DAX Futures December 2021 | Page 128 | Forex Factory

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DAX Futures December 2021

  • #2,541
  • Nov 17, 2021 2:43am Nov 17, 2021 2:43am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Austria partial lockdowns could weigh on SudTirol too, maybe it's the reason for few people around, or simply the tourist invasion is only delayed to a typical December.
it‘s always like that in Winter, not much tourism in meran area since there are not so many extredski areas . Ski tourists I think are primarily in „dolomiti superski“..
  • #2,542
  • Nov 17, 2021 2:46am Nov 17, 2021 2:46am
Quoting Brixen
Rarely I was flat around/after 9CET................ It could be an ultra narrow range day trade, typical just before a 3rd friday expiration!
unprecedented call activity.
By close of today's option market hours, most of the call sellers will exit.
So the narrow range will remain to scare them .
Attached Image
Practice makes a person perfect
  • #2,543
  • Nov 17, 2021 2:54am Nov 17, 2021 2:54am
Quoting simnz
{quote} unprecedented call activity. By close of today's option market hours, most of the call sellers will exit. So the narrow range will remain to scare them .{image}
Market makers offered quite attractive rich premium - up to 150 pips more than intrinsic value - to call sellers two weeks ago. Now the scared call sellers are paying higher premium - 300 pips, losing 150 pips - to get out.
Practice makes a person perfect
  • #2,544
  • Nov 17, 2021 2:55am Nov 17, 2021 2:55am
Quoting simnz
{quote} unprecedented call activity. By close of today's option market hours, most of the call sellers will exit. So the narrow range will remain to scare them .{image}
So what do you think for next monthly expiration...300 and above or they will retrace towards 16k?

They usually shot higher and higher prices just before the expiration and then start a free fall.....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,545
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:01am Nov 17, 2021 3:01am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} So what do you think for next monthly expiration...300 and above or they will retrace towards 16k? They usually shot higher and higher prices just before the expiration and then start a free fall.....
Depends on options activity. Not so strong volumes in the recent past.
Buyers of futures are missing.
Volumes thin.
So market makers are busy moving options activity.

They should retrace towards 16k by Friday options closure to deal with buyers.
Let us see if this conjecture holds or not.

I had a similar experience of selling call options two weeks ago. I got 150 pips more than intrinsic value last month transaction but on Thursday early this month I was in loss by 100 pips.
I just sat tight and on Friday the option closed out of money which means I kept all 150 pips as profit and did not lose anything.
Practice makes a person perfect
  • #2,546
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:06am Nov 17, 2021 3:06am
Quoting karuner
{quote} it‘s always like that in Winter, not much tourism in meran area since there are not so many extredski areas . Ski tourists I think are primarily in „dolomiti superski“..
Brixen town, SudTirol, Marketplatz during XMAS time, some years ago...ah memories!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: xmas1.PNG Size: 1.5 MB
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  • #2,547
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:10am Nov 17, 2021 3:10am
Quoting Brixen
266 just bought 1 FDXS
259 added now
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,548
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:12am Nov 17, 2021 3:12am
Quoting simnz
{quote} Depends on options activity. Not so strong volumes in the recent past. Buyers of futures are missing. Volumes thin. So market makers are busy moving options activity. They should retrace towards 16k by Friday options closure to deal with buyers. Let us see if this conjecture holds or not. I had a similar experience of selling call options two weeks ago. I got 150 pips more than intrinsic value last month transaction but on Thursday early this month I was in loss by 100 pips. I just sat tight and on Friday the option closed out of money which...
It was on July or Sept monthly expiration, you called a drop for roughly 300 pts for friday after their usual sharp rise during the week......
and that was the outcome!
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,549
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:14am Nov 17, 2021 3:14am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 259 added now
255 added again
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,550
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:15am Nov 17, 2021 3:15am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} 255 added again
I have now 3 FDXS 260
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,551
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:16am Nov 17, 2021 3:16am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} I have now 3 FDXS 260
CPI Euro data next 45 min could freeze or retrace the European markets......
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,552
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:27am Nov 17, 2021 3:27am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} It was on July or Sept monthly expiration, you called a drop for roughly 300 pts for friday after their usual sharp rise during the week...... and that was the outcome!
It is faceless market participants we are dealing with.
It is a gamble actually.
All sorts of scenarios have to be projected and I would consider lucky if any of those projections work out.
Practice makes a person perfect
  • #2,553
  • Nov 17, 2021 3:47am Nov 17, 2021 3:47am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} I have now 3 FDXS 260
260 zone for DAX CASH INDEX = 250 zone for DAX FUTURES is trying to hold at 1st decent retracement for today.......we'll see.
Overall scenario is too fragile at these levels, unchartered territories is the same as you move on quicksand.......
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,554
  • Nov 17, 2021 4:23am Nov 17, 2021 4:23am
I guess houses are expensive these days but they were much more expensives 15 years ago, generally speaking and regarding the areas I know aroud here.
While fianncial markets were at least 50% below current prices, 15 years ago, imho.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ECB1.PNG Size: 52 KB
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  • #2,555
  • Nov 17, 2021 4:58am Nov 17, 2021 4:58am
Quoting Brixen
I guess houses are expensive these days but they were much more expensives 15 years ago, generally speaking and regarding the areas I know aroud here. While fianncial markets were at least 50% below current prices, 15 years ago, imho. {image}

