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The Swamp

  • #91,581
  • Oct 26, 2021 7:55am Oct 26, 2021 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} stop hit on the snowball.. bull side of 3805.. I will wait for another setup,,
Stop hit... thanks.. its a good trade..
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  • #91,582
  • Oct 26, 2021 8:12am Oct 26, 2021 8:12am
Quoting gatorinla
If the gbp gets below 2907 now.. It could be a snowball candidate. It could bypass 3740 and go to 3622. Cot last week was showing buyers. At 3829 Some may have took some profit. I could be wrong. Bulls probably need to take 3829 for this weeks Cot. If the profit was taken at 3829 to tilt them. That could make 3622 a target. We need to think like they do. Chart wise; I'm full of shit. It bullish. R.R wise I already won. Checkmate. {image}
trying another.. But it will make many false starts.. 3805 would stop it..
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  • #91,583
  • Oct 26, 2021 8:19am Oct 26, 2021 8:19am
3792 may open the trap door...
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,584
  • Oct 26, 2021 8:27am Oct 26, 2021 8:27am
Quoting gatorinla
3792 may open the trap door... {image}
hot stove..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,585
  • Oct 26, 2021 8:32am Oct 26, 2021 8:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} hot stove.. {image}
3805 held..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,586
  • Oct 26, 2021 8:37am Oct 26, 2021 8:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} trying another.. But it will make many false starts.. 3805 would stop it..
stops at 3803 now
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  • #91,587
  • Oct 26, 2021 8:46am Oct 26, 2021 8:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} stops at 3803 now
02
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  • #91,588
  • Oct 26, 2021 9:31am Oct 26, 2021 9:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 02
hit again.. It has a few s 378x 78 and 1653,, I will get stopped several times.. That's just part of it.. Stops are relatively small. Its a snowball type trade where you add a little in the move. I will quite posting unless it has some activity where the stop will be below these. The idea is to catch a runner. I still have a 3829 S..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,589
  • Oct 26, 2021 9:38am Oct 26, 2021 9:38am
some support at 3740.. it may bounce it back to 3753.. By that time i may see a new setup around 3753. If I get a setup slightly below 3753. It could run.. 3740 still would need to break
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,590
  • Edited 10:56am Oct 26, 2021 9:43am | Edited 10:56am
Quoting gatorinla
some support at 3740.. it may bounce it back to 3753.. By that time i may see a new setup around 3753. If I get a setup slightly below 3753. It could run.. 3740 still would need to break
those supports like 3785 could be a long spot. 3778 3753.. With a small stop these may be longs. The short process was based on 3829 being a top. If true 3740 would need to break, to get 3622. I dont know, or claim to predict this. I do know 3829 is a R, And its a big one. A good spot to blindside longs. A good spot to close longs and enter shorts. Most of the reason is the short term indicators would be bullish there. So anyone using those smaller time frames could be ambushed.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,591
  • Oct 26, 2021 9:53am Oct 26, 2021 9:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} those supports like 1785 could be a long spot. 1778 1753.. With a small stop these may be longs. The short process was based on 3829 being a top. If true 3740 would need to break, to get 3622. I dont know, or claim to predict this. I do know 3829 is a R, And its a big one. A good spot to blindside longs. A good spot to close longs and enter shorts. Most of the reason is the short term indicators would be bullish there. So anyone using those smaller time frames could be ambushed.
I'm at 3799 now.. either it or 3785 will be next. below 3785 is those other and so forth. 3711 is another..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,592
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:05am Oct 26, 2021 10:05am
eu at 1593 is on the last rung before 1492.. The area is a large timeframe. That's why it takes time.. In the consolidation process. You can wipe your ass with those smaller indicators. The market is ranging in the shadow of 1492. Use non ma support/resistance to aid your ma. You need real s/r. dynamic alone may work on the larger tf. and the tiny ones like a 1 minute. 15 min/ 1h maybe even 4h are not going to be good here. This is why most get chopped up here. Your hunting with an empty gun.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,593
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:13am Oct 26, 2021 10:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Some R 1634.. If it wicks to 1627, then closes below 1620.. It may go back down.. Its ranging roughly 1593 98 ish 1672 ish.. And if below 1593/98.. the range is 1492/ 1593-98. It broke the range yesterday a little on the bottom. that made 1627 a normal retrace. It needs some momentum to break through and hold the bottom. Wheaties at 1627 may do that. {image}
I apologize; I did think 1627 would be reached. My pending is still there. I was wrong so far. It did reach 1625.. The thing is.. It didnt balance. So that alone is bearish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,594
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:15am Oct 26, 2021 10:15am
looking to 3778 for a possible turn before 3753. 1H 20 SMA, EMA 50 and almost the 76 Fib
  • #91,595
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:15am Oct 26, 2021 10:15am
Quoting gatorinla
eu at 1593 is on the last rung before 1492.. The area is a large timeframe. That's why it takes time.. In the consolidation process. You can wipe your ass with those smaller indicators. The market is ranging in the shadow of 1492. Use non ma support/resistance to aid your ma. You need real s/r. dynamic alone may work on the larger tf. and the tiny ones like a 1 minute. 15 min/ 1h maybe even 4h are not going to be good here. This is why most get chopped up here. Your hunting with an empty gun.

Can we go to 1.18 first so i can short from higher to 1.1492
Cheers!!
  • #91,596
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:18am Oct 26, 2021 10:18am
Quoting PipsMaster23
{quote} Can we go to 1.18 first so i can short from higher to 1.1492
I dont make the rules. sure it can go there. I think the attraction to 1492 is preventing that.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,597
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:30am Oct 26, 2021 10:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont make the rules. sure it can go there. I think the attraction to 1492 is preventing that.
Thanks for feedback, i was just being goofy. All looks bearish for the EURO, except the weekly 200 MA, i was hoping to see a form of a dead cat bounce to the 1.1750-1.18s and look to short from there..
Cheers!!
  • #91,598
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:42am Oct 26, 2021 10:42am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the year closes below 1492 ; that should be bearish.. Not as much above 1492. Before years end, a month close below 1492. May get it to 1.0850.
Let me change this some.. A year close below 1447 should be bearish. Below 1492 and above 1447 may be volatile. 1447 too may be supportive. I'm not saying it wont punch below it. I'm saying dont trust a punch below without large time frames closing below. It or 1492 may be a place for a long. Pa can pass. See if it closes below.
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  • #91,599
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:53am Oct 26, 2021 10:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Let me change this some.. A year close below 1447 should be bearish. Below 1492 and above 1447 may be volatile. 1447 too may be supportive. I'm not saying it wont punch below it. I'm saying dont trust a punch below without large time frames closing below. It or 1492 may be a place for a long. Pa can pass. See if it closes below.
Attachment g
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  • #91,600
  • Oct 26, 2021 10:56am Oct 26, 2021 10:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} those supports like 3785 could be a long spot. 3778 3753.. With a small stop these may be longs. The short process was based on 3829 being a top. If true 3740 would need to break, to get 3622. I dont know, or claim to predict this. I do know 3829 is a R, And its a big one. A good spot to blindside longs. A good spot to close longs and enter shorts. Most of the reason is the short term indicators would be bullish there. So anyone using those smaller time frames could be ambushed.
hey those levels are gu.. so they are wrong in the original post.. I dont like to change after the fact.. but i will.
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