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vsa with Malcolm

  • #34,601
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:14am Oct 20, 2021 10:14am
sweet test gbpusd .... black bar in tg is equilibrium buyers and sellers

should go higher
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  • #34,602
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:16am Oct 20, 2021 10:16am
Quoting Paulscaff1
{quote} I got in after the hidden test bar on M15 after the or breakout, with an order on the break of structure to the left. {image}
Closed this early as just noticed my account equity is back over the breakeven line.(Thank F###)

Only got a week left on the evaluation, so I will just sit on the side lines/forward test, and wait for a free re-take.

Thanks for your advice over the past few weeks Malc its helped me make better decisions and instilled some more confidence.
  • #34,603
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:18am Oct 20, 2021 10:18am
Quoting Paulscaff1
{quote} Closed this early as just noticed my acxount equity is back over the breakeven line.(Thank F###) Only got a week left on the evaluation, so I will just sit on the side lines/forward test, and wait for a free re-take. Thanks for your advice over the past few weeks Malc its helped me make better decisions and instilled some more confidence.
not in here as often as i have been recently.... but glad to be of help...
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  • #34,604
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:20am Oct 20, 2021 10:20am
so whay is nasdaq being a t w a t ?

this could potentially be a test day .. test days are extremely messy .

so what do we look for on a test day ? messy price action and generally low volume... check the daily at the end of session and look for a down day on ultra low volume . You know the next day to look for valid buy sets ups ( but do not just plough in as myself and my trading partner Diens do ) lol
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  • #34,605
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:21am Oct 20, 2021 10:21am
Quoting malcolmb14
sweet test gbpusd .... black bar in tg is equilibrium buyers and sellers should go higher {image}
result
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  • #34,606
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:23am Oct 20, 2021 10:23am
Quoting malcolmb14
{quote} chart 2 -- es 10 min nice spring under support -- where i bought on the test ( my fav set up) ,,, nice trend ... you could have got in many other entries on a 2 3 and 5 {image}
Damn thats a good trade!
  • #34,607
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:25am Oct 20, 2021 10:25am
Quoting Paulscaff1
{quote} Damn thats a good trade!
after 10 million losses I started to leanr to trade well lol
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  • #34,608
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:28am Oct 20, 2021 10:28am
Quoting malcolmb14
so whay is nasdaq being a t w a t ? this could potentially be a test day .. test days are extremely messy . so what do we look for on a test day ? messy price action and generally low volume... check the daily at the end of session and look for a down day on ultra low volume . You know the next day to look for valid buy sets ups ( but do not just plough in as myself and my trading partner Diens do ) lol {image}
Yes, it is in a great rollercoaster today, but looks like will pullback deep.

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  • #34,609
  • Edited 10:41am Oct 20, 2021 10:30am | Edited 10:41am
so in vsa how do we know when to start looking for reversal

when I said gold trades in play I did no mean plough right in .. I mean wait for further sow. specially in gold its a tough cookie to trade

below 30 min trend up
we see massive down bar meaning supply is still present 1781 area
reaction to that bar sos ... potential stopping volume .. we wait to see reaction to that bar , which so far is strength

to play this to down side is wait for sow to right side of chart .. no demand ( up bar with low low vol) or upthrust
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  • #34,610
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:35am Oct 20, 2021 10:35am
Quoting Shantala
{quote} Yes, it is in a great rollercoaster today, but looks like will pullback deep. {image}
slightly different view ..

nasdaq has been going vertical for 5 days .... we have to have some testing in a rising market but i would not be keen to sell this trend
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  • #34,611
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:37am Oct 20, 2021 10:37am
they do not all go so smoothly ... dax trade this morning awesome spring .. by time i came back from taking dog out I thought that i would be 200 points in profit .... dax is worse than gold at times

chances of this trade working out were 50 / 50 any way

1. no trend
2. no test
3. entering a trade prior to OR finishing also known as ploughing in
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  • #34,612
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:46am Oct 20, 2021 10:46am
classic uhv test .. next bar up has to be buyers and we will get higher prices - ES
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  • #34,613
  • Oct 20, 2021 12:15pm Oct 20, 2021 12:15pm
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Had 2nd entry
  • #34,614
  • Oct 20, 2021 12:20pm Oct 20, 2021 12:20pm
Its in phase C of accumulation.

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  • #34,615
  • Oct 20, 2021 12:32pm Oct 20, 2021 12:32pm
Quoting Shantala
{image}Had 2nd entry
awesome
Daytrader
  • #34,616
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:39pm Oct 20, 2021 10:39pm
Quoting Shantala
Its in phase C of accumulation. {image}
Nice trade .. not one i would have taken as no clear signs

I hope you took profit ion the wrb bar on 30 that ended on 10 as stopping volume

sos ... strength after a shake out . if we understand its a test day then we also understand that smart money want to BUY on the down move . this is the less risky trade

This does go against my trend alignment which is core to my trading strategy however we know nasdaq daily is roaring vertical and we know that sm will test eventually .... those are the messy days as nasdaq was yesterday . That is when we look to buy on any shakeout
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  • #34,617
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:47pm Oct 20, 2021 10:47pm
Quoting malcolmb14
{quote} Nice trade .. not one i would have taken as no clear signs I hope you took profit ion the wrb bar on 30 that ended on 10 as stopping volume sos ... strength after a shake out . if we understand its a test day then we also understand that smart money want to BUY on the down move . this is the less risky trade This does go against my trend alignment which is core to my trading strategy however we know nasdaq daily is roaring vertical and we know that sm will test eventually .... those are the messy days as nasdaq was yesterday . That is when...

there is a sow on daily nsadq . From my perspective I would only consider selling nasdaq after we break the lows of the weakness bar ... other than that sm will drive price down in a messy manner to potentially test lows of that narrow spread daily sow .. offering not wow sell opportunities to the down side. unless you are scalping and keeping stops tight
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  • #34,618
  • Edited 11:07pm Oct 20, 2021 10:51pm | Edited 11:07pm
potential for gbpusd to do this today .. all depends what the london session does.

Its very rare for gbpusd to have three up days in a row so trading carefully on this one and taking my time to find a good entry

we could also get a good rejection off this level ..... will wait for OR bar to set up and find my trades from there
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  • #34,619
  • Oct 20, 2021 10:54pm Oct 20, 2021 10:54pm
es daily ... no demand seen yesterday . but that is to be expected close to old high ..... will play this one cautiously in this area. I am still favouring buy dips but there should be a decent test day soon as we have had so many up days in row. ...... of note intraday when i see nothing but up bars and no test and weakness appears it often leads to a mark up and collapse ... so again treading cautiously on indexes till we get to new ath or rejection off old ath
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  • #34,620
  • Oct 20, 2021 11:05pm Oct 20, 2021 11:05pm
Cannot figure out gold ..... but dips seem to be getting bought specially in asia.... do the chinese know something we do not ? gold is a risk asset

if get above these supply bars marked and see tests I would consider buying with tight stops
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