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The Swamp

  • #91,741
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:17am Oct 29, 2021 3:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} continued.. one can see what happened this last 4h candle with 1657. It did hold as support. What you may not see is the attraction to 1637, That candle did close below the midpoint to 1637. So pa may go to 1637.. maybe on the next 4h candle. No 4h candle has closed above 1685 yet. That makes 1685 or 1657 next. On the bear side a 4h below 1657 may lead to 1653 and 42 and even 1637 have a chance to close a 4h below. Later even 1625 and so forth,, coincidental adr is 1637 {image}
15 min.. A drop would be lead by the smaller time frames most often,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,742
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:21am Oct 29, 2021 3:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 min.. A drop would be lead by the smaller time frames most often, {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,743
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:37am Oct 29, 2021 3:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image} {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,744
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:37am Oct 29, 2021 3:37am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} it's like everyone looking at the same pip and 1.167 area. well now we still close 1h decent for a downtrend but it needs to start. confirmacion close at least 15m - > 30 m below 1.166 and then of course 1h . above 1.168 i may hedge my shorts.
finally let's go let's go we don't have all day weekend is coming.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,745
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:38am Oct 29, 2021 3:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} continued.. one can see what happened this last 4h candle with 1657. It did hold as support. What you may not see is the attraction to 1637, That candle did close below the midpoint to 1637. So pa may go to 1637.. maybe on the next 4h candle. No 4h candle has closed above 1685 yet. That makes 1685 or 1657 next. On the bear side a 4h below 1657 may lead to 1653 and 42 and even 1637 have a chance to close a 4h below. Later even 1625 and so forth,, coincidental adr is 1637 {image}
exactamundo ! )
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,746
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:40am Oct 29, 2021 3:40am
Quoting gatorinla
Oil is high on the Canadian GDP. Is oil prices up since last month? Its safe to say that question is part of GDP, It depends on the estimate. If oil is up, so is GDP. Now is it already priced, or not. {image}
more or less yes
what is hitting GDP right now. is also supply chins so we may have a small surprise i am still out of usd/cad for now.
but if it goes down CAD i may have to short usd/cad but let's get 1.24 at least - at this point only scaling but i want to see momentum in Crude Oil going up
and i dont; see this either
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,747
  • Oct 29, 2021 3:50am Oct 29, 2021 3:50am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} more or less yes what is hitting GDP right now. is also supply chins so we may have a small surprise i am still out of usd/cad for now. but if it goes down CAD i may have to short usd/cad but let's get 1.24 at least - at this point only scaling but i want to see momentum in Crude Oil going up and i dont; see this either
Canada puts most of its oil on the pipeline south. Truck drivers are less of a problem than other economies
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,748
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:04am Oct 29, 2021 4:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} continued.. one can see what happened this last 4h candle with 1657. It did hold as support. What you may not see is the attraction to 1637, That candle did close below the midpoint to 1637. So pa may go to 1637.. maybe on the next 4h candle. No 4h candle has closed above 1685 yet. That makes 1685 or 1657 next. On the bear side a 4h below 1657 may lead to 1653 and 42 and even 1637 have a chance to close a 4h below. Later even 1625 and so forth,, coincidental adr is 1637 {image}
The 4h (12h) closed below 1653 and the 4h 200 ema. 1653 and 1657 may have some R value. 200 4h ema too
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,749
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:18am Oct 29, 2021 4:18am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} more or less yes what is hitting GDP right now. is also supply chins so we may have a small surprise i am still out of usd/cad for now. but if it goes down CAD i may have to short usd/cad but let's get 1.24 at least - at this point only scaling but i want to see momentum in Crude Oil going up and i dont; see this either
so since i talked about this EUR/USD trade a lot

My plan is the following

exist on profits of about 30/40 pips on 2nd area short -
and than take a small loss of about 5 pisp of the remaing short near 1.1640.

It's important to understand that 635 645 is the lane in the sand for bulls. while it can go down usually they fight on this level so i will probably close it and then try to reenter short but i will have to see now H4 close below. below that hell opens ..
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,750
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:20am Oct 29, 2021 4:20am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} so since i talked about this EUR/USD trade a lot My plan is the following exist on profits of about 30/40 pips on 2nd area short - and than take a small loss of about 5 pisp of the remaing short near 1.1640. It's important to understand that 635 645 is the lane in the sand for bulls. while it can go down usually they fight on this level so i will probably close it and then try to reenter short but i will have to see now H4 close below. below that hell opens ..
1637 has an attraction. I had a girlfriend named Hell. Small world.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,751
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:25am Oct 29, 2021 4:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Canada puts most of its oil on the pipeline south. Truck drivers are less of a problem than other economies
on charts i have this
i will not short USD/CAD based on daily -
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but i was playing this days on 4H range. but if i short it now i will use stops and they will take it. because as soon as this one get's out of this range moves should be big. and sometimes when i am "lucky" on a pair for "too long" i try to stop it because get cocky and feel invincible and i get the idea that i somehow feel the pair now

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anyway i would rather build something small long usd/cad if we get a big drop because of a better GDP and then hold it. they alrteady rased rates they announced they will do more so more or less of it it s in the price.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #91,752
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:53am Oct 29, 2021 4:53am
Quoting q_import
{quote} My Entries are in line with the 18:30 bar when the divergence happened the trade will take a couple of days but the TPs will get hit. Its just slow motion now waiting.. EU UC are the majors that did not move this month that is why I am focused on them right now..
EC First Target Hit 500 points waiting for it to cycle the EU Retrace a little for target 2 1000 points.
  • #91,753
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:54am Oct 29, 2021 4:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H4...lets see day hold... {image}
I hear you awake. But i dont smell bacon;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,754
  • Oct 29, 2021 4:57am Oct 29, 2021 4:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The 4h (12h) closed below 1653 and the 4h 200 ema. 1653 and 1657 may have some R value. 200 4h ema too {image}
it dont look like it wants to take 1637 atm, it may need 1668. Its still below 1657.. Lets see,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,755
  • Oct 29, 2021 5:03am Oct 29, 2021 5:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it dont look like it wants to take 1637 atm, it may need 1668. Its still below 1657.. Lets see,
15 min 200 (red line) A little hammer on the 15 min. The 4h is bigger.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,756
  • Edited 6:11am Oct 29, 2021 5:10am | Edited 6:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 min 200 (red line) A little hammer on the 15 min. The 4h is bigger. {image}
I learn more and more from you and boulder everyday when it comes to scalping I truly thank both of you for posting and being here for everyone that is willing to listen to the advise both of you give..

This is what I think is going to happen. I am probably wrong..
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  • #91,757
  • Oct 29, 2021 5:24am Oct 29, 2021 5:24am
Quoting q_import
{quote} I learn more and more from you and boulder everyday when it comes to scalping I truly thank both of you for posting and being here for everyone that is willing to listen to the advise both of you give..
sometimes we luck out, and get something right.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,758
  • Oct 29, 2021 6:14am Oct 29, 2021 6:14am
Just when I thought eurusd would come to my sweet spot to sell (1.1750-1.18), it gets kicked back down without getting close... twiddling thumbs again as i cannot short nor buy at the current price.


Someone bring it higher so i can get a position going.
Cheers!!
  • #91,759
  • Oct 29, 2021 7:08am Oct 29, 2021 7:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I hear you awake. But i dont smell bacon;
I woke up and shorted a few times while I half slept....sideline for now
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  • #91,760
  • Oct 29, 2021 7:10am Oct 29, 2021 7:10am
today is last day of month end rebalancing... still need be careful....
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