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The Swamp

  • #83,261
  • Mar 29, 2021 6:10am Mar 29, 2021 6:10am
Back to FX trading, Eur bearish as hell...it can't catch a bid for me to short it...it has tendency to go much lower since week has reversed to downtrend, its sell rally mode for many days and weeks to come..
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  • #83,262
  • Mar 29, 2021 6:13am Mar 29, 2021 6:13am
Swiss is coming to testing H1 downtrend stop at 0.9403. not sure bears can hold
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  • #83,263
  • Mar 29, 2021 6:14am Mar 29, 2021 6:14am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I also flat ADA at 1.23.. I should have done the other day close to 1.30.. only 8% return for 7 days {image}
thinking we may get another shot .61 area. .86ish drop to .61 then .99.. If .99 dont happen first.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,264
  • Mar 29, 2021 6:19am Mar 29, 2021 6:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} gu flipped some on some closes. Looking to sell 383x/59 ish area. {image}
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Quoting gatorinla
{quote} gu flipped some on some closes. Looking to sell 383x/59 ish area. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,265
  • Mar 29, 2021 6:28am Mar 29, 2021 6:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Last week we had this discussion about gbp/jpy. What the eyes were showing about a retrace, was opposite of COT. It did hit that retrace, and some month support. Since its been all COT indicated rise (Since Wednesday up 300 pips. at month support 148.51x). I should have charted more month support. Some new scalps for 25/100 pips may be found on the chart. 157.86 is the next big one in a new cluster. The others are inside the current cluster. All need to be beat on their time frame for month close. 153.40+ month closed should place 157.86...
As bad ass as the dragon looks atm. It still has to pass the month test, at 151.75 at month close. The GBP can weaken some too, just like the yen and the swiss.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,266
  • Mar 29, 2021 6:29am Mar 29, 2021 6:29am
what about gbpjpy gator.. can hold or continue buying?
  • #83,267
  • Mar 29, 2021 7:14am Mar 29, 2021 7:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} good lets do it again .65/.70. add profit to position size. Compound early {image}
u could have got .70 on the drop. Still waiting for closer to .61.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,268
  • Mar 29, 2021 7:20am Mar 29, 2021 7:20am
Quoting SkyTrade2007
what about gbpjpy gator.. can hold or continue buying?
That's up to you.. its at month R 151.75. 2 days till month closes. I dont like to have a buy at R.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,269
  • Mar 29, 2021 8:36am Mar 29, 2021 8:36am
ship rear is moving, front not yet.
https://time.com/5950702/ship-blocking-suez-canal-free/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,270
  • Mar 29, 2021 9:11am Mar 29, 2021 9:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u could have got .70 on the drop. Still waiting for closer to .61. {image} {image}
sorry I didnt make that 20% move in a few hours
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,271
  • Mar 29, 2021 9:12am Mar 29, 2021 9:12am
Suez canal is ok and has green light to traffic north bound and also south bound from Port Said. I feel bad to those who decided to take the long route to asia they now have to spend extra 12 days
Patience is key
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  • #83,272
  • Mar 29, 2021 9:17am Mar 29, 2021 9:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} As bad ass as the dragon looks atm. It still has to pass the month test, at 151.75 at month close. The GBP can weaken some too, just like the yen and the swiss. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,273
  • Mar 29, 2021 9:20am Mar 29, 2021 9:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That's up to you.. its at month R 151.75. 2 days till month closes. I dont like to have a buy at R. {image}
thank you gator.. its moving down now..
  • #83,274
  • Mar 29, 2021 9:47am Mar 29, 2021 9:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Last week we had this discussion about gbp/jpy. What the eyes were showing about a retrace, was opposite of COT. It did hit that retrace, and some month support. Since its been all COT indicated rise (Since Wednesday up 300 pips. at month support 148.51x). I should have charted more month support. Some new scalps for 25/100 pips may be found on the chart. 157.86 is the next big one in a new cluster. The others are inside the current cluster. All need to be beat on their time frame for month close. 153.40+ month closed should place 157.86...
If the dragon closes the month below 150.78. (upper chart) I think it would make it hard to rise despite COT. It looks like a battle for the weakest..Chf or the yen look to win the weaker reward. GBP is still in the running, but not favored. The chf atm looks stronger than the yen. But we still have 2 days to go. -115.56 month close would give the chf an edge to be the biggest loser. see lower chart
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,275
  • Mar 29, 2021 9:52am Mar 29, 2021 9:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If the dragon closes the month below 150.78. (upper chart) I think it would make it hard to rise despite COT. It looks like a battle for the weakest..Chf or the yen look to win the weaker reward. GBP is still in the running, but not favored. The chf atm looks stronger than the yen. But we still have 2 days to go. -115.56 month close would give the chf an edge to be the biggest loser. see lower chart {image} {image}
chf is gaining atm today.. hope the momentum can carry a couple of days for month end and qtr end rebalancing…
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  • #83,276
  • Mar 29, 2021 10:04am Mar 29, 2021 10:04am
Quoting SkyTrade2007
{quote} thank you gator.. its moving down now..
I posted the dragon earlier. The gbp is more in the middle as i see it. It looks to close above month support compared to the chf. If so, the usd/chf usd/jpy long looks better. I will wait to the close to see the ones with more potential compared to the others in the basket.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,277
  • Mar 29, 2021 10:09am Mar 29, 2021 10:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} chf is gaining atm today.. hope the momentum can carry a couple of days for month end and qtr end rebalancing… {image}
Yeah, we cant tell exactly where they buy or sell. But I'm zooming in a little more. Then we see where they close it, for more direction. We may be able to predict COT with some reasonable accuracy. Anything 75%+ is a win.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #83,278
  • Mar 29, 2021 10:21am Mar 29, 2021 10:21am
Metal bearish.. gold and silver longs get killed...
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  • #83,279
  • Mar 29, 2021 10:23am Mar 29, 2021 10:23am
Bitcoin bullish cross board atm.....watch day uptrend stop, which was held the other day...
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  • #83,280
  • Mar 29, 2021 10:25am Mar 29, 2021 10:25am
GbpUsd is bullish ..
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