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The Swamp

  • #80,761
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:16pm Jan 26, 2021 7:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu 4h closed above 2156, positive to retest 2169.9
giving respect to 2169
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,762
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:08pm Jan 26, 2021 8:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu 4h closed above 2156, positive to retest 2169.9
2153/57 some support.. an h close above 2163 should bring little bulls back for 2169
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,763
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:34pm Jan 26, 2021 8:34pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 2153/57 some support.. an h close above 2163 should bring little bulls back for 2169
Hi gator, i think 2184 is big resistance to pass, as yesterday daily candle printed higher low, so i assume this will drop again. who knows FOMC will bring it drop below 2100. it maybe a big surprise as new downtrend will start afterwards. i'm not sure my analysis is accurate or not as i'm often wrong. i think so because many analysts predicts dovish of FOMC and weaknesses dollar continue.
this is hard to predict but as long as PA below 2200 i keep my bearish bias till 1.2000 - 1.2020 area at least.
  • #80,764
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:34pm Jan 26, 2021 8:34pm
Very interesting to read, sorry for the long post if this takes too much space but it touches options, also gamestop why it went up so fast today...
I think its very good info to share.. since markets have been changing, we need to learn how to adapt..

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  • #80,765
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:50pm Jan 26, 2021 8:50pm
fyi
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  • #80,766
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:15pm Jan 26, 2021 9:15pm
Quoting Boulder
fyi {image}
Sorry for the noob question, how does it affect the pair when it expires? Do we expecting a spike of volume?
  • #80,767
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:16pm Jan 26, 2021 9:16pm
Quoting hans91
{quote} Hi gator, i think 2184 is big resistance to pass, as yesterday daily candle printed higher low, so i assume this will drop again. who knows FOMC will bring it drop below 2100. it maybe a big surprise as new downtrend will start afterwards. i'm not sure my analysis is accurate or not as i'm often wrong. i think so because many analysts predicts dovish of FOMC and weaknesses dollar continue. this is hard to predict but as long as PA below 2200 i keep my bearish bias till 1.2000 - 1.2020 area at least.
look at those options Boulder posted. 2200 or 2250 may be a magnet in 12 hs. I thought 2201 was already a magnet b4 seeing this https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post13379003
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,768
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:33pm Jan 26, 2021 9:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} look at those options Boulder posted. 2200 or 2250 may be a magnet in 12 hs. I thought 2201 was already a magnet b4 seeing this https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...3#post13379003
But if it cant maintain 2200 with closes. It will fall. Maybe back to 2117. I think the long COT will posh it above 2200. But will tp and see if it retraces back to 2169..I may buy 2169 later. 2213/17 1h bulls may need to take a close above. Uf not it should retrace some.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,769
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:53pm Jan 26, 2021 9:53pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} But if it cant maintain 2200 with closes. It will fall. Maybe back to 2117. I think the long COT will posh it above 2200. But I will tp 2200 and see if it retraces back to 2169..I may buy 2169 later. 2213/17 1h bulls may need to take a close above. If not, it should retrace some. {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,770
  • Jan 27, 2021 2:28am Jan 27, 2021 2:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 2153/57 some support.. an h close above 2163 should bring little bulls back for 2169
never got this close above 2163 or 2169.9. next level 1h support 2139.6. 2169.9 is a 4h r now. pa stuck between day 2117 and 2200
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,771
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:21am Jan 27, 2021 3:21am
Good morning,, Eur is testing H1 1.2148 and H4 1.2128 atm..lets see bulls can hold .. 40 mins to go...

ECB’s Knot: ECB Hasn’t Reached Lower Bound, Room For Rate Cut
  • #80,772
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:25am Jan 27, 2021 3:25am
Shorted some Swiss here 0.8883
  • #80,773
  • Jan 27, 2021 3:57am Jan 27, 2021 3:57am
Quoting Boulder
Shorted some Swiss here 0.8883
going back to bed.. enjoy your gold nugget
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,774
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:00am Jan 27, 2021 4:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} going back to bed.. enjoy your gold nugget
Ohh yeah.. there were some trades early.. account moved up higher.. keep marching from $100 to the million...
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  • #80,775
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:06am Jan 27, 2021 4:06am
wow.. one ECB official's comments ,sent Euro to bearish zone...
will keep shorting bounces..
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  • #80,776
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:12am Jan 27, 2021 4:12am
Quoting Boulder
wow.. one ECB official's comments ,sent Euro to bearish zone... will keep shorting bounces.. {image}
be carful with 2117.dont trust it. A day close below would be best for shorts. These zone dont care much about cb or indicators. if it breaks though the bottom.. 2069 needs some closes below or bounce.

it probably going back up if an h close above 2140.. maybe down with a close below 2139.6. last h was a 12h close, it was above 2117. 12h had a chance to close below 2117 and didnt.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,777
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:13am Jan 27, 2021 4:13am
Swiss datapoint atm... bulls just reversed H1, with bears still hold H4 ...it will continue to be a choppy ride..
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  • #80,778
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:15am Jan 27, 2021 4:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} be carful with 2117.dont trust it. A day close below would be best for shorts. These zone dont care much about cb or indicators
I am light positioned in either Eur and Swiss .. try not to overbet before FOMC today...
  • #80,779
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:43am Jan 27, 2021 4:43am
FOMC today...Pontius Powell at 10 o'clock...
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I am who I am
  • #80,780
  • Jan 27, 2021 4:51am Jan 27, 2021 4:51am
wow..,, those robinhood traders...
GME 356.premarket...over 100%.. yesterday close 147, jumped higher after Elon Musk's tweet.
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