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The Swamp

  • #93,121
  • Dec 8, 2021 10:22pm Dec 8, 2021 10:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1327.4 or 1291 may be a buy {image}
missed 1327.4.. Its probably still coming minimal. like 1300 last night.. Dont fire till you see the white's in their eyes. 1327x or 1363x will be next.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,122
  • Dec 8, 2021 11:51pm Dec 8, 2021 11:51pm
here is an entry point for long EUR/USD 1.133 you cand be conservative and add just 1/2 or 1/3
next level to add to long is 1.1315 or 1.132

1.1325 also strong for adding

price should not o below this levels.

target 1.138
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,123
  • Dec 9, 2021 12:47am Dec 9, 2021 12:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} missed 1327.4.. Its probably still coming minimal. like 1300 last night.. Dont fire till you see the white's in their eyes. 1327x or 1363x will be next. {image}
i had another add coming in 1.1324 and missed it by 1/2 pips
but so far 15 minute still playing a bull flag or smth

important for bulls to close 1h above 1.133 - i will add more if we go down but i hope it doesnt get complicated
1.132 should be defeded on a closing basis. anything can happen during 1h but will just hit confidence for bulls if we trade crazy
because 1.138 still big resistance

would love to see a weekly close above 1.14
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,124
  • Dec 9, 2021 12:58am Dec 9, 2021 12:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} missed 1327.4.. Its probably still coming minimal. like 1300 last night.. Dont fire till you see the white's in their eyes. 1327x or 1363x will be next. {image}
are you trying to build longs or just play for 10/20 pips
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,125
  • Dec 9, 2021 1:08am Dec 9, 2021 1:08am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i had another add coming in 1.1324 and missed it by 1/2 pips but so far 15 minute still playing a bull flag or smth important for bulls to close 1h above 1.133 - i will add more if we go down but i hope it doesnt get complicated 1.132 should be defeded on a closing basis. anything can happen during 1h but will just hit confidence for bulls if we trade crazy because 1.138 still big resistance would love to see a weekly close above 1.14
got myslef into the second long.
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,126
  • Dec 9, 2021 1:09am Dec 9, 2021 1:09am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} got myslef into the second long. {image}
but i don't like at all how 1H closed maybe i am too pretentious.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,127
  • Dec 9, 2021 2:35am Dec 9, 2021 2:35am
The markets at the moment seem to just trap traders, wait until sentiment changes and then go in the opposite direction!
  • #93,128
  • Dec 9, 2021 3:13am Dec 9, 2021 3:13am
Maybe its just me, but I cannot buy eur/usd atm.
Daily trend is down, weekly trend is down, 4h and 1h are up but weak.

I'll keep shorting this until 4h swing is above 1.1385 ish.

US10y +1.499
DE10y -0.335
A fool and his money are easily parted
  • #93,129
  • Dec 9, 2021 3:14am Dec 9, 2021 3:14am
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...?sref=SfEXIlDZ

Evergrande defaulted
Kaisa is next.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,130
  • Dec 9, 2021 4:06am Dec 9, 2021 4:06am
Gator did you follow USD/MXN in the last month ? what cause the spike/downtrend from November to now ?
Did not trade this pair since the beg of the year.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,131
  • Dec 9, 2021 4:34am Dec 9, 2021 4:34am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i had another add coming in 1.1324 and missed it by 1/2 pips but so far 15 minute still playing a bull flag or smth important for bulls to close 1h above 1.133 - i will add more if we go down but i hope it doesnt get complicated 1.132 should be defeded on a closing basis. anything can happen during 1h but will just hit confidence for bulls if we trade crazy because 1.138 still big resistance would love to see a weekly close above 1.14
I dont know about 1292.. some support at 1307x. 1292 could be normal. I just dont know if it can pass 1307.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,132
  • Dec 9, 2021 4:51am Dec 9, 2021 4:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know about 1292.. some support at 1307x. 1292 could be normal. I just dont know if it can pass 1307.
1.131 should be strong support
1.130 stronger

