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The Swamp

  • #87,981
  • Jul 14, 2021 6:39pm Jul 14, 2021 6:39pm
Gold ..bulls took control of day trend at NY close today
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  • #87,982
  • Jul 14, 2021 6:46pm Jul 14, 2021 6:46pm
Eur datapoints atm..
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  • #87,983
  • Jul 14, 2021 6:47pm Jul 14, 2021 6:47pm
GU datapoints..
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  • #87,984
  • Jul 14, 2021 6:49pm Jul 14, 2021 6:49pm
Quoting Boulder
Gold ..bulls took control of day trend at NY close today {image}
Boulder the day trend change on Gold, are you saying we are on a new bull trend?
  • #87,985
  • Jul 14, 2021 7:40pm Jul 14, 2021 7:40pm
Quoting Cecil Gee
{quote} Boulder the day trend change on Gold, are you saying we are on a new bull trend?
yes.. since day reversed to uptrend.. its good to buy dips.... since day trend lasts a long time about 30 days at average..
  • #87,986
  • Jul 14, 2021 7:47pm Jul 14, 2021 7:47pm
Quoting sidhgenius
{quote} Sorry, What i meant is how the dollar correlate with 10yr yield?
put them both on the same chart. then study the correlation. You will be the expert. a higher rate mostly means a stronger usd. the higher the bond demand. the lower the rates can be.

low bond demand =higher rates to encourage people to buy them. As a general rule, but not always.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,987
  • Jul 14, 2021 7:56pm Jul 14, 2021 7:56pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yes.. since day reversed to uptrend.. its good to buy dips.... since day trend lasts a long time about 30 days at average..
Thank you
  • #87,988
  • Jul 14, 2021 8:11pm Jul 14, 2021 8:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} after 1919 was hit last time. I expected a big drop to 145x.. It may take a year +. 1833.xx may be a normal retrace before a deeper drop. So after 1833 look for evidence. Note; that all time frames on that chart, are bullish. So 1833.6 should be monitored. It has to present some drop evidence. By the time evidence is proven, it may be hundreds lower. So start on the lower tf and see what happens. you may be stopped out many times. See what happens in the next 5$ toward 1833.63 ish. Some R may unfold at 1833.70 {image}
Gator been reading this post you made earlier on Gold, do you have a opposite to this in your charts where Gold could climb significantly higher before collapsing towards 1453?
  • #87,989
  • Jul 14, 2021 8:14pm Jul 14, 2021 8:14pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} put them both on the same chart. then study the correlation. You will be the expert. a higher rate mostly means a stronger usd. the higher the bond demand. the lower the rates can be. low bond demand =higher rates to encourage people to buy them. As a general rule, but not always.
Thanks a lot Mr GENIUS
  • #87,990
  • Jul 14, 2021 10:25pm Jul 14, 2021 10:25pm
Quoting sidhgenius
{quote} Thanks a lot Mr GENIUS
you may be able to devise some sort of indicator by adding s/p or some other equites. . generally bonds and equites move opposite. Throw in German bunds and you have a party.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,991
  • Jul 15, 2021 4:12am Jul 15, 2021 4:12am
Quoting PipsMaster23
SL survived and added 1.1788 .. I'm hoping the price can close the week above 1.18s (1.1820+ even better), which could be enough momentum to push for 1.20s next week, or closer to 1.19s. I am also long GOLD from 1797 (i have a 25$ SL) hoping we can attempt 1820 and break above for a weekly close. Should open 1850/70 with new support of 1795.... a weekly close below 1795 would not be ideal
Still holding my EURUSD trade have now moved SL to BE + a few.... My confidence in the trade will grow if we can break and close above 1.1860, if this happens ill be looking for 1.1915 as a next target and will decide here whether to close half the position or not.

Gold trade is nicely in profits and SL moved to BE + a few so risk-free trade... 1833/37 big level.. a break above for me opens 1870.. support is now 1815... there are a few signs of topping out, so best to monitor PA within this zone... however, medium/long term i remain bullish GOLD and will look at any major dips as a buying opp unless something fundamentally changes that view.
Cheers!!
  • #87,992
  • Jul 15, 2021 4:44am Jul 15, 2021 4:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} after 1919 was hit last time. I expected a big drop to 145x.. It may take a year +. 1833.xx may be a normal retrace before a deeper drop. So after 1833 look for evidence. Note; that all time frames on that chart, are bullish. So 1833.6 should be monitored. It has to present some drop evidence. By the time evidence is proven, it may be hundreds lower. So start on the lower tf and see what happens. you may be stopped out many times. See what happens in the next 5$ toward 1833.63 ish. Some R may unfold at 1833.70 {image}
Gold is testing that 1833.67/.70 area. Momentum points up on all tf, I use. Find some evidence of the opposite. That may take some time. Or it may not come. High atm is $1834.14
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,993
  • Jul 15, 2021 4:51am Jul 15, 2021 4:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gold is testing that 1833.67/.70 area. Momentum points up on all tf, I use. Find some evidence of the opposite. That may take some time. Or it may not come. High atm is $1834.14 {image}
Gold, 1h has it's first shooting star.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,994
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:02am Jul 15, 2021 5:02am
Gold; up channel atm.. Looks flagish, Bullish, but at R. Bull channel. could become a bear flag.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,995
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:06am Jul 15, 2021 5:06am
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I put some 1h fresh support..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,996
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:29am Jul 15, 2021 5:29am
Gold has a nice little move to test the flag LL
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,997
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:33am Jul 15, 2021 5:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{image}I put some 1h fresh support..
many thanks gator. your numbers are really interesting.
You helped me to manage positions so better from last night you shared your analysis.
Thanks mate.
Trade to enjoy... Money is after!
  • #87,998
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:35am Jul 15, 2021 5:35am
Gold 4h and lower has signs of a weakening bull. 6h and up still favors bulls.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #87,999
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:40am Jul 15, 2021 5:40am
if eu closes 4h below 1829.4. it may be able to cancel the hammer (1820.6) and drop further. I may have been wrong about 1872/73. I still have pendings there. The 12h has closed higher. so I still wait. see chart
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #88,000
  • Jul 15, 2021 5:47am Jul 15, 2021 5:47am
Quoting gatorinla
if eu closes 4h below 1829.4. it may be able to cancel the hammer (1820.6) and drop further. I may have been wrong about 1872/73. I still have pendings there. The 12h has closed higher. so I still wait. see chart {image}
little hammer erased. now close the 1 h below the 1826.. 4h 1829.4..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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