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Time and Price Forecasting

  • #3,001
  • Jan 29, 2021 6:49am Jan 29, 2021 6:49am
EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.01.29
EST in 15 min time frame included
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1_2021.01.29.PNG Size: 49 KB
  • #3,002
  • Jan 29, 2021 7:26am Jan 29, 2021 7:26am
EUR/USD turning point on 4H chart which will occur on 2021.01.29
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1_2021.01.29.PNG Size: 49 KB
  • #3,003
  • Jan 31, 2021 11:06pm Jan 31, 2021 11:06pm
EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.02.01
EST in 15 min time frame included
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1_2021.02.01.PNG Size: 48 KB
  • #3,004
  • Feb 1, 2021 9:07am Feb 1, 2021 9:07am
Quoting udithag
EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.02.01 EST in 15 min time frame included {image}
Can you please provide more insight into how you arrived at your prediction. This would be more than helpful.
  • #3,005
  • Feb 1, 2021 11:45am Feb 1, 2021 11:45am
Quoting Shyna-b
{quote} Can you please provide more insight into how you arrived at your prediction. This would be more than helpful.
Hello friend, I did that based on time cycles. There are lot of cycles in every time frame and the most important thing is that I have discovered a mathematical sequence which tells whether that particular cycle is going to work or not. Using that sequence and time cycles, it is possible to predict the turning points of market. The system uses only the number of trading bars between tops and bottoms. No astrology or price levels or square of 9. I still have not thought of disclosing the method.
  • #3,006
  • Feb 1, 2021 3:13pm Feb 1, 2021 3:13pm
Quoting udithag
{quote} Hello friend, I did that based on time cycles. There are lot of cycles in every time frame and the most important thing is that I have discovered a mathematical sequence which tells whether that particular cycle is going to work or not. Using that sequence and time cycles, it is possible to predict the turning points of market. The system uses only the number of trading bars between tops and bottoms. No astrology or price levels or square of 9. I still have not thought of disclosing the method.
hence it is of no practical use for everybody here
  • #3,007
  • Feb 2, 2021 10:19pm Feb 2, 2021 10:19pm
EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.02.03
EST in 15 min time frame included
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1_2021.02.03.PNG Size: 42 KB
  • #3,008
  • Feb 3, 2021 5:44am Feb 3, 2021 5:44am
Another EUR/USD turning point on 1H chart which will occur on 2021.02.03
EST in 15 min time frame included

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1_2021.02.03_2.PNG Size: 39 KB
  • #3,009
  • Feb 3, 2021 6:50am Feb 3, 2021 6:50am
Quoting udithag
{quote} Hello friend, I did that based on time cycles. There are lot of cycles in every time frame and the most important thing is that I have discovered a mathematical sequence which tells whether that particular cycle is going to work or not. Using that sequence and time cycles, it is possible to predict the turning points of market. The system uses only the number of trading bars between tops and bottoms. No astrology or price levels or square of 9. I still have not thought of disclosing the method.
Hello Udithag,

With all due respect, as I see it, this thread was opened here to share experiences, gain new insights and grow together.
If you have found a method to calculate the time factor, congratulations. But if you don't want to publish or share that method (for whatever reason), then you should hold back on posting here. This is not the place for signal services of any kind. Nor is it a place for show-offs who just want to satisfy their ego by presenting their "look what I can do and you can't".