below it just back to square 1 with bottom forming or not.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,133
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:02am Dec 9, 2021 5:02am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 1.131 should be strong support 1.130 stronger below it just back to square 1 with bottom forming or not.
we need to trade above 1.133 - and 1h close above
until that happens it's just duckery
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,134
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:07am Dec 9, 2021 5:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know about 1292.. some support at 1307x. 1292 could be normal. I just dont know if it can pass 1307.
looking at the CHF.. it may be near the bottom.. 200 ema day bottom. (Stronger USD). Of course if ec 200 it fails, it will drop. EU usually does the opposite. (strong usd eu drop).. eu 200 ema day is much higher at 1700. The usd/chf and the eu are on the strong usd side still (200 ema day). The eur/chf has the eur on the weak side.. The eu is on the weak side of 1323 1447 . BB wise 1310 is the day center S on the eu. If you take the 20 ema 1340 is R.. Close a day below 1310 or 1307 points to a lower eu.

Cliff notes.. The euro is weak. But has room to bounce to reach the 200 ema day. 1310 may be a place to long if your bullish. Just keep the day close north In a position trade.. Cause the euro is on the bear side of the 200 through the 20 day ema
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,135
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:15am Dec 9, 2021 5:15am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 1.131 should be strong support 1.130 stronger below it just back to square 1 with bottom forming or not.
I have 1.1350 ish stronger resistance than 1.13 support or 1.1270
A fool and his money are easily parted
  • #93,136
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:28am Dec 9, 2021 5:28am
Quoting MozzChops
{quote} I have 1.1350 ish stronger resistance than 1.13 support or 1.1270
chances are % speaking if we reach 1.135 to go way higher
from a bearish perspective we should not see 1.135 before 1.13
1.132 looks shortable now.

fight is now 1.13 vs 1.133

also from a RIsk off in Europe trading smaller tf's favour USD strength
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,137
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:29am Dec 9, 2021 5:29am
Quoting MozzChops
{quote} I have 1.1350 ish stronger resistance than 1.13 support or 1.1270
week chart shows the cluster of past support. bears need to close a week below 1235. Bulls are taking the stall as bullish. All The smaller ma are condensing. The smaller indicators are lying. I dont trust ma over 1 minute and trends less than 100 day atm
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #93,138
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:33am Dec 9, 2021 5:33am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} chances are % speaking if we reach 1.135 to go way higher from a bearish perspective we should not see 1.135 before 1.13 1.132 looks shortable now. fight is now 1.13 vs 1.133 also from a RIsk off in Europe trading smaller tf's favour USD strength
I have a nice little script I wrote year ago based on weekly fib pivots.

Last 4 years:

Probability of hitting R38: 17%
Probability of hitting S61: 37%

Last 20 years:

R38 18.4%
S61: 36%

These are the probabilities because S38 has already been hit.
A fool and his money are easily parted
  • #93,139
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:42am Dec 9, 2021 5:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} week chart shows the cluster of past support. bears need to close a week below 1235. Bulls are taking the stall as bullish. All The smaller ma are condensing. The smaller indicators are lying. I dont trust ma over 1 minute and trends less than 100 day atm {image}
got myself a lot of idicators now conflicting with each other
also i am looking to EUR/CHF now that tells a different story


E/U should stop going up right now to the second if bears are taking control 1.1322 (edit price i was referring)
1h must close below 1.133 for the bearish scenariu

if we close above Bulls will get more cocky
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #93,140
  • Dec 9, 2021 5:52am Dec 9, 2021 5:52am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} got myself a lot of idicators now conflicting with each other also i am looking to EUR/CHF now that tells a different story E/U should stop going up right now to the second if bears are taking control 1.1322 (edit price i was referring) 1h must close below 1.133 for the bearish scenariu if we close above Bulls will get more cocky
and it was to the second. bears are in control so far.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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