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The Swamp

  • #93,741
  • Dec 21, 2021 3:26am Dec 21, 2021 3:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah those seem to trade a lot easier. Especially when all you have to do is, long a retrace. Not sure if I'm hunting eu now or I'm on the menu. LC was higher, so this may be the push. I will not know about 1284 until the 12h closes. {image}
35 min. on the bull side of 1284 91, but the bear side of 1298 atm. After the week close below 1260. I thought bears had this, I may be wrong.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,742
  • Dec 21, 2021 3:55am Dec 21, 2021 3:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 35 min. on the bull side of 1284 91, but the bear side of 1298 atm. After the week close below 1260. I thought bears had this, I may be wrong. {image}
These are not all the determine factors. 1323 is also one. PA sits South of it. Added with the close below 1260. Last week closed below both also. After a rejection from day R. Dynamic day and 4h R is lower than last week. Added with the month close below 1447. The one that may have screwed things up was last month not closing below 1323. It bothered me then too. After Thanksgiving. That omicron bounce to close above 1323.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,743
  • Dec 21, 2021 3:57am Dec 21, 2021 3:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} These are not all the determine factors. 1323 is also one. PA sits South of it. Added with the close below 1260. Last week closed below both also. After a rejection from day R. Dynamic day and 4h R is lower than last week. Added with the month close below 1447. The one that may have screwed things up was last month not closing below 1323. It bothered me then too. After Thanksgiving. That omicron bounce to close above 1323.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,744
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:01am Dec 21, 2021 4:01am
If you sold 1291 or 1297. On what I said yesterday. If scared. Now is the time to run with a minimal loss. Price is below 1297
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,745
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:16am Dec 21, 2021 4:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 35 min. on the bull side of 1284 91, but the bear side of 1298 atm. After the week close below 1260. I thought bears had this, I may be wrong. {image}
-1284 12 h close eluded me. +1298 eluded others. + 1284 may be stronger 12h wise. But to counter The day closed below -1284.. Confused yet? PA has some head room. How much will it take? Will it stop it? I dont know. Wherever it is, some news move it to more extreme. But the numbers are dropping,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,746
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:24am Dec 21, 2021 4:24am
here, this day chart should help. The x is "you are here.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,747
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:38am Dec 21, 2021 4:38am
Quoting gatorinla
here, this day chart should help. The x is "you are here. {image}
I find these environments really difficult to trade unless you have a distinctive bias (S/L). If you are uncertain then you are the frog in the blender!
  • #93,748
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:42am Dec 21, 2021 4:42am
are these real #s? Maybe.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,749
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:43am Dec 21, 2021 4:43am
Quoting Steamroller
{quote} I find these environments really difficult to trade unless you have a distinctive bias (S/L). If you are uncertain then you are the frog in the blender!
I find people with a bias dont trade long. You have to play the cards dealt. The game always changes. The starting line moves.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,750
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:52am Dec 21, 2021 4:52am
Quoting gatorinla
are these real #s? Maybe. {image}

ES futures stanble another dip 1h was bot.
E/U i would say now important how we close today inflection point here

SPX resistance here. 4600 (es futures)
E/U 1.13

no one is leading so better wait.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,751
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:56am Dec 21, 2021 4:56am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} ES futures stanble another dip 1h was bot. E/U i would say now important how we close today inflection point here SPX resistance here. 4600 (es futures) E/U 1.13 no one is leading so better wait.
we also have double top now on E/U
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,752
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:58am Dec 21, 2021 4:58am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we also have double top now on E/U
i like that Oil trades higher. this should help CAD GU
so i am adding to my eur/cad short

and opening a GBP/USD long stop is the profit i made today on long gu
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,753
  • Dec 21, 2021 4:59am Dec 21, 2021 4:59am
Quoting gatorinla
here, this day chart should help. The x is "you are here. {image}
I was being sarcastic here. Look some (most) breakouts dont run right away. They retrace into a place like 1298 first. The thing is. First you dont know its a real b/o until the move is done. So if you go "all in" and it retraces first. Your going to get burned. Even if your right. The positing of your trade can burn you. To me the b/o was the week close below 1260 followed by this 1297 ish retrace for an entry,

If you chased 1260, lower week close and such. Your praying for relief now. And you hoping to get back to your level to close it. Atm I never had that stress.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,754
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:08am Dec 21, 2021 5:08am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i like that Oil trades higher. this should help CAD GU so i am adding to my eur/cad short and opening a GBP/USD long stop is the profit i made today on long gu
well if eur/usd has a new leg up this is the place to go long
i hope it breaks down. and stocks go up
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,755
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:13am Dec 21, 2021 5:13am
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My concern is the higher low at 1.124 and the higher high at 1.136. The other problem is if it makes a new LL you have missed out :-) In general my preference is not to take a position at the moment.
  • #93,756
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:14am Dec 21, 2021 5:14am
I have started entering trades like this on a 1 min chart. the 1 min stop at 1293. i have some initial trades followed with added with tight stops on a 1 min.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,757
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:18am Dec 21, 2021 5:18am
Pa is back below 1284
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,758
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:40am Dec 21, 2021 5:40am
Quoting gatorinla
Pa is back below 1284
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,759
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:42am Dec 21, 2021 5:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
week numbers...
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,760
  • Dec 21, 2021 5:44am Dec 21, 2021 5:44am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} well if eur/usd has a new leg up this is the place to go long i hope it breaks down. and stocks go up
stopped in gu on be
eur/usd ack to lows

Futures pushing higher.

if we close below 1.127 level on 1h/4h i'm shorting again eur/usd
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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