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It's Unreliable

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  • Post #121
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  • Nov 17, 2021 1:54pm Nov 17, 2021 1:54pm
  •  bento2019
  • | Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 36 Posts
Quoting braintheboss
Disliked
{quote} Just let me make an advice if you want not fall in common traps. Forget facts here. Stoch/rsi are not exhausted areas. Its a common wrong read/understanding about how works tools. If you check in strong trends you will see they are long time there. How people can call exhausted to something moves hundreds pips after reach that area You should try doubt about all when you are trying understand market. It happened something similar in EAX to other member. He believed csm tool is a strength meter and this is completely wrong from...
Ignored
I hope I am misunderstanding your statement. I use those tools well, the Macd for the purpose of seeing divergences. For example, classic. When I see The trend making lower lows but the indicator is making Higher lows, it makes me think that this trend is exhausting and I will looking to buy the pair when my price action matches my indicators. But, let me tell yah, sometimes classic divergence could be read different because that movement could be temporary and it could re-enter the trend that's when a possible hidden divergence comes into play. This is a crazy game and experience is key. I love it, though.

Side note: looking for overbought and oversold in forex is really hard and I would not rely on it. Those tools are better used for divergences. Just my opinion. Not financial advice.
 
 
  • Post #122
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  • Nov 17, 2021 2:31pm Nov 17, 2021 2:31pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
After much study of the Forex market, and the implementation of various strategies and indicators, I have come to the conclusion that most of what I have learned, and most of what is being taught, is unreliable. Moving average crosses, supply and demand zones, volume profile, tick volume, MACD, RSI, channel trading, Bollinger bands, sentiment trading, psychological levels, most candlestick patterns, etc..., all seem to be unreliable when it comes to having a substantial win rate resulting in good profits by the end of the year. The people marketing...
Ignored
You're very correct in some the points you made. I leaned that EURO and GBP are correlated. Since my trading I have found out that GBP and USD are more positively correlated
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #123
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  • Nov 17, 2021 2:31pm Nov 17, 2021 2:31pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,330 Posts
Quoting bento2019
Disliked
{quote}...looking for overbought and oversold in forex is really hard and I would not rely on it...
Ignored
Useless information that brokers want traders to believe in. New traders usually get sucked into this garbage. Experienced traders who place emphasis on this should be ashamed. Total waste of time.
You don't know because you don't ask.
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  • Post #125
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  • Nov 17, 2021 2:50pm Nov 17, 2021 2:50pm
  •  braintheboss
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Coder | 8,490 Posts | Online Now
Quoting bento2019
Disliked
{quote} I hope I am misunderstanding your statement. I use those tools well, the Macd for the purpose of seeing divergences. For example, classic. When I see The trend making lower lows but the indicator is making Higher lows, it makes me think that this trend is exhausting and I will looking to buy the pair when my price action matches my indicators. But, let me tell yah, sometimes classic divergence could be read different because that movement could be temporary and it could re-enter the trend that's when a possible hidden divergence comes into...
Ignored
Forex is subjective viewer perspective. 2 traders can read a chart/tool in a different way. My statement is about this. Its better to be wide open mind and not think about unmovable "facts". How trader manage tool reading is a personal decision.

Maybe king of this facts is about use of SL. Everybody will tell you must use them. My TE says a different story ( about equity/balance chart )
Try don't lose pants never...
 
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  • Post #126
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  • Nov 17, 2021 3:10pm Nov 17, 2021 3:10pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} Useless information that brokers want traders to believe in. New traders usually get sucked into this garbage. Experienced traders who place emphasis on this should be ashamed. Total waste of time.
Ignored
Brokers are not the ones teaching bout overbought and oversold
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #127
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  • Nov 17, 2021 3:10pm Nov 17, 2021 3:10pm
  •  fxsport
  • Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 2,950 Posts | Online Now
Quoting here2there
Disliked
After much study of the Forex market, and the implementation of various strategies and indicators, I have come to the conclusion that most of what I have learned, and most of what is being taught, is unreliable. Moving average crosses, supply and demand zones, volume profile, tick volume, MACD, RSI, channel trading, Bollinger bands, sentiment trading, psychological levels, most candlestick patterns, etc..., all seem to be unreliable when it comes to having a substantial win rate resulting in good profits by the end of the year. The people marketing...
Ignored
Firstly I agree with you about most of what is being taught being unreliable. So what is reliable?

After reading the bickering between ryuryu and roberts4me it is reliable that you can't change someone's mind on a Forex chat board and that some people just like to argue and be angry. Don't worry if other people disagree with you. Note it, point it out if you wish, but trying to correct them? That's a sure-fire reliable way to just start a useless argument that usually takes 1-2 pages...

