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The Swamp

  • #92,381
  • Nov 11, 2021 7:35pm Nov 11, 2021 7:35pm
sh stops to 1447-1.. gbp 3365
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,382
  • Nov 11, 2021 11:46pm Nov 11, 2021 11:46pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} in with stop {image}
i was stopped yesterday

nothing new today same thing.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: stoped.png Size: 2 KB
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,383
  • Nov 12, 2021 1:03am Nov 12, 2021 1:03am
Quoting gatorinla
If/when it gets above 1459. It may form a trend. Maybe 1527. But I dont like, it didnt bounce yet. Money should have been waiting. Boy boys should have closed. Price should of bounced. The balance may not have changed here enough yet. {image}
it's something that goes rare

another idea is Bond Markets were closed yesterday for Veterans Day, equity also was boring
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,384
  • Nov 12, 2021 1:23am Nov 12, 2021 1:23am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} it's something that goes rare another idea is Bond Markets were closed yesterday for Veterans Day, equity also was boring
USD/CNH still trades very low to 6.38 i know it's not trading free but i am surprise we are still so low
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,385
  • Nov 12, 2021 1:45am Nov 12, 2021 1:45am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} i was stopped yesterday nothing new today same thing. {image}
are are about to get the first almost bullish close on 1h on EU and other pairs
so once the hour is closed above i will go long again wit stops below 1.14 and wait.
could be something new. but there will be confirmation in 1 or 2 hours.

if i see 1.145 for the next 2-3 hours good for a trade to 1.148 area where probably shorts will step in
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,386
  • Nov 12, 2021 2:03am Nov 12, 2021 2:03am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} are are about to get the first almost bullish close on 1h on EU and other pairs so once the hour is closed above i will go long again wit stops below 1.14 and wait. could be something new. but there will be confirmation in 1 or 2 hours. if i see 1.145 for the next 2-3 hours good for a trade to 1.148 area where probably shorts will step in
back in with stop again

another reason was aud cad nzd gu looks better. so maybe eur jumps a little we will see
important close on the hour

tp for now 1.148
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: back in eur.png Size: 2 KB
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,387
  • Nov 12, 2021 3:24am Nov 12, 2021 3:24am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} back in with stop again another reason was aud cad nzd gu looks better. so maybe eur jumps a little we will see important close on the hour tp for now 1.148 {image}
well doesn't seem to work
i leave stop in place and it will probably take it -

bullish case and nice action would be again closin the hours above 1.145
usd/cad made a HOD - while crude oil is being sold

CAC40 made a new all time high intraday. equity still looks ok

maybe just USD getting stronger because of tapper.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,388
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:03am Nov 12, 2021 6:03am
safe to say 1460 will come. day and 12h being below 1447 is bearish But today is a week close, I see some places to short, but dont want to short the less than 100 pips bounce until I see the week close. 1 min turned bullish at 1444. 5 min at 1447. We may see some profit taken, we may not, Around 100 pips is 1534x. I see some R at 1532. and dynamic R 1540. Later today/Sunday/Monday 1532 could line up. It may not line up. It may just fall. The odds of falling increase with the week close below 1492 and 1447. Being a large support area 153x is nothing to bounce to.. If the week closes above 1492, 1532 probably wont hold R. I dont see this atm. All looks bearish. But one should have a plan if your wrong. ST 1460 may be a place bears may want to be. I just like to wait for 100 pips +. PA could make that 100 pips below 1447 and 1492, I could be wrong.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,389
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:15am Nov 12, 2021 6:15am
Quoting gatorinla
safe to say 1460 will come. day and 12h being below 1447 is bearish But today is a week close, I see some places to short, but dont want to short the less than 100 pips bounce until I see the week close. 1 min turned bullish at 1444. 5 min at 1447. We may see some profit taken, we may not, Around 100 pips is 1534x. I see some R at 1532. and dynamic R 1540. Later today/Sunday/Monday 1532 could line up. It may not line up. It may just fall. The odds of falling increase with the week close below 1492 and 1447. Being a large support area 153x is nothing...
Later 1447 may be a lid. If the lid pops 1492. This is still early. They can be a bottom later too. PA may stick around here for some time. 1447 may act like a pivot. Bears need to close below it to run, The nearest large time frame is the week close. That's the way to gauge this 1447, and 1492
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,390
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:21am Nov 12, 2021 6:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Later 1447 may be a lid. If the lid pops 1492. This is still early. They can be a bottom later too. PA may stick around here for some time. 1447 may act like a pivot. Bears need to close below it to run, The nearest large time frame is the week close. That's the way to gauge this 1447, and 1492
If PA cant close today below 1492. Above 1532 is 1564 and more. 1608 1672 etc. I'm not saying PA is bullish, its not. One should have a backup plan. Those 100% right 100% of the time. Should share it before the move. So we all can profit.

