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The Swamp

  • #90,701
  • Sep 28, 2021 9:51am Sep 28, 2021 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
Feb 8 2018, Jan 19 2018 300 pip rise after. This is shutdowns. Not raising the ceiling should/would be these on steroids ( a default). The Fed talk of a raise would do a 180 because un-employment would spike. Add in China problem and Coved. The world economy would tank. https://www.reuters.com/world/us/wha...it-2021-09-26/ {image} {image}
careful folks. the debt ceiling clock is ticking. There is no way to know. How close this will come to a deadline. The GOP has said they wont vote for it. That means Dems will have to do it, on their own. The problem with this is, time. The Dems alone have several procedural moves. The time needed to do this is short. October 18 is very close. I'm the little boy crying wolf. This is some serious shit. If the ceiling comes close to a deadline time. The damage may start before Oct 18. If that should happen, the volatility may push the usd lower. Faster than we have seen in the past years. With the rhetoric going on. This could happen anytime. Even this far out from Oct. 18. The bond market can get nervous. The debt ceiling is to pay past bills. They need to be paid.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,702
  • Sep 28, 2021 2:41pm Sep 28, 2021 2:41pm
i do not think wave 3 is done yet.
imho friday's nfp might spike a bottom @ 1612 or so.
No reason to change count.

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  • #90,703
  • Sep 28, 2021 2:57pm Sep 28, 2021 2:57pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} careful folks. the debt ceiling clock is ticking. There is no way to know. How close this will come to a deadline. The GOP has said they wont vote for it. That means Dems will have to do it, on their own. The problem with this is, time. The Dems alone have several procedural moves. The time needed to do this is short. October 18 is very close. I'm the little boy crying wolf. This is some serious shit. If the ceiling comes close to a deadline time. The damage may start before Oct 18. If that should happen, the volatility may push the usd...
We are here! A trend started from 1.2266 till now. I'm seeing daily chart. This downtrend is even weaker than what started from 1.2349 / 06 Jan. It bounced almost 570 pips from this support. I'm really scared of a big bounce. I really can't short this thing here. Even if it bounce to 1770, 1800 and 1860, I will enter short with small size. It's clear that a big thing is being cooked. It's better to be careful of a bounce from here.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #90,704
  • Sep 28, 2021 6:38pm Sep 28, 2021 6:38pm
https://www.wsj.com/articles/debt-ce...ne-11627913756
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,705
  • Sep 29, 2021 1:27am Sep 29, 2021 1:27am
Jamie Dimon says JPMorgan has begun to prepare for potential US default...
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/28/b...ult/index.html
I am who I am
  • #90,706
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:09am Sep 29, 2021 2:09am
Just woke up...against trends.. long some here 1658
  • #90,707
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:14am Sep 29, 2021 2:14am
Be careful... two more days of month end and qtr end flow... we will continue to see choppy price action

Day range low today..1.1642...
  • #90,708
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:18am Sep 29, 2021 2:18am
Quoting Boulder
Just woke up...against trends.. long some here 1658
me the same
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #90,709
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:20am Sep 29, 2021 2:20am
pa broke year of low 1.1664...
bearish in two syss
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  • #90,710
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:22am Sep 29, 2021 2:22am
Quoting saninvestor
{quote} me the same
I have more pending at 1640s...
  • #90,711
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:30am Sep 29, 2021 2:30am
Quoting Boulder
Just woke up...against trends.. long some here 1658
Tp
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  • #90,712
  • Sep 29, 2021 2:53am Sep 29, 2021 2:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if its to go up or down now.. it should go to 1658 first again short term (1657.5)
(above 2018)
The same places year after year poi. IC has 1658 as a Q area. Oanada has 1640. Adr 1642. I dont know why the difference. Year s1 1598. Its bearish with momentum. It still has to break these large supports. Just 1.5 days left in this Q. The timing may be right.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,713
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:02am Sep 29, 2021 3:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} (above 2018) The same places year after year poi. IC has 1658 as a Q area. Oanada has 1640. Adr 1642. I dont know why the difference. Year s1 1598. Its bearish with momentum. It still has to break these large supports. Just 1.5 days left in this Q. The timing may be right.
I made third account target $20k.. I am done!!!!!!...I am so happy....no more trading today...
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  • #90,714
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:12am Sep 29, 2021 3:12am
Quoting imwim
Jamie Dimon says JPMorgan has begun to prepare for potential US default... https://edition.cnn.com/2021/09/28/b...ult/index.html
High interest drives the usd up, on the other hand, A loss of usd reserve status is a kick in the balls. Interaction between other countries unknown. Since a real default would cause a major upset in the world. A high interest rates may cause developing countries. Paying off infrastructure in USD, to default. Not to mention food, and other commodities. It wouldn't take long for the hungry peasants to rush the castles. Yeah, so many thousands of things are connected to a default. Affect would be hard to visualize. Likely a world depression, starvation, and some war.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,715
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:14am Sep 29, 2021 3:14am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I made third account target $20k.. I am done!!!!!!...I am so happy....no more trading today...{image} {image}
you owe me a dance.,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,716
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:18am Sep 29, 2021 3:18am
stopped..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,717
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:30am Sep 29, 2021 3:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} you owe me a dance.,
lol...
  • #90,718
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:43am Sep 29, 2021 3:43am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol...
I'm getting the band back together.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #90,719
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:45am Sep 29, 2021 3:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm getting the band back together. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qWg4tCZ03kU
I think I might start my 4th account today.. get all that out of way...
  • #90,720
  • Sep 29, 2021 3:57am Sep 29, 2021 3:57am
All is bearish into this area. So Just in case, I put a pending 1782, 1786
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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