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Bank positions for free & weekly forecast from major banks

  • #301
  • Jan 26, 2021 5:25am Jan 26, 2021 5:25am
Quoting helioss
Hi Bacco! What do u think about -1% reduction SMART MONEY OI SHORT? {image}
Hello Helioss,
where is this chart available from, if you dont' mind?
  • #302
  • Jan 26, 2021 5:31am Jan 26, 2021 5:31am
Quoting Bacco
Dealers: (smart money). They buy when the price get cheaper (downtrend) and sell when demand increase (uptrend). So they are counter trend, but they are who sell to market. Thats why smart money. Speculators: trend follower. In my graph are represented as gbp usd tot position, i do the calculation with both leverage fund and asset manager. Here is my view for coming week. Dealers long are below 10%, they are not buying at all. is when price start to make the top Dealer short are in extreme territory, is almost 25%. Looking at the past only in 2017...
Dealers aren't smart money.
  • #303
  • Jan 26, 2021 5:39am Jan 26, 2021 5:39am
Quoting xRedStaRx
{quote} Dealers aren't smart money.
Ah no? would u mind elaborate your sentence?
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #304
  • Jan 26, 2021 6:15am Jan 26, 2021 6:15am
Here explanation:

Contents of the Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) Report
Dealer/Intermediary
These participants are what are typically described as the "sell side" of the market. Though they may not predominately sell futures, they do design and sell various financial assets to clients. They tend to have matched books or offset their risk across markets and clients. Futures contracts are part of the pricing and balancing of risk associated with the products they sell and their activities. These include large banks (U.S. and non-U.S.) and dealers in securities, swaps and other derivatives.
The rest of the market comprises the "buy-side," which is divided into three separate categories:
Asset Manager/Institutional
These are institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, insurance companies, mutual funds and those portfolio/investment managers whose clients are predominantly institutional.
Leveraged Funds
These are typically hedge funds and various types of money managers, including registered commodity trading advisors (CTAs); registered commodity pool operators (CPOs) or unregistered funds identified by CFTC. The strategies may involve taking outright positions or arbitrage within and across markets. The traders may be engaged in managing and conducting proprietary futures trading and trading on behalf of speculative clients.
Other Reportables
Reportable traders that are not placed into one of the first three categories are placed into the "other reportables" category. The traders in this category mostly are using markets to hedge business risk, whether that risk is related to foreign exchange, equities or interest rates. This category includes corporate treasuries, central banks, smaller banks, mortgage originators, credit unions and any other reportable traders not assigned to the other three categories.
Source: The CFTC website.
  • #305
  • Jan 26, 2021 6:16am Jan 26, 2021 6:16am
Quoting vinforex7
{quote} Hello Helioss, where is this chart available from, if you dont' mind?
it's my personal Excel spreadsheet
  • #306
  • Jan 26, 2021 6:25am Jan 26, 2021 6:25am
Quoting helioss
Here explanation: Contents of the Traders in Financial Futures (TFF) Report Dealer/Intermediary These participants are what are typically described as the "sell side" of the market. Though they may not predominately sell futures, they do design and sell various financial assets to clients. They tend to have matched books or offset their risk across markets and clients. Futures contracts are part of the pricing and balancing of risk associated with the products they sell and their activities. These include large banks (U.S. and non-U.S.) and dealers...
Thats why smart. Dealers are the sellers. They make profit buying at given low price, and selling at higher price.
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #307
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:56am Jan 26, 2021 7:56am
Scotiabank Daily
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf FX-Daily-1-26.pdf   488 KB | 261 downloads
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #308
  • Jan 26, 2021 1:45pm Jan 26, 2021 1:45pm
Quoting Bacco
{quote} Ah no? would u mind elaborate your sentence?
You wrote Dealers (smart money), it's the speculators not the dealers.
  • #309
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:02pm Jan 26, 2021 2:02pm
Quoting xRedStaRx
{quote} You wrote Dealers (smart money), it's the speculators not the dealers.
Who is selling to speculators?

They provide liquidity to the system and are taking the counter-part. How are they making profit?

When price falls and and everybody want to sell making the price cheaper, they buy, when price increase and everybody wants to buy, they sell to them with a higher price compared to when they had bought it before (swap).