That said R/R wise longing at 1447 and even below made sense. I think some Big Boys did exactly that,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,391
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:30am Nov 12, 2021 6:30am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} well doesn't seem to work i leave stop in place and it will probably take it - bullish case and nice action would be again closin the hours above 1.145 usd/cad made a HOD - while crude oil is being sold CAC40 made a new all time high intraday. equity still looks ok maybe just USD getting stronger because of tapper.
looks like consolidation when buyers will com at lows. for now .

but if we take intraday highs we can go higher
problem will be that now other timeframes will come down so upside is limited imo
or just consolidation for days and then up or another leg down. but so we need to look every hour/4h
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,392
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:30am Nov 12, 2021 6:30am
Long EU 1452. I am convinced 1520 will get hit most likely by Monday.
  • #92,393
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:32am Nov 12, 2021 6:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Later 1447 may be a lid. If the lid pops 1492. This is still early. They can be a bottom later too. PA may stick around here for some time. 1447 may act like a pivot. Bears need to close below it to run, The nearest large time frame is the week close. That's the way to gauge this 1447, and 1492
if it goes a little faster we can see 1.148
if it goes fast i am closing long and shorting.
next week even 1.153 is in the cards.

but so far i just think first thing hard is 1.1456- this will be resistance
exactly where we are
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,394
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:35am Nov 12, 2021 6:35am
1H looks like a symmetrical triangle formation with top 1459
  • #92,395
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:38am Nov 12, 2021 6:38am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} if it goes a little faster we can see 1.148 if it goes fast i am closing long and shorting. next week even 1.153 is in the cards. but so far i just think first thing hard is 1.1456- this will be resistance exactly where we are
within 3 hs I think 1460 touched.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: a3a563655a2066f18e97bdf7a2e19447.png Size: 36 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,396
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:53am Nov 12, 2021 6:53am
FX option expiries for November 12 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.1460 1.2b
  2. 1.1500 790m
  3. 1.1550 1.7b
  4. 1.1605 655m

- GBP/USD: GBP amounts

  1. 1.3320 793m
  2. 1.3690 371m

- USD/JPY: USD amounts

  1. 113.00 662m
  2. 114.00 1.9b

AUD/USD: AUD amounts

  1. 0.7370 722m
  2. 0.7385 882m

- USD/CAD: USD amounts

  1. 1.2390 776m
  2. 1.2450 634m
  3. 1.2465-75 1.1b
  4. 1.2490 1.4b
  5. 1.2510 1.2b

- NZD/USD: NZD amounts

  1. 0.6600 723m
  2. 0.6780 723m

- EUR/GBP: EUR amounts

  1. 0.8400 400m
  2. 0.8520 440m
  3. 0.8625 450m

  • #92,397
  • Nov 12, 2021 6:57am Nov 12, 2021 6:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} within 3 hs I think 1460 touched. {image}
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bfc2e51719d33e4032dd068766524ae3.png Size: 26 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,398
  • Nov 12, 2021 7:35am Nov 12, 2021 7:35am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for November 12 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1460 1.2b 1.1500 790m 1.1550 1.7b 1.1605 655m - GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.3320 793m 1.3690 371m - USD/JPY: USD amounts 113.00 662m 114.00 1.9b AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.7370 722m 0.7385 882m - USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.2390 776m 1.2450 634m 1.2465-75 1.1b 1.2490 1.4b 1.2510 1.2b - NZD/USD: NZD amounts 0.6600 723m 0.6780 723m - EUR/GBP: EUR amounts 0.8400 400m 0.8520 440m 0.8625 450m
I want to believe the push up above 1460 may happen after expiry, maybe.
  • #92,399
  • Nov 12, 2021 7:36am Nov 12, 2021 7:36am
Quoting Boulder
FX option expiries for November 12 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1460 1.2b 1.1500 790m 1.1550 1.7b 1.1605 655m - GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.3320 793m 1.3690 371m - USD/JPY: USD amounts 113.00 662m 114.00 1.9b AUD/USD: AUD amounts 0.7370 722m 0.7385 882m - USD/CAD: USD amounts 1.2390 776m 1.2450 634m 1.2465-75 1.1b 1.2490 1.4b 1.2510 1.2b - NZD/USD: NZD amounts 0.6600 723m 0.6780 723m - EUR/GBP: EUR amounts 0.8400 400m 0.8520 440m 0.8625 450m
if it cant make 1460. That looks bearish
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,400
  • Nov 12, 2021 7:39am Nov 12, 2021 7:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it cant make 1460. That looks bearish {image}
We will make it. Lol
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