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The Swamp

  • #92,081
  • Nov 5, 2021 4:14am Nov 5, 2021 4:14am
Quoting gatorinla
It dont mean much with NFP coming. In the current move, the 12h was lower. {image}
6h had the wicks out the lower end of the candles below 157x. .. since the longer red candle, The wicks are from below from the 155x area. The newer candles ar showing some R has formed above. It may not be so strong. NFP could blow through that area. What is shown adds to 1572 having soft R value to aid 1607/08 and 1615/15 R value. The cluster of 6h candle bodies on the right are lower closed candles. Sure the support is holding atm. The larger support at 1492. and 1447. What happens with the NFP # is still a unknown.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,082
  • Nov 5, 2021 4:46am Nov 5, 2021 4:46am
Quoting gatorinla
It dont mean much with NFP coming. In the current move, the 12h was lower. {image}
we are down agin, back to suppport. . 1.153 testing in a few minuts ahours, than depends on nfp

i would say a weak nfp would help makets and anything against usd

a very good nfp will probably help dollar and markets too.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,083
  • Nov 5, 2021 5:45am Nov 5, 2021 5:45am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we are down agin, back to suppport. . 1.153 testing in a few minuts ahours, than depends on nfp i would say a weak nfp would help makets and anything against usd a very good nfp will probably help dollar and markets too.
but very important ? are we finaly back to good data - good for currency ?

this would be something new in the last 5-10 years
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,084
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:01am Nov 5, 2021 7:01am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we are down agin, back to suppport. . 1.153 testing in a few minuts ahours, than depends on nfp i would say a weak nfp would help makets and anything against usd a very good nfp will probably help dollar and markets too.
Before this NFP and all the other news the past few weeks. The Quarter and month closed below 1608. Last week pa closed below 1608. Yesterday closed below 1608 and 1572. All timeframes since yesterday closed below 1572. So even with a bad NFP. Pa may be right back here after a bounce. Now if the end of today, being a week close. Is above 1608. It may rise. I doubt it will rise much if today closes below 1608 (especially - 1572). ATM to me stronger than usual R is at 1572. Its not that it cant break with a weak number. But if pa ends up below 1572. I dont think its a bullish sign. Atm pa is below, that puts a target on 1492.. 1492, most people see it. It may be support. But if the makers want to screw us. 1447 would take out the retailers long stops parked just below 1492. 1447 ish may be a better long.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,085
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:14am Nov 5, 2021 7:14am
heads up 15 min. NFP
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,086
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:14am Nov 5, 2021 7:14am
FX option expiries for November 5 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below.
- EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.1500 576m
  2. 1.1540 524m
  3. 1.1555-60 1.4b
  4. 1.1575 725m
  5. 1.1600 677m

- USD/JPY: USD amounts

  1. 113.70 1.7b
  2. 114.25 880m
  3. 114.50 965m
  4. 115.00 916m

- AUD/USD: AUD amounts

  1. 0.7415 425m
  2. 0.7475 340m
  3. 0.7500 518m

- USD/CAD: USD amounts

  1. 1.2375 565m
  2. 1.2400 427m
  3. 1.2500 1b

- EUR/GBP: EUR amounts

  1. 0.8440 1b
  2. 0.8525 710b
  3. 0.8550 1.1b

  • #92,087
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:15am Nov 5, 2021 7:15am
New York Mayor-elect Adams says he will take his first three paychecks in bitcoin...
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/new...in-2021-11-04/
I am who I am
  • #92,088
  • Edited 7:32am Nov 5, 2021 7:22am | Edited 7:32am
. Latest report NFP, 600k I cheat..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,089
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:42am Nov 5, 2021 7:42am
Quoting gatorinla
. Latest report NFP, 600k I cheat..
wrong..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,090
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:45am Nov 5, 2021 7:45am
A little trickle through the dam makes a larger hole.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,091
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:48am Nov 5, 2021 7:48am
BB day needs to give up.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,092
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:48am Nov 5, 2021 7:48am
Quoting gatorinla
. Latest report NFP, 600k I cheat..
NFP news scalp...close to $2k
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  • #92,093
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:49am Nov 5, 2021 7:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wrong..
well its better than what i had in my head... im glad it was a beat good for dollar bulls but i was honestly expecting a miss... am i missing something? consensus was taken on the 12'th i believe ... now correct me if im wrong isnt it non farm employment change?? like i honestly thought that it would have been a miss with the vaccine mandates people losing jobs and people retiring because of them so i wonder how more jobs were added ??
  • #92,094
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:52am Nov 5, 2021 7:52am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} NFP news scalp...close to $2k {image}
Eur day range low 1506
lets see bears can make it....
  • #92,095
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:53am Nov 5, 2021 7:53am
Quoting gatorinla
BB day needs to give up. {image}
week and smaller tf BB testing.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,096
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:57am Nov 5, 2021 7:57am
Quoting gatorinla
A little trickle through the dam makes a larger hole.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,097
  • Nov 5, 2021 7:59am Nov 5, 2021 7:59am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} NFP news scalp...close to $2k {image}
u buy breakfast
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #92,098
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:04am Nov 5, 2021 8:04am
Eur datapoints...2nd time test day at 1532... let se NY close to see bulls can defend it.....
I focus on Eur shorts for now....
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  • #92,099
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:07am Nov 5, 2021 8:07am
Quoting DMA Trader
well since i was wrong yesterday shorting USD take that into consideration when reading this but at this point everybody long USD because Good NFP coming. so now. if good NFP coming 700k - 1M -- of course means US economy rocking also Unemployment probably will go down so now FED has resolved also unemployment and also inflation - so every reason to stay Short eur/usd . i for one will be buying dips in aud/usd nzd/usd - . maybe even GU if it drops further. eur probably the last. next week of course depending on the market but for sure i will not...
futures up - US markets opens in 25 minutes
dollar up.
unemployment down -
nfp good
FED solved the problems.

now i would look into all comodoties if they can keep them down fears of inflation will go down
bonds yields should go down ...

so now i said i will buy aud/usd .... nzd then they gu then eur .....
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #92,100
  • Nov 5, 2021 8:13am Nov 5, 2021 8:13am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} NFP news scalp...close to $2k {image}
this is very nice since you went without waiting for reaction
i did nothing ....
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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