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The Really Useful Grains/Soft Thread

  • #61
  • Jul 19, 2021 6:09am Jul 19, 2021 6:09am
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} closed soyha 1471. looks like a pop and drop. at least for soya.
got back in @ 1462 (soya)
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #62
  • Jul 19, 2021 9:09am Jul 19, 2021 9:09am
out for a loss.

looks like s&p is washing out all the longs across all markets.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #63
  • Jul 19, 2021 9:46am Jul 19, 2021 9:46am
wheat for the win. the build is absolutely bullish compared to soya and corn.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #64
  • Jul 19, 2021 4:22pm Jul 19, 2021 4:22pm
Quoting Boo15
Gap up on Wheat, will just observe atm, long on Corn, big gap to close from earlier in the month
Stopped out, shorted soya and cotton which more than made up for the loss on corn
From tiny pips mighty oaks grow
  • #65
  • Jul 20, 2021 6:23am Jul 20, 2021 6:23am
Quoting Boo15
{quote} Stopped out, shorted soya and cotton which more than made up for the loss on corn
i haven't traded cotton in years. i should load the chart up and see .
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #66
  • Jul 20, 2021 6:59am Jul 20, 2021 6:59am
corn and soya look more neutral but wheat remains very bid
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #67
  • Jul 20, 2021 7:35am Jul 20, 2021 7:35am
corn - buyers showing up on this pop up. more to come imo.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #68
  • Jul 20, 2021 7:42am Jul 20, 2021 7:42am
corn - got some @ 566
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #69
  • Jul 20, 2021 7:47am Jul 20, 2021 7:47am
Quoting Mcbeaners
corn - got some @ 566
that's the dec contract btw. august contract is currently higher
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #70
  • Jul 20, 2021 9:20am Jul 20, 2021 9:20am
Quoting Mcbeaners
wheat for the win. the build is absolutely bullish compared to soya and corn.
wheat can't get over 717 ish - so looking to close for now.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #71
  • Jul 20, 2021 9:25am Jul 20, 2021 9:25am
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} wheat can't get over 717 ish - so looking to close for now.
changed my mind closed corn and going to double down on wheat. fingers crossed.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #72
  • Jul 20, 2021 11:56am Jul 20, 2021 11:56am
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} changed my mind closed corn and going to double down on wheat. fingers crossed.
i'm now under water in my wheat trade. on balance it does look like they are absorbing sellers here. i'll wait until the asian session to see where this is going (sell or add more).
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #73
  • Jul 20, 2021 8:12pm Jul 20, 2021 8:12pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} i'm now under water in my wheat trade. on balance it does look like they are absorbing sellers here. i'll wait until the asian session to see where this is going (sell or add more).
ok wheat starting to look positive. i'm looking for one of

713
719
726

order is in @ 726 for the moment and will see what comes tomorrow.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #74
  • Jul 21, 2021 5:56am Jul 21, 2021 5:56am
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} ok wheat starting to look positive. i'm looking for one of 713 719 726 order is in @ 726 for the moment and will see what comes tomorrow.
not liking corn setup at all. looks like shorts building. might spill over to my wheat trade, which looks a little tepid.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #75
  • Jul 21, 2021 12:22pm Jul 21, 2021 12:22pm
Quoting Mcbeaners
{quote} not liking corn setup at all. looks like shorts building. might spill over to my wheat trade, which looks a little tepid.
closed me wheat longs @ 709.5
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #76
  • Jul 22, 2021 5:41am Jul 22, 2021 5:41am
looks like wheat and corn is taking a break.

meanwhile soya looks the best of the lot.

i'm long crude and looking to long copper so doubt i will trade softs today.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #77
  • Jul 23, 2021 6:47am Jul 23, 2021 6:47am
i'd buy soya around 1330 ish. there is still some downside but they are accumulating.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2021-07-23_07-46-57.png Size: 162 KB
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #78
  • Jul 23, 2021 7:41am Jul 23, 2021 7:41am
Quoting Mcbeaners
i'd buy soya around 1330 ish. there is still some downside but they are accumulating. {image}
looks like soya is showing signs of bottoming. so my great idea might be a bust.
In tea leaves we trust!
  • #79
  • Jul 23, 2021 4:53pm Jul 23, 2021 4:53pm
I didn't trade it this week, here is my chart, hour by hour

Have you seen Coffee?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2021-07-24_7-51-07.jpg Size: 328 KB
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #80
  • Jul 24, 2021 3:12pm Jul 24, 2021 3:12pm
Coffee!

Colombia protests (resolving)
Vietnam low containers count from covid
Brazil frost and low yield cycle etc

And did it ever shoot this last week. Big pullback.

Im a gold scalper but I keep an eye on swing ideas and I thought since I like coffee I will look there. Just trying to wrap my head around it all on the sidelines for now.

It's great to have all infos, but how to predict is harder. im building a folder of news to understand key current drivers. I looked into exact locations and weather forecasts for them.

What are your info sources and edge?
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