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  • Post #128
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  • Nov 17, 2021 3:13pm Nov 17, 2021 3:13pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
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{quote} Brokers are not the ones teaching about overbought and oversold
Ignored
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...tor-profitably?
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #129
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:18pm Nov 17, 2021 3:18pm
  •  bento2019
  • | Joined Jan 2019 | Status: Member | 36 Posts
Quoting braintheboss
Disliked
{quote} Forex is subjective viewer perspective. 2 traders can read a chart/tool in a different way. My statement is about this. Its better to be wide open mind and not think about unmovable "facts". How trader manage tool reading is a personal decision. Maybe king of this facts is about use of SL. Everybody will tell you must use them. My TE says a different story ( about equity/balance chart )
Ignored
I never thought about of looking at those things. Could you post an example? I would really be interested on how to look at that. Thank you.
 
 
  • Post #130
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:22pm Nov 17, 2021 3:22pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
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{quote} https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...tor-profitably?
Ignored
Check out the running GBPNZD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: gbpnzdrr.png
Size: 45 KB
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #131
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  • Nov 17, 2021 3:25pm Nov 17, 2021 3:25pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
Disliked
{quote} Check out the running GBPNZD {image}
Ignored
That's how to trade the overbought and oversold. Price can be more bullish on Overbought as the GBPNZD running now and on oversold price can be more bearish
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #132
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:26pm Nov 17, 2021 3:26pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,330 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
Disliked
{quote} Brokers are not the ones teaching bout overbought and oversold
Ignored
Saying brokers want traders to believe in something that is unreliable, is not the same as saying brokers are teaching traders to believe in something that is unreliable.

But do you think there is the slightest possibility there are educators out there working for a broker who give traders misleading information that, if applied, could ultimately lead to loss of funds?

You don't need to answer that question. I've already seen it years ago.
You don't know because you don't ask.
1
 
  • Post #133
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:28pm Nov 17, 2021 3:28pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,330 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
Disliked
{quote} Check out the running GBPNZD {image}
Ignored
But what about those times when it didn't work?
You don't know because you don't ask.
1
 
  • Post #134
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:31pm Nov 17, 2021 3:31pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} Saying brokers want traders to believe in something that is unreliable, is not the same as saying brokers are teaching traders to believe in something that is unreliable. But do you think there is the slightest possibility there are educators out there working for a broker who give traders misleading information that, if applied, ultimately leads to loss of funds? You don't need to answer that question. I've already seen it years ago.
Ignored
You would learn more from your chart as you trade and come to either believe or not what we have learned. As I said before now some of the points you said that are misleading are correct
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #135
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:33pm Nov 17, 2021 3:33pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,330 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
Disliked
{quote} You would learn more from your chart as you trade and come to either believe or not what we have learned. As I said before now some of the points you said that are misleading are correct
Ignored
What did I say that is misleading?
You don't know because you don't ask.
1
 
  • Post #136
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:34pm Nov 17, 2021 3:34pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} But what about those times when it didn't work?
Ignored
Do we not have breakout and fakeout. That's the reason to keep the risk low
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
1
  • Post #137
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:40pm Nov 17, 2021 3:40pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Quoting here2there
Disliked
{quote} What did I say that is misleading?
Ignored
I did not say you said something that's misleading. I mean some of the information we received while learning are misleading when we finally start trading.That's the reason I said we would learn more from the chart
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
 
  • Post #138
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:43pm Nov 17, 2021 3:43pm
  •  here2there
  • Joined Dec 2019 | Status: Moving on... | 5,330 Posts
Quoting 9jatrader
Disliked
{quote} I did not say you said something that's misleading. I mean some of the information we received while learning are misleading when we finally start trading.That's the reason I said we would learn more from the chart
Ignored
I see.
You don't know because you don't ask.
1
 
  • Post #139
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:48pm Nov 17, 2021 3:48pm
  •  braintheboss
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Coder | 8,490 Posts | Online Now
Quoting bento2019
Disliked
{quote} I never thought about of looking at those things. Could you post an example? I would really be interested on how to look at that. Thank you.
Ignored
I made a draft in a thread called stack MM. After a few evolutions, theory start to be something tangible. But my trading paradigm is very different to others. Current test is not about strategy. Its about MM. Really system running is a mid term loser ( less 55% win ratio ) but its stable in profit.

Reason about this "weird" behavior is out of scope here.
Try don't lose pants never...
 
 
  • Post #140
  • Quote
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:50pm Nov 17, 2021 3:50pm
  •  9jatrader
  • Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 6,143 Posts
Good night. Am waiting for trade setup here
Make all possible mistakes in Demo and rain in pips in live account
9jatrader All Time Return: 375.6%
 
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