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The Swamp

  • #94,101
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:13am Jan 3, 2022 10:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sweet spot may be 1339 back with some R from 1343.. If this atm low holds.. {image}
I flat eu shorts, lets see this H4 1.1291 can hold at H4 close. I longed some too...
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  • #94,102
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:20am Jan 3, 2022 10:20am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat eu shorts, lets see this H4 1.1291 can hold at H4 close. I longed some too... {image}
1291/92 96/98 84/86 are all those i have used. Wk 1296/98.. 1279/72. and 1260,, below that 1208/11 has a big fib.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,103
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:38am Jan 3, 2022 10:38am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I flat eu shorts, lets see this H4 1.1291 can hold at H4 close. I longed some too... {image}
On the day the last 3 failed. the largest only went up 60 pips after it reversed. The others about 30 pips. The one friday also went up about 30 oips already ..The 3 times it failed pa and made another leg down.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,104
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:57am Jan 3, 2022 10:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} On the day the last 3 failed. the largest only went up 60 pips after it reversed. The others about 30 pips. The one friday also went up about 30 oips already ..The 3 times it failed pa and made another leg down. {image}
another leg using the flagpole 2x is 1.0766. I see a recognizable pennant
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,105
  • Jan 3, 2022 11:21am Jan 3, 2022 11:21am
the cousins to 1343 and 1323 at 1175 and below in purple. Big fib at 1208.. Other s on the chart. 1250 1272-79 is missing. It all wont matter till it starts closing a below some and it holds. We may not recognize this chart. It has a possible weekly bearish pennant. It breaks down about 1255.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,106
  • Jan 3, 2022 1:44pm Jan 3, 2022 1:44pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sweet spot may be 1339 back with some R from 1343.. If this atm low holds.. {image}
sweet spot is getting too wide (1333/43). Some possible attraction to 1333, If it can get above 1296 and 1323. If pa can close the day below 1296. Then R at those others may have a better shot to reject a wick to 1333. Still lighter R 1305/07 1309/10,, I know this seems like BS.. Its just when it consolidates.. It gives a lot of numbers. The main ones are 1296 1322/23 1343 1370. 1386/88. some have 2 numbers because of brokers difference. Plus as time goes on the newer pa has a little difference in its reaction. Some of the older numbers are years old. But pa dont forget. They still need their closes. Unless we get some knee jerk news to give a catalyst reaction.
If pa could mange to get below 1258.. It could make 1323 stronger R.

Anyway 1343 being some R may be a good spot, but pa may only get to 1333
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,107
  • Jan 3, 2022 1:53pm Jan 3, 2022 1:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sweet spot is getting too wide (1333/43). Some possible attraction to 1333, If it can get above 1296 and 1323. If pa can close the day below 1296. Then R at those others may have a better shot to reject a wick to 1333. Still lighter R 1305/07 1309/10,, I know this seems like BS.. Its just when it consolidates.. It gives a lot of numbers. The main ones are 1296 1322/23 1343 1370. 1386/88. some have 2 numbers because of brokers difference. Plus as time goes on the newer pa has a little difference in its reaction. Some of the older numbers...
If the day should close below 1296.. The R at 1343/45 should be tougher. Even 1333 may be stiff. Making reaching 1343 a little harder. 1333 is dead smack in the middle of 1323 R and 1343 R.

ATm pa will go to 1258 or 1333.

These are all the same numbers as earlier excluding 1333
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,108
  • Jan 3, 2022 2:02pm Jan 3, 2022 2:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bulls need to make some closes above 1360.6 to show a little power. if not bulls are weak..
1333 will be like 1360 was earlier. Unless it drops further before reaching 1333. Bears will need to hold below 1333.. Its a fu place being above 1323 but below 1343..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,109
  • Jan 3, 2022 2:26pm Jan 3, 2022 2:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} sweet spot is getting too wide (1333/43). Some possible attraction to 1333, If it can get above 1296 and 1323. If pa can close the day below 1296. Then R at those others may have a better shot to reject a wick to 1333. Still lighter R 1305/07 1309/10,, I know this seems like BS.. Its just when it consolidates.. It gives a lot of numbers. The main ones are 1296 1322/23 1343 1370. 1386/88. some have 2 numbers because of brokers difference. Plus as time goes on the newer pa has a little difference in its reaction. Some of the older numbers...
NFP FOMC week. This may get real friday or Wednesday. 1208 isn't that far. You never can overlook a pump days before NFP. A 50 year low on unemployment claims. Just what it says it is. Few in the market today have ever seen this. But after, the catalyst may be present.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,110
  • Jan 3, 2022 3:55pm Jan 3, 2022 3:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} November through Dec 8 was tough.. But after that it kicked ass. Drawdown is more than I wanted. UP 322% Since November 15. {image}
Printing cash since Dec 9..I put the wrong setting. So since this post. My lot size was 1/2. I trying to find a good medium setting to reduce drawdown. But compound the lot. Fixed lots holds it back too much. I do have too much risk.. I want to see how it runs.. November sucked, but on lower risk it would have been fine. I cherry picked Dec 9. to make a pretty chart. .. But the equity is the same. That flatline on the right was because the trades were smaller. in the future I may run it like that. Less steep, more gradual for less risk.
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  • #94,111
  • Jan 3, 2022 4:15pm Jan 3, 2022 4:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the day should close below 1296.. The R at 1343/45 should be tougher. Even 1333 may be stiff. Making reaching 1343 a little harder. 1333 is dead smack in the middle of 1323 R and 1343 R. ATm pa will go to 1258 or 1333. These are all the same numbers as earlier excluding 1333
Don't know.. closed above with 3 min of data missing. Open was below. Too close to call.
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  • #94,112
  • Jan 3, 2022 4:58pm Jan 3, 2022 4:58pm
very nice day
while indices up mostly because of huge move in some names
below the surface growth stocks hit
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #94,113
  • Jan 3, 2022 8:56pm Jan 3, 2022 8:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Don't know.. closed above with 3 min of data missing. Open was below. Too close to call. {image}
I want to trade this month but everything that works for me says no.. with the exception of a couple of pairs non majors I will get them on thursday.
what you think we are looking at today?
  • #94,114
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:02pm Jan 3, 2022 10:02pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I want to trade this month but everything that works for me says no.. with the exception of a couple of pairs non majors I will get them on thursday. what you think we are looking at today?
I think as long as pa is below 1447 its bearish for 1208. And as long as its above 1208, bullish for 1447. between the 2 is pa around 1327/28. Over time I think the eu will fall below 1208. It takes large closes below to hold it. Lots of other support 1175/2x that may push it back above 1208. It may take a good NFP or other news to kill 1208.

