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The Really Useful Grains/Soft Thread

  • #81
  • Edited Jul 25, 2021 7:17am Jul 24, 2021 3:44pm | Edited Jul 25, 2021 7:17am
Quoting eLmuchacho
Coffee! Colombia protests (resolving) Vietnam low containers count from covid Brazil frost and low yield cycle etc And did it ever shoot this last week. Big pullback. Im a gold scalper but I keep an eye on swing ideas and I thought since I like coffee I will look there. Just trying to wrap my head around it all on the sidelines for now. It's great to have all infos, but how to predict is harder. im building a folder of news to understand key current drivers. I looked into exact locations and weather forecasts for them. What are your info sources...
thanks for the shout elmuchacho. looking at me charts, i would advise caution on any shorts. i don't trade coffee often so can't confirm if i'm seeing impluse selling or controlled buying. looks like the later. i'll add it my chart list and keep an eye on it.

my edge is trying to figure what the institutions are doing and trade with them. setup i see often turn out to be institutions knowing something the market doesn't.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #82
  • Jul 25, 2021 6:45pm Jul 25, 2021 6:45pm
looks like friday was a buying session for wheat and corn. i'll be watch both for long entries.

also coffee for long entries.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #83
  • Jul 25, 2021 8:48pm Jul 25, 2021 8:48pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
looks like friday was a buying session for wheat and corn. i'll be watch both for long entries. also coffee for long entries.
I'm short on soya, wheat and corn, copper looks like a long if it can break last weeks high
From tiny pips mighty oaks grow
  • #84
  • Jul 25, 2021 8:54pm Jul 25, 2021 8:54pm
Quoting Boo15
{quote} I'm short on soya, wheat and corn, copper looks like a long if it can break last weeks high
a lot of dip buying came in on friday. i can get ahead of the game but i'm liking wheat long @ 666.75


soya looks the weakest of the lot. they are all in a bull market so keep your stops tight imo.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #85
  • Jul 26, 2021 5:00am Jul 26, 2021 5:00am
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} a lot of dip buying came in on friday. i can get ahead of the game but i'm liking wheat long @ 666.75 soya looks the weakest of the lot. they are all in a bull market so keep your stops tight imo.
order was hit and i'm long, price hit 665.75
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #86
  • Jul 26, 2021 5:44am Jul 26, 2021 5:44am
closed @ 670.2
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #87
  • Jul 26, 2021 8:31am Jul 26, 2021 8:31am
coffe traders... as i thought might happen. nice gap.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2021-07-26_09-28-52.png Size: 32 KB
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #88
  • Jul 26, 2021 1:51pm Jul 26, 2021 1:51pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} thanks for the shout elmuchacho. looking at me charts, i would advise caution on any shorts. i don't trade coffee often so can't confirm if i'm seeing impluse selling or controlled buying. looks like the later. i'll add it my chart list and keep an eye on it. my edge is trying to figure what the institutions are doing and trade with them. setup i see often turn out to be institutions knowing something the market doesn't.
Good.
Im tilted on the fundamentals, and current guess is news of frost easing. Must look into rainfall because it's been nonexistent. Brazil crops definitely affected. There is chatter of stocks not being too low though.
Vietnam low containers count will be a thing for a while.
Feeling is of consolidation for me and then await developments.
I woulda shoulda bought last week but I just had looked into it.
Just a retail trader looking into things.
  • #89
  • Jul 27, 2021 5:47am Jul 27, 2021 5:47am
one can see other AG being effected by the weather we are having. are the gov's HAARPing it? my guess is probably.

here are some other setups forming.

live hogs - looks like a short forming. i won't trade it though, i'm just making informed guess.
live cattle - nice up movement, looks early in the build, some structure. i'll be watching it today.
sugar - again nice up movement. too much hot air so won't be trading it.

wheat - i'm looking for longs today. will advise.

also on the euro$ and $cad threads i'm in the hunt for trades.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #90
  • Jul 27, 2021 8:37am Jul 27, 2021 8:37am
all three grains absoultey flying. missed it will monitor and see if i can get in.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #91
  • Jul 27, 2021 10:15am Jul 27, 2021 10:15am
looking like a wash for the grains except corn but not enough to get me going.

coffee - long trade setting up. not sure i've ever traded coffee. i'll paper trade it.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #92
  • Jul 28, 2021 9:07am Jul 28, 2021 9:07am
Quoting Mcbeaners
looking like a wash for the grains except corn but not enough to get me going. coffee - long trade setting up. not sure i've ever traded coffee. i'll paper trade it.
the wheat trade came in on monday, missed it. another buy point came in about 20m ago. missed that also. taken a small long @ 695.95
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #93
  • Jul 28, 2021 9:45am Jul 28, 2021 9:45am
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} the wheat trade came in on monday, missed it. another buy point came in about 20m ago. missed that also. taken a small long @ 695.95
i've been added wheat as the buy signals continue to arrive.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #94
  • Jul 29, 2021 3:25am Jul 29, 2021 3:25am
price projection idea. tp is 716.75. order are not in. has until end of the next pit session to complete.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2021-07-29_04-24-37.png Size: 148 KB
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #95
  • Jul 30, 2021 5:21am Jul 30, 2021 5:21am
Quoting Mcbeaners
price projection idea. tp is 716.75. order are not in. has until end of the next pit session to complete. {image}
well sold at 700.75 ish. could have sold at 708 and banked good. 708 was the volume profile tp (actually hit 709ish). my ab-cd time boxed trade ran out of time.

this move in wheat looks like a head fake, and corn and soy are heading south.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2021-07-30_06-17-09.png Size: 143 KB
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #96
  • Jul 30, 2021 5:36am Jul 30, 2021 5:36am
take a little short on wheat. me thinks there will be some profit taking today.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #97
  • Jul 30, 2021 10:26am Jul 30, 2021 10:26am
Quoting Mcbeaners
take a little short on wheat. me thinks there will be some profit taking today.
closed at a loss. should have shorted soya.

3 trades today - 3 losses.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #98
  • Edited 3:08pm Jul 31, 2021 2:32pm | Edited 3:08pm
Inserted Video


Where is China Going to Get its Food From ?

- sadly no peanut futures to trade....
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #99
  • Aug 1, 2021 10:10am Aug 1, 2021 10:10am
here's another from Adapt 2030.

Inserted Video


A video surfaced of what appeared to be an angel shifting state from an airplane window. This can be explained by voltage input to a plasma medium, which makes me think of ancient religions and plasma petroglyphs.
-----

some sunday viewing. where we have been before.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #100
  • Aug 1, 2021 7:13pm Aug 1, 2021 7:13pm
soyabean - a long from friday would have been the trade to make. watching now for dip to enter.
In tea leaves we trust!
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