Why don't you just make your own thread and all is well?
When it comes to common sense, the exception is the rule.
  • #3,010
  • Feb 3, 2021 7:40am Feb 3, 2021 7:40am
Yes you are correct my friend. I just wanted to share my analysis. I will start a new thread so it will be good for all of us.
Thanks
  • #3,011
  • Edited 11:57pm Feb 3, 2021 11:45pm | Edited 11:57pm
Quoting Shyna-b
{quote} Can you please provide more insight into how you arrived at your prediction. This would be more than helpful.
Shyna, if his analyses was accurate, and he could actually predict turning points with accuracy, and teach his method, he would soon be the richest man in Babylon. Cycles on a short term chart are so hard to predict accurately because of several factors. First, news can trump the best analyses just because of the volume created by the news event and the resultant huge spike. Second, the forex market totals over 5 Trillion dollars in exchange every single day of the trading week. The best trader in the world cannot predict when Norway, or Australia, or Britain needs to sell or buy a currency on a forward basis to cover a trade deficit or some other factor. So, cycles are nebulous at best, and could only be categorized as a ZONE, not a dead-on prediction. But there are things you can do with your mt4 platform that can help you establish a Zone of Interest but you must be prepared to do some homework. This is how.

1. Lets take your hourly GBP chart and go back at least 2 years.
2. Mark the top and bottom of predominant swings....not small swings like 30-50 pips, but more like 100-200 or more before they turn direction making them valid swings.
3. Now take the spikes created by news events like NFP, Interest Rate adjustments, Major Political Reactions etc etc...and do NOT include them in your analyses.
4. After all this, place your cycle tool starting with the first major swing and set the next vertical at the bottom/top of the swing.

Now start your analyses...are you hitting most of the tops and bottoms of the swings???...remember this is a ZONE that could be in place for 8 hours before it turns but you have been alerted to an area of interest. Tweak your charts a bit if necessary, but I assure you a picture will start to develope in your analyses that can be very telling as to expected cycle reversals......

I have worked on this extensively since DM introduced Time and Price Forecasting and I have had some good success doing so, but always remember the words of Mark Douglas in Trading in the Zone (thanks DM) ....NO ONE can predict the market....No ONE, not me, not you, not the last post....cant be done. But, you can eliminate some of the guesswork by doing extensive analyses like this and establish a few expectations that can be traded...WITH TIGHT STOPS....because even if you are wrong, you can make a ton of money just being correct 40% of the time.....dont take my word...take the word of Mark Douglas.

Anyway...here are two charts where my analyses have been carried forward from months ago......
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDiH1 turning points....png Size: 74 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDiH1 cycle lines.png Size: 50 KB
  • #3,012
  • Feb 4, 2021 4:42pm Feb 4, 2021 4:42pm
Quoting Swede
{quote} Shyna, if his analyses was accurate, and he could actually predict turning points with accuracy, and teach his method, he would soon be the richest man in Babylon. Cycles on a short term chart are so hard to predict accurately because of several factors. First, news can trump the best analyses just because of the volume created by the news event and the resultant huge spike. Second, the forex market totals over 5 Trillion dollars in exchange every single day of the trading week. The best trader in the world cannot predict when Norway, or...

Now, if you completed the work above you have one more step that I held back until there were some questions.....count the number of bars from one vertical cycle line to another and you will start to see something very interesting going forward.........look at how the expected (just a Zone of Interest) direction change coincides with a Cycle Zone, Big Round Number, The weekly Pivot, Test of Trendline, And Fibonacci Retrace 61.8 Five Good Reasons to Jump on Board.

But once Again...always use a stop because Not one person on earth knows for certain if and when this will move for a big win.....but the chances, the elimination of risks give you a tremendous lead over other traders....the chances of good profit is there....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDiH1 five reasons.png Size: 70 KB
  • #3,013
  • Feb 5, 2021 8:58am Feb 5, 2021 8:58am
Check out this Gann Fan post on Tradingview:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BT...torial-Basics/
"GIVE ME 3 POINTS IN SPACE IN TIME AND WATCH ME CREATE MAGIC."
  • #3,014
  • Feb 5, 2021 9:27am Feb 5, 2021 9:27am
Quoting Swede
{quote} Shyna, if his analyses was accurate, and he could actually predict turning points with accuracy, and teach his method, he would soon be the richest man in Babylon. Cycles on a short term chart are so hard to predict accurately because of several factors. First, news can trump the best analyses just because of the volume created by the news event and the resultant huge spike. Second, the forex market totals over 5 Trillion dollars in exchange every single day of the trading week. The best trader in the world cannot predict when Norway, or...
MUCH RESPECT SWEDE...MUCH RESPECT! Thank you.
  • #3,015
  • Feb 5, 2021 9:35am Feb 5, 2021 9:35am
Quoting kapital
Check out this Gann Fan post on Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BT...torial-Basics/
THANK YOU. All your post have been of great help Kapital.
  • #3,016
  • Feb 5, 2021 11:20am Feb 5, 2021 11:20am
Quoting kapital
Check out this Gann Fan post on Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BT...torial-Basics/
Excellent Tutorial Kapital.......just a caution to those using mt4.....because of huge scaling issues with mt4 your starting point using the method as illustrated, is very difficult unless you have preset your charts and have them "scale fixed".

