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The Swamp

  • #92,841
  • Nov 29, 2021 2:42pm Nov 29, 2021 2:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
pa is below 2757 and 2754. Thats my 5 min support. If it dont bounce here, It may be time to close 275x.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,842
  • Nov 30, 2021 1:03am Nov 30, 2021 1:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A fresh higher 1h close. We may see a break out on the usd/cad anytime now. I plan to buy smaller positions on a rise to snowball toward 3150 R,, 2813 is a larger R that 2881, see chart. The virus news may yield 3150 with the drop of oil demand in a shutdown. {image}
lets see if it breaks north soon.. usd/cad. 5min stops can be below 2780. Slight HH now. If it cant get below 2766 now.. It should be time.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,843
  • Nov 30, 2021 1:14am Nov 30, 2021 1:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lets see if it breaks north soon.. usd/cad. 5min stops can be below 2780. Slight HH now. If it cant get below 2766 now.. It should be time. {image} {image}
The 4h did close higher. This may be a slow motion b/o
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,844
  • Nov 30, 2021 1:27am Nov 30, 2021 1:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 4h did close higher. This may be a slow motion b/o
the 12h close in 2.5 h above 2789. would be a HC. The last 4h did close above 2789. Its just a fundamental play on oil for me. Lower oil due to covid new strand. Should weaken the CAD. If it weakens the usd more. I will be wrong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,845
  • Nov 30, 2021 1:43am Nov 30, 2021 1:43am
Today will close a month candle. 2895 looks open,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,846
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:00am Nov 30, 2021 2:00am
UVM and Tufts Team Builds First Living Robots...
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  • #92,847
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:03am Nov 30, 2021 2:03am
So $MRNA CEO said vaccine probably not so strong against Omicron
Market Sell of now people expect FED to slow down on tapper usd down )
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,848
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:05am Nov 30, 2021 2:05am
Quoting DMA Trader
gonna close some longs and short 1.135 will still have longs from above but i would be suprised to close aboce 1.135 but the week looks great
going to this level. very nice. super strong resistance here. 1.135
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,849
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:44am Nov 30, 2021 2:44am
Quoting DMA Trader
So $MRNA CEO said vaccine probably not so strong against Omicron Market Sell of now people expect FED to slow down on tapper usd down )
I think the Fed may slow down the raise too. But so will all the other countries (mostly a wash). I think the lowered expected oil demand. Will hurt the countries with more oil based economies (currency value). I think the countries with a more vaccinated population. Will come out better than those who dont. I think the currency's will follow this path. Since EZ dont have much oil. A lower oil price should help EZ. Japan may be helped too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,850
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:54am Nov 30, 2021 2:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think the Fed may slow down the raise too. But so will all the other countries (mostly a wash). I think the lowered expected oil demand. Will hurt the countries with more oil based economies (currency value). I think the countries with a more vaccinated population. Will come out better than those who dont. I think the currency's will follow this path. Since EZ dont have much oil. A lower oil price should help EZ. Japan may be helped too.
pretty much yes.
and interesting about EZvs oil/gas.

so far we are exactly at resistance.
went short an close some longs.

but above it may be bullish

all other strange very bearish so far.

GU comes in second place as PA goes. looking also close into it can we see 1.34 ?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,851
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:54am Nov 30, 2021 2:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I think the Fed may slow down the raise too. But so will all the other countries (mostly a wash). I think the lowered expected oil demand. Will hurt the countries with more oil based economies (currency value). I think the countries with a more vaccinated population. Will come out better than those who dont. I think the currency's will follow this path. Since EZ dont have much oil. A lower oil price should help EZ. Japan may be helped too.
Verse oil based Cad. Euro may do good. As long as eu rises. the ec looks to move at a premium/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,852
  • Nov 30, 2021 2:58am Nov 30, 2021 2:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Verse oil based Cad. Euro may do good. As long as eu rises. the ec looks to move at a premium/
GC should have netted you about 1300.. EC 1400 Points
As Long as EU is under 1360 everything should work out properly with EU and GU when it reaches 341..
I am waiting for EG to finish so I can short it all..

Keep going gator your really good at calling it as it is.. along with DMA
  • #92,853
  • Nov 30, 2021 3:05am Nov 30, 2021 3:05am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} pretty much yes. and interesting about EZvs oil/gas. so far we are exactly at resistance. went short an close some longs. but above it may be bullish all other strange very bearish so far. GU comes in second place as PA goes. looking also close into it can we see 1.34 ?
Yeah, the ez pays near double for petro. petro is priced in usd. The u.s. % in a petro $ economy is less than the cad, but more than the ez. The ez benefits more than the u.s. with cheaper oil because the ez pays more. The u.s. has become an oil exporter. The ez will spend less buying u.s. exported oil and NG. There will be a lag time before the u.s. pays more for a BMW (inflated eu value). The BMW will be made with cheaper u.s. oil.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,854
  • Nov 30, 2021 3:07am Nov 30, 2021 3:07am
Quoting q_import
{quote} GC should have netted you about 1300.. EC 1400 Points As Long as EU is under 1360 everything should work out properly with EU and GU when it reaches 341.. I am waiting for EG to finish so I can short it all.. Keep going gator your really good at calling it as it is.. along with DMA
give me a heads up when near.. thanks.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,855
  • Nov 30, 2021 3:11am Nov 30, 2021 3:11am
eu hit adr.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,856
  • Nov 30, 2021 3:19am Nov 30, 2021 3:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, the ez pays near double for petro. petro is priced in usd. The u.s. % in a petro $ economy is less than the cad, but more than the ez. The ez benefits more than the u.s. with cheaper oil because the ez pays more. The u.s. has become an oil exporter. The ez will spend less buying u.s. exported oil and NG. There will be a lag time before the u.s. pays more for a BMW (inflated eu value). The BMW will be made with cheaper u.s. oil.
well i think Oil fall was one of the biggest i think the third in history in a day .
so while price still looking for a base. it should be one of the best indicators now for risk

EU - GU leading the fight against usd
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,857
  • Nov 30, 2021 3:38am Nov 30, 2021 3:38am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} well i think Oil fall was one of the biggest i think the third in history in a day . so while price still looking for a base. it should be one of the best indicators now for risk EU - GU leading the fight against usd
When that gu move tires.. it will fall like oil. GB has a lot of oil related ties.. BP, Shell etc. North sea stuff.
Tourism and covid dont mix. Economy slowdown and banking dont fair well.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,858
  • Nov 30, 2021 4:04am Nov 30, 2021 4:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} When that gu move tires.. it will fall like oil. GB has a lot of oil related ties.. BP, Shell etc. North sea stuff. Tourism and covid dont mix. Economy slowdown and banking dont fair well. {image}
We should get a nice seperation in price where EU starts to fall and gu continues to rise if EU continues the model for EU changes and I have to rethink possible outcomes as for EG we get a nice continuation of Higher and Higher prices along with EC and GC.
I am hope it seperates nicely that way everything can continue into next month..
  • #92,859
  • Nov 30, 2021 4:07am Nov 30, 2021 4:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 12h close in 2.5 h above 2789. would be a HC. The last 4h did close above 2789. Its just a fundamental play on oil for me. Lower oil due to covid new strand. Should weaken the CAD. If it weakens the usd more. I will be wrong.
the close was below 2789.. Big week with NFP etc..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,860
  • Nov 30, 2021 4:37am Nov 30, 2021 4:37am
TURKEY 5-YR CDS ADD 4 BPS FROM MONDAY CLOSE TO 508 BPS, HIGHEST IN OVER A YEAR

also USD/TRY near 13
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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