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The Swamp

  • #92,541
  • Nov 18, 2021 9:13am Nov 18, 2021 9:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} So good so far. {image}
1.148 still in the cards

Crypto taking a hit again. ETH sub 4000
BTC sub 60K
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,542
  • Nov 18, 2021 9:19am Nov 18, 2021 9:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} P.S. This down move is strong. 136x/7x is not the stronger R. So if it runs though. It may go to 1437 or 1492. Neither have been tested from below. When S turned R it is often tested.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I can see reaching 1362/69.. I see some real R 1370. Dynamic 3h and 4h 1376/79. Atm 1h R testing 1341, 2h at 1361. {image}
Listening to modern crap.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,543
  • Nov 18, 2021 10:03am Nov 18, 2021 10:03am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 1.148 still in the cards Crypto taking a hit again. ETH sub 4000 BTC sub 60K
Be careful. Year end closes can relentless.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,544
  • Nov 18, 2021 10:29am Nov 18, 2021 10:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Be careful. Year end closes can relentless.
i want to see how this week closes. still have 1 day, sorry more like 1.145 the top for now.
above trend is changing.

maybe in December we play the US debt ceiling with dollar going down who knows.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,545
  • Nov 18, 2021 11:08am Nov 18, 2021 11:08am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i want to see how this week closes. still have 1 day, sorry more like 1.145 the top for now. above trend is changing. maybe in December we play the US debt ceiling with dollar going down who knows.
employment number revision and inflation are against you.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,546
  • Nov 18, 2021 11:12am Nov 18, 2021 11:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} GBP I took a small long. Will add if this starts more trend. stop is the low+ {image}
Locking in profit 1385
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,547
  • Nov 18, 2021 11:58am Nov 18, 2021 11:58am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #92,548
  • Nov 18, 2021 5:08pm Nov 18, 2021 5:08pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I do like them sometimes... I have to be in a mood...
Its not a mood thing, Its a lifetime love of music. The stories it tells. The love of family. You either get it or you dont.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,549
  • Nov 18, 2021 7:30pm Nov 18, 2021 7:30pm
1.134/1.135 will be key so the bulls not lose it.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,550
  • Nov 19, 2021 12:55am Nov 19, 2021 12:55am
Quoting swd
{quote} A strong dollar decreases the chance of a rate rise as it helps to lower inflation by reducing import prices which might have the effect of lowering prices generally. Feels to me like the FED robots are hard at work buying dollar for maybe this reason Seem to want to hold off raising rates.
Expecting new weekly low
  • #92,551
  • Nov 19, 2021 1:38am Nov 19, 2021 1:38am
Quoting gatorinla;13791056[U
]pick a spot. we got 5.5 weeks to drop 416 pips. 1369/78 area may be a place to consider shorting. 15.5 pips per day average at low. Or a adr of 75. at 1369 the drop could be 521 pips. Or 19 pips per day. 95 pips per week average. Of course the higher it rises // The more adr it requires to reach 1.0848 by years end. To close 2021[/u] {image}
Enjoy
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,552
  • Nov 19, 2021 2:22am Nov 19, 2021 2:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Locking in profit 1385
GBP stopped a little higher. I think a small one to start 3405/3350. But just a tiny one because pa is still bearish. I need to consider EG
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,553
  • Nov 19, 2021 2:40am Nov 19, 2021 2:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} GBP stopped a little higher. I think a small one to start 3405/3350. But just a tiny one because pa is still bearish. I need to consider EG
crazy just crazy. and now seeing inflation so high in Germany today. i think it's just the beginning even if it's sounds extreme

don't want to be with gloom and doom but as dollar goes higher from here we could see some crashes.
that would mean assets correct and then you have a weaker currency (i.e EUR) and you somehow going through inflation

but everyone should be carful. we have not seen liquidation in the last year, so people will probably buy dips

also again #crypto correction leading other assets.

