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The Swamp

  • #81,701
  • Feb 18, 2021 7:10pm Feb 18, 2021 7:10pm
Quoting hans91
{quote} you predict today PMI is not good, right?
Most of time Eur goes up with their PMI data.. I cautiously bet on shorts since H4 and day still in downtrend.. I try not to predict future, and try to follow the system as much as I can.
On another hand.. I also short Swiss.. , with 2:1 ratio.. more on Eur shorts..so whatever happens,,.. I will manage ...
  • #81,702
  • Feb 18, 2021 7:35pm Feb 18, 2021 7:35pm
EurChf has been bullish last a few days,, testing day downtrend stop at 1.0832 atm .. lets see bears can hold at NY close..
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  • #81,703
  • Feb 18, 2021 8:11pm Feb 18, 2021 8:11pm
2/19 Scalp levels
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  • #81,704
  • Feb 19, 2021 12:58am Feb 19, 2021 12:58am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Most of time Eur goes up with their PMI data.. I cautiously bet on shorts since H4 and day still in downtrend.. I try not to predict future, and try to follow the system as much as I can. On another hand.. I also short Swiss.. , with 2:1 ratio.. more on Eur shorts..so whatever happens,,.. I will manage ...
as usual...
  • #81,705
  • Feb 19, 2021 1:06am Feb 19, 2021 1:06am
Quoting Boulder
2/19 Scalp levels {image}
Eur bulls cleared 2 levels ,, next target day range high 1.2145... short some here 1.2128... next to add 1.2140s range..
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  • #81,706
  • Feb 19, 2021 1:11am Feb 19, 2021 1:11am
Swiss cleared 2 support levels.. bears next target 0.8921 then 0.8917
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  • #81,707
  • Feb 19, 2021 1:17am Feb 19, 2021 1:17am
GbpUsd hit 1.4000 for the first time since April 2018...
bullish cross board..
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  • #81,708
  • Feb 19, 2021 1:20am Feb 19, 2021 1:20am
Eur datapoints...not far way from H4 trend stop.. let se bears can hold....
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  • #81,709
  • Feb 19, 2021 1:22am Feb 19, 2021 1:22am
Swiss datapoints..
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  • #81,710
  • Feb 19, 2021 1:58am Feb 19, 2021 1:58am
all usd pairs usd is weak...btc, gbp,uj,brent even try...not need to force eurusd eralier
  • #81,711
  • Feb 19, 2021 2:44am Feb 19, 2021 2:44am
Quoting gatorinla
usd bulls want to be on the north side of 90.92.. bears want to be below 90.405 to close the week. 90.405 is the dominant # for the usd. atm, last week closed above it. {image}
testing usdx 90.405 support, and eu 2137 R.. It's a fight.

Today closing usdx below 90.405, and eu above 2121 is probably eu bullish. On the week #s, or visa versa.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,712
  • Feb 19, 2021 2:55am Feb 19, 2021 2:55am
eu bulls missed 2121 last week, while usdx closed above 90.405. Today is the retry. last h was a 12h close.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,713
  • Feb 19, 2021 3:12am Feb 19, 2021 3:12am
The freeze will be the most costly weather event in Texas history. Insurance companies will be on the hook..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,714
  • Feb 19, 2021 3:27am Feb 19, 2021 3:27am
https://www.texastribune.org/2021/02...outages-ercot/

"Texas was "seconds and minutes" away from catastrophic monthslong blackouts, officials say"
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,715
  • Feb 19, 2021 3:29am Feb 19, 2021 3:29am
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,716
  • Feb 19, 2021 5:22am Feb 19, 2021 5:22am
Quoting gatorinla
eu bulls missed 2121 last week, while usdx closed above 90.405. Today is the retry. last h was a 12h close. {image}
2119/21 light support now. Week close wise, 2121 will be important. 2136.2 is soft support. last h closed at 2136.2. So it may drop to 2119/21 shortly.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,717
  • Feb 19, 2021 5:32am Feb 19, 2021 5:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 2119/21 light support now. Week close wise, 2121 will be important. 2136.2 is soft support. last h closed at 2136.2. So it may drop to 2119/21 shortly.
Hi gator, I remembered you had ever posted about EU will up to 1.3 ,looking DXY has no power to go up even reach 92.00..so I think maybe your prediction will come true..
  • #81,718
  • Feb 19, 2021 5:43am Feb 19, 2021 5:43am
Quoting hans91
{quote} Hi gator, I remembered you had ever posted about EU will up to 1.3 ,looking DXY has no power to go up even reach 92.00..so I think maybe your prediction will come true..
i dont recall 1.3, maybe 1.23. Atm its fighting between 1.235x and 1679. 2018 is between them.. a close below 2121 may retest 2018ish.

The higher time frames are bullish. The year closed higher. I attribute this to corona. But if now corona is now priced in. The trend before corona was lower. GBP may find some big R anytime now near 1.4044.3/82. The month trend was lower last time here.

GBP bulls may need a bigger boat soon. Worth monitoring.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,719
  • Feb 19, 2021 5:59am Feb 19, 2021 5:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
Here of your post.
Indeed you didn't mention 1.3 , but your chart show a sign that EU will go up there.
  • #81,720
  • Feb 19, 2021 6:00am Feb 19, 2021 6:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Eur bulls cleared 2 levels ,, next target day range high 1.2145... short some here 1.2128... next to add 1.2140s range.. {image}
todays ATR has reached....I had pending at 2145, it missed...
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