The Swamp | Page 4037 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #80,721
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:32am Jan 26, 2021 7:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Benadryl kicked my ass. Just getting up. I see your 4h held last round. It was a 12h also, it held off 2117. Beware, I know below 2201 and 2654 is the bear side. You still need your 4h and 2117. . This may be a trap.
Hope you feeling better ...
Besides Euro, .. Swiss bears wont let bulls reverse H4 either...
  • #80,722
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:35am Jan 26, 2021 7:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Hope you feeling better ... Besides Euro, .. Swiss bears wont let bulls reverse H4 either...
I figure its a good place to ambush shorts. Maybe unload some of those record longs next time.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,723
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:37am Jan 26, 2021 7:37am
Eur testing H1 .atm.... lets see bulls can do it... 25 mins to go...
  • #80,724
  • Edited 7:56am Jan 26, 2021 7:40am | Edited 7:56am
Thanks for the drop.. cashed out some Swiss at 0.8877 on positions as I mentioned early.. +34
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 17 KB
  • #80,725
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:50am Jan 26, 2021 7:50am
I added some Eur shorts here in 2150s range, last filled 2157..
in case bears fail to hold H1, I will pause shorting till later...7 mins to go...
Today range high 1.2183.
  • #80,726
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:55am Jan 26, 2021 7:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know. Just reading price. I said 2201 is a day sell area and 2354 for the month. Its just an opinion. But neither 2201 or 2354 were reached again. I can be wrong. To me 2117ish looked to be where the smart money would be buying. If I'm wrong, the first step would be pa closing below 2117 and running. But like Boulder said in the Cot report. The eu was being bought. At this mild 2117 area bought should reach 2201. Take that with a grain of salt. The larger smart money sell is near 2354. Its in those earlier charts posted. This is why...
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} St may be 2131 bulls like to stay above with closes. Some long setups to me is what to look for now on the smaller time frames. Keep in mind pa did get near 3354 once already. So be careful since so far pa has not achieved 2101 again. Pa below 2117 closing the day may screw my bounce talk. After saying all this 2131 is a st buy to me. 217ish may be a bottom. That may help 2131 bounce. This next bounce may take out 2201 I'm bullish biased near 2117. Short term bullish biased 2131.
st 2131 wasn't strong enough. The jury is still out on the bounce to 2201 or more. A 4h close is bullish to me above 2156.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,727
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:00am Jan 26, 2021 8:00am
this last 4h close is bullish to me above 2156
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,728
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:07am Jan 26, 2021 8:07am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} ...Be Careful Of Shorting Eur....month end rebalancing coming up ... CitiFX on MONTH-END - Prel estimates for January rebalancing shows equity to bond rebalancing signal & a marginal need to sell #USD across G10 FX BARCLAYS said similar on Monday
Eur H1 just reversed to uptrend... this is going to play out as I mentioned early.... Eur going up for the month end....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 13 KB
  • #80,729
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:12am Jan 26, 2021 8:12am
If the COT bulls are series. 2201 would need some larger closes above. ADR wise, the move may have some limitations today. R is on the chart. 2171,81,89,93, 2201
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 19 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,730
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:31am Jan 26, 2021 8:31am
fyi

mexico to legalize marijuana in coming months, sanchez says

MEXICO'S INTERIOR MINISTER SAYS OPIATES COULD END BEING REGULATED IN THE LONGER TERM
  • #80,731
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:34am Jan 26, 2021 8:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Eur H1 just reversed to uptrend... this is going to play out as I mentioned early.... Eur going up for the month end.... {image}
You said record COT longs.. So that has to put 2354 tested within some reason. I think the same speck longs will start to unload near 2354 month chart wise. That may be a double top to form. (just thinking aloud)
Day chart wise near 2201 some spec long unloading. Near 2290/2201 probably some retail short closing, and some fresh adr shorting.
Bulls need to get above 2201 and hold to reach 235x. 2170/2200 looks to delay some with adr and r etc. some 4h support may develop 2156/57
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,732
  • Jan 26, 2021 8:51am Jan 26, 2021 8:51am
Quoting Boulder
Thanks for the drop.. cashed out some Swiss at 0.8877 on positions as I mentioned early.. +34 {image}
Nice trade, just got in selling the swiss, targeting just a few pips. Wish me luck.
  • #80,733
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:04am Jan 26, 2021 9:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You said record COT longs.. So that has to put 2354 tested within some reason. I think the same speck longs will start to unload near 2354 month chart wise. That may be a double top to form. (just thinking aloud) Day chart wise near 2201 some spec long unloading. Near 2290/2201 probably some retail short closing, and some fresh adr shorting. Bulls need to get above 2201 and hold to reach 235x. 2170/2200 looks to delay some with adr and r etc. some 4h support may develop 2156/57
eu 1 h above 2140 closes are bullish to me. A 2172 high may allow it to test 2140 (2139.6). 1h bulls want to get above 2169 and hold. If not 2139x may be retested. possible buy later 2139x if 2169 dont hold bulls up. 2140 needs to hold on the 1h after a buy. ..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 32 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,734
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:05am Jan 26, 2021 9:05am
Quoting liquidice
{quote} Nice trade, just got in selling the swiss, targeting just a few pips. Wish me luck.
I just got in again too at 8873 lets see,,,sooner or later, it will TP out.. since this is trend trading.....
next TP 8866 then 8863..
  • #80,735
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:09am Jan 26, 2021 9:09am
Swiss are bearish cross the board..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 12 KB
  • #80,736
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:20am Jan 26, 2021 9:20am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I just got in again too at 8873 lets see,,,sooner or later, it will TP out.. since this is trend trading.....
out +2, it's been a while since my last trade, am a little rusty lol, it's good to be back.
Attached Image
  • #80,737
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:29am Jan 26, 2021 9:29am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You said record COT longs.. So that has to put 2354 tested within some reason. I think the same speck longs will start to unload near 2354 month chart wise. That may be a double top to form. (just thinking aloud) Day chart wise near 2201 some spec long unloading. Near 2290/2201 probably some retail short closing, and some fresh adr shorting. Bulls need to get above 2201 and hold to reach 235x. 2170/2200 looks to delay some with adr and r etc. some 4h support may develop 2156/57
True about the 4h support may develop. 1h wise near 2169.9 (push down) could repel pa some. Another chance to buy may come on the repel to near 2139.6. 2139.6 is the opposite nearest 1h. it too may repel (push up). A break above 2172 should make 2139.6 stronger at support. A close above 2170 helps 2169.9 support.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,738
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:35am Jan 26, 2021 9:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} True about the 4h support may develop. 1h wise near 2169.9 (push down) could repel pa some. Another chance to buy may come on the repel to near 2139.6. 219x is the opposite nearest 1h. it too may repel (push up). A break above 2172 should make 2139.6 stronger at support. A close above 2170 helps 2169.9 support.
Putting a pending L 2140 just in case.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 23 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,739
  • Jan 26, 2021 9:58am Jan 26, 2021 9:58am
mid range between these points is 2154 and 2141. 2169.9 didnt hold this try.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 19 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,740
  • Jan 26, 2021 10:04am Jan 26, 2021 10:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Putting a pending L 2140 just in case. {image}
2141.3 (add some for spread), maybe some support at 2139.6. All is bullish, this is just in case it drops past 4h support 215x, if so 2141 is where it normally would go
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
76 traders viewing now