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The Swamp

  • #91,841
  • Nov 1, 2021 3:45am Nov 1, 2021 3:45am
bears dont appear to be defending. . several h closes above 1555
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,842
  • Nov 1, 2021 4:05am Nov 1, 2021 4:05am
1h, looks bullish for 1582/ But bulls were unable to take and close above 1582. The last day, week, month, and quarter closed lower.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,843
  • Nov 1, 2021 4:40am Nov 1, 2021 4:40am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} morning first short {image}
1.157 line in the sand. bull momentum above -
bears bellow. -
i am still not sure if i should take the short pending 1.158 out
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,844
  • Nov 1, 2021 4:43am Nov 1, 2021 4:43am
Quoting gatorinla
bears dont appear to be defending. . several h closes above 1555 {image}
yeap 1h like you said looks bullish so careful here.
4h bearish daily weekly monthly

i would change the short back and send it to market if we close 1h below 1.1565.

but drop could come at any minute maybe they just want higher prices.

RISK is on for sure, JPY going down markets up so we are missing a catalyst maybe.

no longs for me. unless we trade above 1.16
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,845
  • Nov 1, 2021 5:47am Nov 1, 2021 5:47am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yeap 1h like you said looks bullish so careful here. 4h bearish daily weekly monthly i would change the short back and send it to market if we close 1h below 1.1565. but drop could come at any minute maybe they just want higher prices. RISK is on for sure, JPY going down markets up so we are missing a catalyst maybe. no longs for me. unless we trade above 1.16
GU new LOD. but i would not short this one until we see BOE
i am thinking of buying each 100 drop GU 1.36 starting. that's against trend and BOE for now so just if we have a panic
and GU sometimes does panic
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,846
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:03am Nov 1, 2021 7:03am
busy week this week rba tonight ... always fun to scalp an interest rate decision... have a look at this report for anyone interested could be a big move seems to look as if RBA has abandoned yield control maybe?... ill be coming in with some paperwork and information about more euro focused soon...hope everone had a good weekend... the g20 was boring...
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  • #91,847
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:10am Nov 1, 2021 7:10am
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_Buying_EURUSD_Into_Month-End_Due_To_Rebalancing_Expectations_-_CACIB.pdf   193 KB | 1,633 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_Continue_To_See_1.10_In_EURUSD_In_12_Months_Despite_Post-ECB_Reaction_-_Danske_.pdf   376 KB | 171 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_ECB_Communication_Unconvincing_To_Push_Against_Rate_Bets_-_Nordea.pdf   813 KB | 163 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_Turning_Neutral_On_AUD_&_Revising_Up_AUDUSD_Year_End_Targets_-_Credit_Suisse.pdf   263 KB | 149 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_After_Solid_AUD_CPI_We_See_RBA_Raising_Rates_In_4Q22_-_TD_Securities.pdf   905 KB | 174 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_BoC_On_Track_To_Hike_During_1H22_-_HSBC.pdf   233 KB | 122 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_CHFJPY_Shorts_Look_Very_Attractive_With_Oversold_&_Cheap_JPY_-_TD_Securities.pdf   161 KB | 132 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_With_Lots_Priced_Into_CAD_We_Like_USDCAD_Longs_From_1.2413_-_TD_Securities.pdf   366 KB | 108 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_Forecasters_Sees_WTI_Near_$80_A_Barrel_In_4Q21_-_Reuters.pdf   446 KB | 208 downloads
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File Type: pdf Market_Insight_-_Why_Yields_Curves_Are_Flattening_&_What_It_Means_-_Reuters.pdf   101 KB | 130 downloads
  • #91,848
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:20am Nov 1, 2021 7:20am
Quoting codyt.b
busy week this week rba tonight ... always fun to scalp an interest rate decision... have a look at this report for anyone interested could be a big move seems to look as if RBA has abandoned yield control maybe?... ill be coming in with some paperwork and information about more euro focused soon...hope everone had a good weekend... the g20 was boring... {image} {image} {image}
RBA is redundant they use the 90Bank Bills instead they use the rate at which banks are lent money instead of the RBA. That is the true interest rate not the one published or advertised by the Reserve Bank.

https://www.ceicdata.com/en/australi...nce-bills-rate
Real interest rate..
  • #91,849
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:21am Nov 1, 2021 7:21am
3682/83 some R on gu. 1572 R on eu, 4h close coming next h.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,850
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:33am Nov 1, 2021 7:33am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} morning first short {image}
2nd short and this is it.
Europe is closed and trading is lazy maybe we get some move in one hour
i've change the pending of 1.168 to 1.1676 but that;s it

looking fore smaller trades in the meantime long or short but i am without any idea today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,851
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:33am Nov 1, 2021 7:33am
1.5 h and 3h from now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,852
  • Edited 10:36am Nov 1, 2021 7:35am | Edited 10:36am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} 2nd short and this is it. Europe is closed and trading is lazy maybe we get some move in one hour i've change the pending of 1.168 to 1.1676 but that;s it looking fore smaller trades in the meantime long or short but i am without any idea today {image}
15869 has not been hit yet ..
we are ready now
  • #91,853
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:37am Nov 1, 2021 7:37am
Quoting gatorinla
3682/83 some R on gu. 1572 R on eu, 4h close coming next h.
eu 1582 or 1555 next to be tested.

Quoting gatorinla
1h, looks bullish for 1582/ But bulls were unable to take and close above 1582. The last day, week, month, and quarter closed lower. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,854
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:42am Nov 1, 2021 7:42am
Quoting gatorinla
3682/83 some R on gu. 1572 R on eu, 4h close coming next h.
gu testing R close wise.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,855
  • Nov 1, 2021 7:46am Nov 1, 2021 7:46am
Quoting q_import
{quote} 15869 has not been hit yet ..
sorry you can see on the trade
but i was wrong on spelling 1.15xx not 1.16xx

so actually short is 1.1576 instead of 1.158 my pending price is 1.1577 just like in the picture
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,856
  • Nov 1, 2021 8:06am Nov 1, 2021 8:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu 1582 or 1555 next to be tested. {quote} {image}
eu didnt make 1582.. gu free to rise to 3700 or 3706.. pa atm is under a decent one at 3700. It may reach it.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,857
  • Nov 1, 2021 8:33am Nov 1, 2021 8:33am
Quoting gatorinla
1.5 h and 3h from now. {image}
news in 25 minutes
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,858
  • Nov 1, 2021 10:26am Nov 1, 2021 10:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu didnt make 1582.. gu free to rise to 3700 or 3706.. pa atm is under a decent one at 3700. It may reach it. {image}
1582 was breached, if it holds. There is some R at 1593
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,859
  • Nov 1, 2021 10:36am Nov 1, 2021 10:36am
Quoting q_import
{quote} 15869 has not been hit yet .. we are ready now
finished up..
i want to see if 1645 is possible now
  • #91,860
  • Nov 1, 2021 10:45am Nov 1, 2021 10:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Believe in global warming yet? It only gets worse from here. Its gonna cost us all.
yessir i do i am whole hearted believer ive lived here my entire life and have NEVER heard of a tornado actually touchdown (doesent mean it hasnt) plenty of warnings and what not but never really tornado without hurricane and now in 1 day 9! lmao not to mention a super crazy freez (that was worse than 1999) and a flood that came from a storm that flooded zones that were NOWHERE NEAR flood zones ... so yea i just hope and prey its not too late the scientists say 1.5 im no scientist but 1.5 might be the last straw but fuck how bad does it get on the way to that last straw!?!?
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