all got to go.. lets get it off the balance sheet.. If I was the market maker I would keep everything ranging until Feb March.. then make it quick..
It will before summer hits. With that information. Everyone and grandma dog will be selling EU and everything they can get their hands on. So moving the price higher it good stopping out people and or locking people into long term traders providing liquidity..
who know when they are going to unload I have pending down below at a safe distance and I iwill be trailing the weekly and monthly for sell entries if they drive this chart up.. its going to happen we just dont know when..
  • #94,267
  • Jan 10, 2022 6:27am Jan 10, 2022 6:27am
Quoting q_import
{quote} once the feds begins to sell off its assets the dollar will get really strong. I dont know about EZ. equities will really take a hit. the dec 15th FOMC meeting said its all got to go.. lets get it off the balance sheet.. If I was the market maker I would keep everything ranging until Feb March.. then make it quick..
I read the FED was already shrinking the balance sheet months ago. Free money will float equities till it dont.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,268
  • Jan 10, 2022 6:37am Jan 10, 2022 6:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bull bear needs to take those and hold the other side. After bear bull needs to hold 1389+, or -1284. And even those have other s/r to get around. It is possible 1367/68 is going to stop a rise long term. Friday didnt make it there. Close but no cigar. So its possible that may be top already. I didnt think so, since it wasn't touched. But i may be wrong. I thought/think closing above 1343 and 1331. Was pointing to test 1367 or 1389. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OMAIsqvTh7g{image}
Here we are..at st 1318. Bulls didn't close above 1342. Can bears start closing -1318? If bears can not, it will rise. Bulls st still need to start +1342.
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  • #94,269
  • Jan 10, 2022 6:38am Jan 10, 2022 6:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I read the FED was already shrinking the balance sheet months ago. Free money will float equities till it dont.
You have a good point. Your very articulate only if my finger could cut as well as your words I wouldn't have so many typos..
  • #94,270
  • Jan 10, 2022 6:49am Jan 10, 2022 6:49am
Quoting q_import
{quote} You have a good point. Your very articulate only if my finger could cut as well as your words I wouldn't have so many typos..
I was robbed out my pending s 1367 Friday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,271
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:04am Jan 10, 2022 7:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I was robbed out my pending s 1367 Friday.
I had pending there too.. lol the spread hit if but the bid did not.. but if I had a stoploss there it would have been triggered. smh
  • #94,272
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:10am Jan 10, 2022 7:10am
Quoting q_import
{quote} I had pending there too.. lol the spread hit if but the bid did not.. but if I had a stoploss there it would have been triggered. smh
I dont like to put trades on Friday like that. Because the spread late may take me out. Also a Sunday gap with added open spread.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,273
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:17am Jan 10, 2022 7:17am
Before NY opened it closed that h below 1318. Now NY is open so it could change. See where ny h closes
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  • #94,274
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:27am Jan 10, 2022 7:27am
Quoting gatorinla
Before NY opened it closed that h below 1318. Now NY is open so it could change. See where ny h closes {image}
15 min is rising. 1337 + with closes, looks bullish. Some 1343 23R .. 67/68.. NY may be setting today's trend. A 15 min close above 1323 could be a smaller indication. Bears have to keep closing -1318 st. or 1323 etc will fall.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,275
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:45am Jan 10, 2022 7:45am
Thinking about the weekly deal on EURUSD. There are about 5 billion euros worth of options on the board for Friday at 10 AM. But there are no options on Thursday. This should be a ranged week again. Good luck and make some freedom.
https://www.forexlive.com/Orders/fx-...-cut-20220110/
Wick versus candlestick ratio will set you free.
  • #94,276
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:49am Jan 10, 2022 7:49am
Target reached maybe some up action now is possible.
  • #94,277
  • Jan 10, 2022 7:55am Jan 10, 2022 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 min is rising. 1337 + with closes, looks bullish. Some 1343 23R .. 67/68.. NY may be setting today's trend. A 15 min close above 1323 could be a smaller indication. Bears have to keep closing -1318 st. or 1323 etc will fall. {image}
adr about 1291.. a older soft bottom to the left about 1291 also,,
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  • #94,278
  • Jan 10, 2022 8:05am Jan 10, 2022 8:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} adr about 1291.. a older soft bottom to the left about 1291 also,, {image}
if 1291 holds.. 1327 should come.. I left a 1367 pending short.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,279
  • Jan 10, 2022 9:17am Jan 10, 2022 9:17am
There are 2 targets for the Bulls to be tested as a resistance, 1.13159 and 1.13281...
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  • #94,280
  • Jan 10, 2022 10:22am Jan 10, 2022 10:22am
Quoting imwim
There are 2 targets for the Bulls to be tested as a resistance, 1.13159 and 1.13281... {image}
h close above 1324 should put some up pressure after .. 1331 43 maybe 67
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