here is Ireland they are 30% more expensive than at the peak in 2007-08 with no sight of slowing down. Property market is quite lucrative business here especially if you are renting it to someone.
The only thing that will make us successful is if we can control ourselves!
  • #2,556
  • Nov 17, 2021 5:13am Nov 17, 2021 5:13am
Quoting pabuuu
{quote} here is Ireland they are 30% more expensive than at the peak in 2007-08 with no sight of slowing down. Property market is quite lucrative business here especially if you are renting it to someone.
Yes, renting is quite expensive these days. There was a boom in property sector just after early 2000 years, after the stocks bubble, with an huge peak 2006/2009.

In my previous post I only wanted made a comparison between stock markets and house sector last 15 years to nowadays and I dont think property is booming 100% as major European Indices are doing, thats all!
But we all know that financial markets are not so correlated to real economy..... sometimes or better say often.
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,557
  • Nov 17, 2021 5:17am Nov 17, 2021 5:17am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} I have now 3 FDXS 260
All positions closed now at breakeven 260.
It make no sense to trade in these 10 pts range.....
I'll back for US session.

Inserted Video
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
  • #2,558
  • Nov 17, 2021 5:19am Nov 17, 2021 5:19am
Quoting Brixen
{quote} Yes, renting is quite expensive these days. There was a boom in property sector just after early 2000 years, after the stocks bubble, with an huge peak 2006/2009. In my previous post I only wanted made a comparison between stock markets and house sector last 15 years to nowadays and I dont think property is booming 100% as major European Indices are doing, thats all! But we all know that financial markets are not so correlated to real economy..... sometimes or better say often.

I know what you meant and appreciate you answering to my post. I just wanted to highlight that maybe around your area the prices didn't go back up to the levels from the high but in other places they might have easily gotten way above them. Hope you have a good day. By the way, reading your daily journal is what keeps me same in this insane world
The only thing that will make us successful is if we can control ourselves!
  • #2,559
  • Nov 17, 2021 6:59am Nov 17, 2021 6:59am
Quoting simnz
{quote} unprecedented call activity. By close of today's option market hours, most of the call sellers will exit. So the narrow range will remain to scare them .{image}
Once the calls are closed today they probably will turn to Puts parked up to 15950 area yesterday evening and on Friday.
Practice makes a person perfect
  • #2,560
  • Nov 17, 2021 7:38am Nov 17, 2021 7:38am
Quoting pabuuu
{quote} I know what you meant and appreciate you answering to my post. I just wanted to highlight that maybe around your area the prices didn't go back up to the levels from the high but in other places they might have easily gotten way above them. Hope you have a good day. By the way, reading your daily journal is what keeps me same in this insane world
Thanks, but I'm becoming crazy me too in this circus.....
I call upon my father's spirit , watching over me
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