But if 1447 can be broken. 1726 could happen. It will take time to drop or rise. Time can change things.

ST of course 1439 was beaten by 1286. Before that 1360 bulls didnt hold. The next thing bulls need to do is (hold 1305) and hold above 1333 or fail. Failure to start could be the inability to take and hold 1305 (1295.5). followed by the inability to stop bears from taking 1286 and bears holding closes below it. Bears so far haven't been able to hold below 1208 (1284/86). These little micro moves can be erased by 1208 bounce.. Its only jan 3, That's a long time to hold a bull under 1208. Some strong news may be needed. Maybe just long 1208 and wait for a shot at 1447 or vice verse. Scalp wise: take some of those levels and have some fun.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,115
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:17pm Jan 3, 2022 10:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think as long as pa is below 1447 its bearish for 1208. And as long as its above 1208, bullish for 1447. between the 2 is pa around 1327/28. Over time I think the eu will fall below 1208. It takes large closes below to hold it. Lots of other support 1175/2x that may push it back above 1208. It may take a good NFP or other news to kill 1208. But if 1447 can be broken. 1726 could happen. It will take time to drop or rise. Time can change things. ST of course 1439 was beaten by 1286. Before that 1360 bulls didnt hold. The next thing bulls...
Oh aloo if 1333 is taken and held above. The same R 1343 70 86/88 and so forth.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,116
  • Jan 3, 2022 10:55pm Jan 3, 2022 10:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think as long as pa is below 1447 its bearish for 1208. And as long as its above 1208, bullish for 1447. between the 2 is pa around 1327/28. Over time I think the eu will fall below 1208. It takes large closes below to hold it. Lots of other support 1175/2x that may push it back above 1208. It may take a good NFP or other news to kill 1208. But if 1447 can be broken. 1726 could happen. It will take time to drop or rise. Time can change things. ST of course 1439 was beaten by 1286. Before that 1360 bulls didnt hold. The next thing bulls...
Thank you.
  • #94,117
  • Jan 4, 2022 12:40am Jan 4, 2022 12:40am
seems like a trend ?
1h resistance now down to 1.125 ?
bullish above 1.1326
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #94,118
  • Jan 4, 2022 4:59am Jan 4, 2022 4:59am
[quote=gatorinla;13844256]{quote} ST of course 1439 was beaten by 1286. Before that 1360 bulls didnt hold. The next thing bulls need to do is (hold 1305) and hold above 1333 or fail. Failure to start could be the inability to take and hold 1305 (1295.5). followed by the inability to stop bears from taking 1286 and bears holding closes below it. Bears so far haven't been able to hold below 1208 (1284/86). [/quote]
Still stuck


Quoting gatorinla
{quote} These little micro moves can be erased by 1208 bounce..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,119
  • Edited 5:31am Jan 4, 2022 5:07am | Edited 5:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} ST of course 1439 was beaten by 1286. Before that 1360 bulls didnt hold. The next thing bulls need to do is (hold 1305) and hold above 1333 or fail. Failure to start could be the inability to take and hold 1305 (1295.5). followed by the inability to stop bears from taking 1286 and bears holding closes below it. Bears so far haven't been able to hold below 1208 (1284/86). Still stuck {quote} {image}
either bears will touch 1286 or bulls 1333. But taken dont mean holding. Pa is between 1208 and 1447. On the South side of the middle 1327.5. 1333 is above 1327
In this ''tug of war.'' Pa is closer to 1208. Nice range may be setting up 1286-1305 for scalping.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #94,120
  • Jan 4, 2022 5:16am Jan 4, 2022 5:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} either bears will touch 1286 or bulls 1333. But taken dont mean holding. Pa is between 1208 and 1447. On the South side of the middle 1327.5. 1333 is above 1327 In this ''tug of war.'' Pa is closer to 1208. Nice range setting up 1286-1305 for scalping.
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