Thats why smart. Speculators (hedge fund, asset mgr) can lose money if they make a bad trade. Dealers are always going to make profit from swap.
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #310
  • Jan 26, 2021 2:55pm Jan 26, 2021 2:55pm
Quoting Bacco
{quote} Who is selling to speculators? They provide liquidity to the system and are taking the counter-part. How are they making profit? When price falls and and everybody want to sell making the price cheaper, they buy, when price increase and everybody wants to buy, they sell to them with a higher price compared to when they had bought it before (swap). Thats why smart. Speculators (hedge fund, asset mgr) can lose money if they make a bad trade. Dealers are always going to make profit from swap.
You have no idea what you're talking about.

Speculators are smart money and can lose money. Being smart doesn't mean you are always right. Dealers provide liquidity like you said, but for hedge and market making, not for profit.
  • #311
  • Jan 26, 2021 3:06pm Jan 26, 2021 3:06pm
Quoting xRedStaRx
{quote} You have no idea what you're talking about. Speculators are smart money and can lose money. Being smart doesn't mean you are always right. Dealers provide liquidity like you said, but for hedge and market making, not for profit.
I know perfectly what im talking about. Before making a statement i would do some research. I hope the picture clarify the matter.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fx.PNG Size: 336 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: fx2.PNG Size: 329 KB
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #312
  • Jan 27, 2021 1:15am Jan 27, 2021 1:15am
There is a misunderstanding, because too many times smart money follows speculators money, so I don't think that there is a problem when this happening knowing all this information and following price action every day on weekly basis.

Bacco is doing a good job here, respect.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #313
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:48am Jan 27, 2021 2:48am
HSBC Daily
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf dfx-20210127.pdf   724 KB | 276 downloads
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #314
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:02am Jan 27, 2021 4:02am
Quoting Bacco
{quote} I know perfectly what im talking about. Before making a statement i would do some research. I hope the picture clarify the matter. {image} {image}
No clue where you got that from, probably someone who sells a $1,000 forex course, you don't know what you're talking about.
  • #315
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:04am Jan 27, 2021 4:04am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
There is a misunderstanding, because too many times smart money follows speculators money, so I don't think that there is a problem when this happening knowing all this information and following price action every day on weekly basis. Bacco is doing a good job here, respect.
" Bacco is doing a good job here, respect. "
A great job indeed! God bless him real good.

Now my concern is how to translate these huge information
to cash in my bank account! Please Bacco start your
signals as I saw you doing at the beginning of this thread.
Thanks a million, Bacco!
  • #316
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:23am Jan 27, 2021 4:23am
Quoting xRedStaRx
{quote} No clue where you got that from, probably someone who sells a $1,000 forex course, you don't know what you're talking about.
bacco knows what he's doing, he's experienced
  • #317
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:32am Jan 27, 2021 4:32am
Quoting Glorybound
{quote} " Bacco is doing a good job here, respect. " A great job indeed! God bless him real good. Now my concern is how to translate these huge information to cash in my bank account! Please Bacco start your signals as I saw you doing at the beginning of this thread. Thanks a million, Bacco!
I don't see any difference. Maybe you should learn to adapt.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #318
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:33am Jan 27, 2021 4:33am
Quoting xRedStaRx
{quote} No clue where you got that from, probably someone who sells a $1,000 forex course, you don't know what you're talking about.
Looks like you have difficulties to elaborate.

So,little recap.
You said Dealers provide liquidity to market, we agreed and i ve added they make profit with swap. And thats why smart.

You said they dont do it for profit. Probably you are right. I wonder if i walk in a bank and ask for a loan if they would provide it for free as apparently they love charity.
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #319
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:34am Jan 27, 2021 4:34am
Quoting Glorybound
{quote} " Bacco is doing a good job here, respect. " A great job indeed! God bless him real good. Now my concern is how to translate these huge information to cash in my bank account! Please Bacco start your signals as I saw you doing at the beginning of this thread. Thanks a million, Bacco!
I will start again in couple of weeks
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #320
  • Jan 27, 2021 5:00am Jan 27, 2021 5:00am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} I don't see any difference. Maybe you should learn to adapt.
I don't understand you. I only supported your earlier post that
Bacco is doing a great job and deserves respect.
Did I offend you by that?
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