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The Swamp

  • #81,621
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:34am Feb 17, 2021 9:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am neural on dollar most of time..... I short EurUsd and UsdChf at the same time....those Swiss shorts are hedge trades for Eur shorts trades...I just refill my Swiss shorts after I cashed out last Thursday... I am currently still holding 60% Eur shorts, I added 40% Swiss shorts from yesterday and today.....you are fine.. if you are long Swiss... Swiss trends are on your side...
  • #81,622
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:35am Feb 17, 2021 9:35am
Quoting Boulder
Swiss shorted here 0.8981
today is Wednesday. Evidently the usd is being bought across the board (bitcoin excluded). So this may bleed over to next week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,623
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:38am Feb 17, 2021 9:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} today is Wednesday. Evidently the usd is being bought across the board (bitcoin excluded). So this may bleed over to next week.
the last 8 hs bitcoin slow/stop
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,624
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:41am Feb 17, 2021 9:41am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} today is Wednesday. Evidently the usd is being bought across the board (bitcoin excluded). So this may bleed over to next week.
I thought its Thursday.. glad. . not much news tonight... lets see Eur can drop more to 1.19s ...
  • #81,625
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:51am Feb 17, 2021 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} usdx has some R to pass too about the same time. {image}
usd came back to 90.92 and tested it.. from above.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,626
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:57am Feb 17, 2021 9:57am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Day range low reached....at 1.2040... bears next target 1.2026 RU S1 1.2080 RU S2 1.2060 Day range low 1.2040 RU R3 1.2026
Bears reached my final goal today...1.2026

Day range low reached....at 1.2040... bears next target 1.2026

RU S1 1.2080
RU S2 1.2060
Day range low 1.2040
RU R3 1.2026
  • #81,627
  • Feb 17, 2021 10:23am Feb 17, 2021 10:23am
fyi

Elliott Wave Theory Rules Cheat Sheet
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  • #81,628
  • Feb 17, 2021 10:51am Feb 17, 2021 10:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am neural on dollar most of time..... I short EurUsd and UsdChf at the same time....those Swiss shorts are hedge trades for Eur shorts trades...I just refill my Swiss shorts after I cashed out last Thursday... I am currently still holding 60% Eur shorts, I added 40% Swiss shorts from yesterday and today.....you are fine.. if you are long Swiss... Swiss trends are on your side... I wait for Eur TP 1.2010s and 1.1990s
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,629
  • Feb 17, 2021 11:22am Feb 17, 2021 11:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {image}
typo...it should be neutral on dollar.. not neural......of course since I remain neutral.. I have less neural breakdown on dollar trades....lol...
  • #81,630
  • Feb 17, 2021 11:28am Feb 17, 2021 11:28am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} typo...it should be neutral on dollar.. not neural......of course since I remain neutral.. I have less neural breakdown on dollar trades....lol...
by the way I shorted Eur here 1.2038 and Swiss here 0.8988... for TP 10 for Eu and 20 pips for Swiss.... let see.. will add Eur shorts for sure..

Eur and Swiss datapoints atm
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  • #81,631
  • Feb 17, 2021 11:33am Feb 17, 2021 11:33am
limbaugh bites the dust
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,632
  • Feb 17, 2021 11:34am Feb 17, 2021 11:34am
Quoting gatorinla
limbaugh bites the dust
I saw the news....,, life is short..... enjoy what we have.....
  • #81,633
  • Feb 17, 2021 11:47am Feb 17, 2021 11:47am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I saw the news....,, life is short..... enjoy what we have.....
i may need to adjust down again.. up 4% today.. I wish Oanda had silver and gold.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,634
  • Feb 17, 2021 11:57am Feb 17, 2021 11:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i may need to adjust down again.. up 4% today.. I wish Oanda had silver and gold.
very good so far..
  • #81,635
  • Feb 17, 2021 12:07pm Feb 17, 2021 12:07pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} very good so far..
I want to keep the drawdown low. I got the 1% goal met. Just need to add time. This next setting is as low as it can go.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,636
  • Feb 17, 2021 12:28pm Feb 17, 2021 12:28pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} very good so far..
Insurance companies (stocks hit) be busy, with broken water pipes flooding homes in Texas. A contractors bonanza. Some increases in pipe makers, copper/pex, sheet rock, etc stock should arise.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,637
  • Feb 17, 2021 12:49pm Feb 17, 2021 12:49pm
The texas governor is blaming the wind mills. I guess he dont know the rest of the world (Iceland, Canada). Buys the ones rated for snow. It sounds like he bought the ones for tropical zones. oops..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,638
  • Feb 17, 2021 1:19pm Feb 17, 2021 1:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
The texas governor is blaming the wind mills. I guess he dont know the rest of the world (Iceland, Canada). Buys the ones rated for snow. It sounds like he bought the ones for tropical zones. oops.. {image}
It's not even the type of windmills that are the problem. The same model that operates in the Arctic will operate in the midwest. Windmills only account for 23% of Texas energy needs. This time of year, winds are typically low, and thus, when the turbines aren't normally turning, that's when they tend to freeze up, if they are not regularly serviced. Because of this seasonal aspect, models have shown the amount of wind power that's normally available at this time of year. Despite the number of turbines that are currently offline, the storm has brought winds and the windmills are actually producing above their projected average. No dispute that some windmills have frozen and are offline, but overall, the bottom line loss of energy from offline windmills is only 13%. Natural gas has produced the biggest energy shortfall, due to frozen gas lines.

But sure, they blame the whole mess on green energy. Politicize it. Like politicizing a pandemic. How'd that work out for them.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #81,639
  • Feb 17, 2021 1:45pm Feb 17, 2021 1:45pm
Quoting longfellow
{quote} It's not even the type of windmills that are the problem. The same model that operates in the Arctic will operate in the midwest. Windmills only account for 23% of Texas energy needs. This time of year, winds are typically low, and thus, when the turbines aren't normally turning, that's when they tend to freeze up, if they are not regularly serviced. Because of this seasonal aspect, models have shown the amount of wind power that's normally available at this time of year. Despite the number of turbines that are currently offline, the storm...
some wind mills have de-icing (heater) available. At least that's what i was told. The Texas ones dont have that option. They bought the cheaper ones. The government (Obama Administration) told them 10 years ago they were not prepared. Wind mills are above my payscale. I'm more familiar with water and electric generation (a lifetime ago, before computers.)

Now gas turbines dont turn, when the boiler NG is frozen. Nuke plants make less steam for the steam turbines. They are saying renewables accounts for 10% in Texas. When I operated turbines. We never shut them down, unless they were torn down (turn around maintenance , every few years). We always had them steam warming, even if they were idle for months+. We always had steam turbines and boilers on standby. But we always had a ready supply of NG. I guess their surface NG needs warming (I never had this problem). Nothing will work w/o the NG produced steam. We had gas and steam turbines. Both rely on NG.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #81,640
  • Feb 17, 2021 2:02pm Feb 17, 2021 2:02pm
Yep, they were warned 10 years ago. Today Rick Perry said Texans are willing to freeze to death to keep federal regulation out of "their" power market. Oh well.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
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