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The Swamp

  • #91,061
  • Oct 11, 2021 4:26am Oct 11, 2021 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} another close below 1571.. this will continue, until bulls can take 1585 + close, Even then, 1592 93 98 and a few others off decent R. Or bears take -1555 etc. My money is on the bears. Once at 1492, That may change a little. At least till below 1492 with some close. I do expect this. {image}
-1555 or not.. Now all the dynamic pa is R. The soft support 1550. see above range chart
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,062
  • Oct 11, 2021 4:54am Oct 11, 2021 4:54am
See what happens here.. light support 1550 and 1555. The 5 min light R around 1569 and dropping. Once an h closes below 1555 and 150. They become a soft R for closes. Another light 1h S at 1542. ADR may be 1535 or 1530,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,063
  • Oct 11, 2021 5:18am Oct 11, 2021 5:18am
Dynamic R 1567 69 1575. 1584 still holds.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,064
  • Oct 11, 2021 5:35am Oct 11, 2021 5:35am
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,065
  • Oct 11, 2021 6:19am Oct 11, 2021 6:19am
If pa now touches 1569, then cant close above 1569/74.. It may drop further today.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,066
  • Oct 11, 2021 6:21am Oct 11, 2021 6:21am
Woke up late...option expires info
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  • #91,067
  • Oct 11, 2021 6:37am Oct 11, 2021 6:37am
nfp screwed my count up.
no update from me.
  • #91,068
  • Oct 11, 2021 6:39am Oct 11, 2021 6:39am
Quoting gatorinla
If pa now touches 1569, then cant close above 1569/74.. It may drop further today.
30 min close was above 1567. Now bulls need 1576 85 93 98 and so forth closed. Bears -1567. A tight cluster 67/74/840 no doubt bears lick their lips 1593/98 and a little above,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,069
  • Oct 11, 2021 6:53am Oct 11, 2021 6:53am
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,070
  • Oct 11, 2021 6:57am Oct 11, 2021 6:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 30 min close was above 1567. Now bulls need 1576 85 93 98 and so forth closed. Bears -1567. A tight cluster 67/74/840 no doubt bears lick their lips 1593/98 and a little above,
That R here in the 67/85 area may stop a rise to 1593+
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,071
  • Oct 11, 2021 7:30am Oct 11, 2021 7:30am
Southwest 1800 flights canceled. https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/10/sout...ons-mount.html
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,072
  • Oct 11, 2021 8:00am Oct 11, 2021 8:00am
Try some Eur long here 1560
  • #91,073
  • Oct 11, 2021 9:01am Oct 11, 2021 9:01am
Quoting longshot_nl
nfp screwed my count up. no update from me.
The problem is wave 3 and 5 can overlap as it becomes a wedge.
This is not. Its just looks ugly to me with a disproportional wave 4.
I will take a fresh look tomorrow.

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  • #91,074
  • Oct 11, 2021 9:10am Oct 11, 2021 9:10am
well were right back to london open << maybe if i start to look at my charts like him ill
  • #91,075
  • Oct 11, 2021 9:37am Oct 11, 2021 9:37am
Quoting Boulder
Try some Eur long here 1560
Booked Eur long.. Eur shorted here 1581
  • #91,076
  • Oct 11, 2021 12:58pm Oct 11, 2021 12:58pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Booked Eur long.. Eur shorted here 1581
I booked 1% mostly off the GBP
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,077
  • Oct 11, 2021 2:31pm Oct 11, 2021 2:31pm
https://kentico.portoflosangeles.org...essels-in-port

Its mostly because they dont have cdl drivers. The average wait time to unload is between 2 and 3 weeks. While these ships wait to be unloaded time passes. Where they miss picking up new loads. So ever since the ship blocked the canal in the summer, Ship are behind around the world. What's in the containers such a Christmas toys and computer chips. Are not going to be on the shelves this Christmas. The computer chips shortage is still ongoing. They still sit on ships. As car companies are unable to complete new cars/trucks. 60 massive ships sit idle off shore. Unloading is not the problem. Its the shortage of truck drivers.
Unemployment is 4.8%. Wage inflation has to be coming. The prices of most things will rise. Truck drivers in my area are being paid 2X than 1 year ago. Yet there is still a shortage. Its not just here, the UK has the same problem. All the foreign workers, pre-Brexit and coved are gone.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #91,078
  • Oct 11, 2021 2:42pm Oct 11, 2021 2:42pm
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} The problem is wave 3 and 5 can overlap as it becomes a wedge. This is not. Its just looks ugly to me with a disproportional wave 4. I will take a fresh look tomorrow. {image}
Ending diagonal scenario.
It really does not look great.
Its the best i have right now.

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  • #91,079
  • Oct 11, 2021 5:32pm Oct 11, 2021 5:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
https://kentico.portoflosangeles.org...essels-in-port Its mostly because they dont have cdl drivers. The average wait time to unload is between 2 and 3 weeks. While these ships wait to be unloaded time passes. Where they miss picking up new loads. So ever since the ship blocked the canal in the summer, Ship are behind around the world. What's in the containers such a Christmas toys and computer chips. Are not going to be on the shelves this Christmas. The computer chips shortage is...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/busin...-chain-issues/

chassis providers and railroads all must work together, like runners in a relay race. If equipment gets stuck at any point, delays ripple along the entire chain.

Ideally, a truck driver who has been alerted to the presence of a customer’s goods arrives at a terminal to find a chassis waiting.

The normal 3.5-day cycle for a chassis to exit with a container and then return for another pickup stretched to 17 days. That slowdown meant the facility would need an unimaginable 6,000 chassis for normal operations, up from its customary 1,000. Those delays, in turn, meant more train crews were needed. That takes time to assemble and adds cost.

*There is also commentary about not directing drivers properly in the port allowing them to unload the chassis with cargo of empties still attached blocking more cargo that need to go out.. but they are not able to get to it.. hence the chassis are rendered unusable many Transport fleet companies to stay in business are renting cranes to remove the empties the ports refuse to unload..

On the ports website everything looks nice and open but when you call a different story emerges..
  • #91,080
  • Oct 11, 2021 7:58pm Oct 11, 2021 7:58pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} https://www.washingtonpost.com/busin...-chain-issues/ chassis providers and railroads all must work together, like runners in a relay race. If equipment gets stuck at any point, delays ripple along the entire chain. Ideally, a truck driver who has been alerted to the presence of a customer’s goods arrives at a terminal to find a chassis waiting. The normal 3.5-day cycle for a chassis to exit with a container and then return for another pickup stretched to 17 days. That slowdown meant the facility would...
not to mention the container shortage. They have doubled in price the last year.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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