i don't think it's an ordinary friday
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,554
  • Nov 19, 2021 2:40am Nov 19, 2021 2:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} GBP stopped a little higher. I think a small one to start 3405/3350. But just a tiny one because pa is still bearish. I need to consider EG
EG Week close above .8435 may be bullish. Day support bounced it here. The week close may hot stove above 8435.
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Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,555
  • Nov 19, 2021 2:56am Nov 19, 2021 2:56am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} crazy just crazy. and now seeing inflation so high in Germany today. i think it's just the beginning even if it's sounds extreme don't want to be with gloom and doom but as dollar goes higher from here we could see some crashes. that would mean assets correct and then you have a weaker currency (i.e EUR) and you somehow going through inflation but everyone should be carful. we have not seen liquidation in the last year, so people will probably buy dips also again #crypto correction leading other assets. i don't think it's an ordinary friday...
EQ Indices are from another movie. most of my stocks went down yesterday, SP500 futs all time hight premarket.
went down on inflation now up - amazing
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,556
  • Nov 19, 2021 2:56am Nov 19, 2021 2:56am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} crazy just crazy. and now seeing inflation so high in Germany today. i think it's just the beginning even if it's sounds extreme don't want to be with gloom and doom but as dollar goes higher from here we could see some crashes. that would mean assets correct and then you have a weaker currency (i.e EUR) and you somehow going through inflation but everyone should be carful. we have not seen liquidation in the last year, so people will probably buy dips also again #crypto correction leading other assets. i don't think it's an ordinary friday...
It only matters the timing of the report. I mentioned A while back when this was hot news in the U.S. Well its just the U.S. reported it first. Later other countries will report inflation. The U.S. just happened to be the first to do it. Any inflation news is always amplified in UK and Europe. EZ will always pay more for energy in a carbon based economy. So the EZ inflation will always be higher compared to the U.S. Refineries in the U.S. are piped oil mostly from domestic suppliers in North America. Europe on the other hand relies on more ships. The cost for petro in Europe is more. Petro is multiple cost in every fiber of the EZ economy. The true cost of oil is never known. Add in the war cost. A barrel of oil may cost 5k to a country.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,557
  • Nov 19, 2021 3:04am Nov 19, 2021 3:04am
Eur strike price so far...those wont matter...

FX option expiries for November 19 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.1375 781m
  2. 1.1390 823m
  3. 1.1450 403m
  4. 1.1500 1.6b

- USD/JPY: USD amounts

  1. 114.00 612m
  2. 114.75 574m
  3. 115.00 400m

- USD/CHF: USD amounts

  1. 0.9110 450m
  2. 0.9125 880m
  3. 0.9370 480m

- AUD/USD: AUD amounts

  1. 0.7275 302m

- USD/CAD: USD amounts

  1. 1.2350 1.6b
  2. 1.2370 567m
  3. 1.2475 603m
  4. 1.2650 556m

- EUR/GBP: EUR amounts

  1. 0.8515 857m
  2. 0.8600 937m

  • #92,558
  • Nov 19, 2021 3:27am Nov 19, 2021 3:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It only matters the timing of the report. I mentioned A while back when this was hot news in the U.S. Well its just the U.S. reported it first. Later other countries will report inflation. The U.S. just happened to be the first to do it. Any inflation news is always amplified in UK and Europe. EZ will always pay more for energy in a carbon based economy. So the EZ inflation will always be higher compared to the U.S. Refineries in the U.S. are piped oil mostly from domestic suppliers in North America. Europe on the other hand relies on more...
the only argument for transitory camp is assets correction fast. (crude going down again today)
dollar strength should also help fight inflation,
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,559
  • Nov 19, 2021 3:29am Nov 19, 2021 3:29am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} the only argument for transitory camp is assets correction fast. (crude going down again today) dollar strength should also help fight inflation,
i was expecting some BS talk about USD Debt Ceiling - and dollar weakness. been wrong almost 2 weeks now.
time for a break
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,560
  • Nov 19, 2021 3:45am Nov 19, 2021 3:45am
does anyone see Germany issuing
a lockdown??
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