To use the method illustrated you are best to download Tradingview, or Optuma or Ensign charts. MT4 is great for trading price levels, but very difficult for diagonals using Gann formulas....
  • #3,017
  • Edited 10:25pm Feb 6, 2021 9:42pm | Edited 10:25pm
Quoting kapital
Check out this Gann Fan post on Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BT...torial-Basics/
Hey Kapital........I used my mt4 to draw out the illustration as shown in your post. As long as one starts out with the Daily chart squeezed up a much as possible at the start, the drawings come out pretty close to the illustration....once the lines are drawn and the gann and trendlines removed you have a very tradeable chart to work with...will keep an eye on this for a few days.......the guy who posted it has 30 years in the trenches and is worth giving a listen imho
(ps....tried this on some of the majors and once again scaling is a huge issue)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: BTCUSDDaily gann 1.png Size: 40 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: BTCUSDDaily gann 2.png Size: 22 KB
  • #3,018
  • Edited 6:05am Feb 7, 2021 5:55am | Edited 6:05am
Good stuff Swede as always
I just keep ploughing on
Be a little more exciting if the Reddit guys got involved I guess
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: downloadjd.png Size: 136 KB
  • #3,019
  • Feb 7, 2021 6:33pm Feb 7, 2021 6:33pm
Quoting OAPDave
Good stuff Swede as always I just keep ploughing on Be a little more exciting if the Reddit guys got involved I guess {image}
You know Dave, I never want to see someone loose, especially our colleagues in the retail trading market. Nor do I challenge others on their analyses unless they are deceitful by trying to sell something under all the huffing and puffing. But I must say, this last couple of weeks old RobinHood brought a smile to my face, in fact I was in a good mood for the whole week seeing the major manipulators get a taste of a Short Squeeze like they never saw before. Hedge funds, brokers and all the others who have big coin to work with, can drive a company into bankruptcy by driving price into the toilet....then they tout how smart their fund is by saying ''we told you this company was going down''....grrrr and now you know why I trade Forex instead of stocks or futures....quit both of them because of the extreme manipulation.

Yes, there is manipulation in Forex also, but with 5 trillion traded daily, even a hedge fund does not have deep enough pockets to move the market like they do in the other areas...anyway, it was good to see them get a taste of what they dish out to others....
  • #3,020
  • Feb 7, 2021 8:46pm Feb 7, 2021 8:46pm
Quoting fundiwambao
In his trading video, one of the things MSJ mentions 'casually' is using 45 degree angles on impulse waves. Enter when price breaks the 45 degree trendline, trail stop two candles behind This is EURUSD M15 from two days ago. Works on any timeframe. Ratio = top of impulse / bottom of impulse ( e.g: 1.0907 / 1.0878 = 1.002638 (rounded) Square root of 1.002638 = 1.00131826 [ the above: Jenkins Natural Ratios to determine next support/resistance lines ] 1.0907 * 1.002638 = 1.0935 --> the next level after trendline was broken ( TP hit ) 1.0935 * 1.002638...
how did you round to 1.002638?

Top Bottom Top/Bottom
1.0907 1.0878 1.002665931
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