EUR/USD 15m trendline breakout

Entered long GU at 1.3840, it's in a small flag on 5m

Basically dxy is moving down in its channel so expecting an ABC as it's been hovering at the top at some key fib levels all yesterday

Closed it at 1.3874 (+34), re-entered long at 1.3860 (R1)

Just capitalising on the breakout and getting in at a lower price

Excellent call btw. I have a real tendency to get attached to a direction but try to look at it fresh every day and see which side has the stronger case. Late yesterday I could have sworn down

Wish I'd closed at R2, as it also coincides with round number 1.39 (or near enough)

I am in the mindset that this has quite a bit further to go and am eyeing up R3 as it coincides with an upper wedge TL

Just TPd at 1.3895, might dip a bit now but back up later

Going to aggressively trade this wedge now, on the way up to R3/upper TL

Will go long and short

Took long at 1.3885, possibly the last thrust up (although it may break down now), ready to exit quick if it falls

Out-just took 2 pips

Sold at 1.3895, same thing exit if it's not right.

Closed +35. Noticed Gilts were shooting up and even though DXY was dropping like a stone, but failing to drag up cable. S1 on dxy gave the catalyst for that drop

105 pips and its only 10:30!

Notice Euro is on fire right now- looks like the weekly supply is holding up. Unfortunately i'm still on retail terms with my broker so I used all my margin on one pair.

Watching for dxy to return to the pivot maybe

Back long 1.3869. DXY breaking out of a bear flag, Gilts have a gap to fill down soon

Just took 15 pips. Bit mixed, bulls dont have a lot of energy. Will watch and wait

Short with stop at BE 1.3887

Got taken out BE annoyingly, back in short at 1.38825

Just took 8 pips or something- going to get some food and come back for NY sesh

Caught this long just before it broke out, little accumulation on 5m

Out BE, the larger channel caught it, will come back in an hr

Bought the flag breakout

Just took 17 pips on R2, might get in when it pulls back.

On DXY we reacted off of the 0.382 pullback so the dollar bears aren't finished

Bought into this again after it pulled back off of the pivot

Took 20 pips, I think it will go further I just wanted to lock in a profit

I had an incredible day so maybe just leave it there- don't want to blow it.

Just noticed that pretty stunning daily engulfing candle on dxy off the weekly supply- maybe too early to call trend change but it would figure.

Snuck in a buy, round number, TL, support, bottom of a wedge/divergence, against the strong short term down trend so stop to BE very quickly. Divergence on dxy too

Edit- it shot up 15 pips very quickly and broke the wedge. I may re-enter and retrace- I TPd on 15

Reentered when it retraced a bit to the outer edge of the wedge

If it drops again to the purple 5m demand area then i'll enter again (still in)

Took another 10 pips at the pivot, I'll only re-enter this if we come back to the purple 5m demand, otherwise wait for another setup
Edit- took another 10 pips, so 25 on this set up. Again I'll only re-enter this one if we come back to the purple demand otherwise wait for another setup

If I was super aggressive I'd short the pivot too before long again

On another note, it's actually daylight at 7am here.. quite nice to see after a long winter

Valid setup for me, a TL break and retest but around the daily and weekly pivot as well as in a 1h/4h supply zone made it a bit risky.

In the context of the HTF it seems like we'll break yesterdays high: accumulation-break up-0.618 pullack-back up. Obviously with hindsight I wish I just held in anticipation of this

Edit- bought when price pulled down at LO, stop to BE asap

Edit- just took 10 pips. Not sure why I didnt hold- snap decision when price appeared to reverse in the supply. This goes back to an old problem I've always had but slowly been working on. Good entries but sometimes lack the confidence to hold based on the information the market is giving

I guess that supply is now invalid though because it was taken out yesterday

Bought euro for a change, simple wedge breakout

I notice dxy is filling its gap- I noticed when the market decides its time to do this it usually goes in a straight-ish line. Adds confidence for longs

AND again I decide just on 10 pips

Sitting on 45 pips for the day so far, no losses which is nice

Shorted here. DXY hit the bottom of a 4h channel, Gilts are being bought. Sold on the TL break. We are reacting off of 1h supply, TL break is conf.

Closed +20

This one is a bit abstract but I bought in the 5m supply from this morning after the thrust down. Stop to BE already. DXY top of a mini channel/fib line

-out be

Tried again at the supply below it which kicked off the morning move, stop to BE

took another +10. Was a good spot to buy, maybe the ABCD will hold

Waiting for inflation numbers now, all out

Bought when the CPI came out when I saw dxy sinking, easy 19 pips. Rebought a bit early on the 0.382 retrace

Super frustrating. Long stopped out BE before shooting up 40 pips. I didn't widen the stop for some reason that could have been easily avoided. I then shorted the fib retrace at 0.618, went 3 pips against me so just took the loss, then it fell a bit

Should have been an easy day but getting frustrating now. I've made a decent profit so think I have to stop before I blow it. To think I had buys and sells at the right point on every corner of the price action but left most of it on the table. Analysis broadly fine but execution poor

And of course it drops like a rock from my fibo entry at NY open

Am currently in long pre-treasury auction on GU at 1.3894

Closed for +25

Turned into a pretty decent day all told, it just could have been better- maybe I am too hard on myself

Aggressive re-entry