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The Swamp

  • #80,701
  • Jan 25, 2021 2:42pm Jan 25, 2021 2:42pm
Quoting hans91
{quote} Looks like you're right, 4H close is a pin bar, makes me scared to hold short longer.. Crazy.. They always buy on dips preventing price make a lower low..
I dont know. Just reading price. I said 2201 is a day sell area and 2354 for the month. Its just an opinion. But neither 2201 or 2354 were reached again. I can be wrong. To me 2117ish looked to be where the smart money would be buying. If I'm wrong, the first step would be pa closing below 2117 and running. But like Boulder said in the Cot report. The eu was being bought. At this mild 2117 area bought should reach 2201. Take that with a grain of salt. The larger smart money sell is near 2354. Its in those earlier charts posted. This is why I dont want to get too far over my skis, saying its a trend change reversal. The big boys were buying. Did they close 21x? I dont know. I do think if they do push up, 2117 area is the place they might have tried. It's made one bounce from near 2117. St may be 2131 bulls like to stay above with closes. Some long setups to me is what to look for now on the smaller time frames.

Keep in mind pa did get near 3354 once already. So be careful since so far pa has not achieved 2101 again. Pa below 2117 closing the day may screw my bounce talk.
After saying all this 2131 is a st buy to me. 217ish may be a bottom. That may help 2131 bounce. This next bounce may take out 2201

I'm bullish biased near 2117. Short term bullish biased 2131.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,702
  • Jan 25, 2021 2:55pm Jan 25, 2021 2:55pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont know. Just reading price. I said 2201 is a day sell area and 2354 for the month. Its just an opinion. But neither 2201 or 2354 were reached again. I can be wrong. To me 2117ish looked to be where the smart money would be buying. If I'm wrong, the first step would be pa closing below 2117 and running. But like Boulder said in the Cot report. The eu was being bought. At this mild 2117 area bought should reach 2201. Take that with a grain of salt. The larger smart money sell is near 2354. Its in those earlier charts posted. This is why...
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,703
  • Jan 25, 2021 4:21pm Jan 25, 2021 4:21pm
Quoting Boulder
Barely any Eur left.. last out 1.2124.. wait for refill... absolutely beautiful. {image}
Have a good flight. I hope you enjoyed the fajitas.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,704
  • Jan 25, 2021 4:35pm Jan 25, 2021 4:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} uk version is more contagious. Some evidence of it also being more deadly.
I checked with several friends in NHS they don’t have any isolated virus sample nor anyway to detect variants.
  • #80,705
  • Jan 25, 2021 5:13pm Jan 25, 2021 5:13pm
Quoting BearingBull
{quote} I checked with several friends in NHS they don’t have any isolated virus sample nor anyway to detect variants.
Are these same friends who promoted hydroxychloroquine? Asking for a friend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,706
  • Jan 25, 2021 6:39pm Jan 25, 2021 6:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Are these same friends who promoted hydroxychloroquine? Asking for a friend.
As far as I am aware in the UK it was never recommended to me when I had it. I was told to keep healthy diet, sunshine and milk products. But the question remains there is not way to test new variants/strains of virus as COVID-19 was not isolated and tested specifically. I was actually reading medical terms CASE and ‘diagnosis’ are separate terms. The recent guidelines by WHO for PCR test only now differentiate them.
  • #80,707
  • Jan 25, 2021 6:54pm Jan 25, 2021 6:54pm
Quoting BearingBull
{quote} As far as I am aware in the UK it was never recommended to me when I had it. I was told to keep healthy diet, sunshine and milk products. But the question remains there is not way to test new variants/strains of virus as COVID-19 was not isolated and tested specifically. I was actually reading medical terms CASE and ‘diagnosis’ are separate terms. The recent guidelines by WHO for PCR test only now differentiate them.
So the experts are lying. You and your mentally unstable Facebook friend know the truth. I got it. Did you ever think your awareness may be flawed?

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-55768627
https://news.osu.edu/new-variant-of-...d-in-columbus/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #80,708
  • Jan 25, 2021 9:03pm Jan 25, 2021 9:03pm
Eur.. let see bears can hold H1 or bulls can defend H4..
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  • #80,709
  • Jan 25, 2021 9:24pm Jan 25, 2021 9:24pm
Swiss the same. I watch for H1 and H4 to decide ..
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  • #80,710
  • Jan 25, 2021 9:32pm Jan 25, 2021 9:32pm
Probably continue range trades before Wednesday FMOC..I don't take dollar sides, I am still shorting Eu and Swiss both.. last filled Eur at 1.2143 and Swiss at 0.9981.. In case Eur bears can't hold H1, I will slow down on Eur shorts. Otherwise I will sell into strength. The same applied to Swiss...
  • #80,711
  • Jan 25, 2021 9:42pm Jan 25, 2021 9:42pm
fyi.. slow option markets too,,not much going on either..
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  • #80,712
  • Jan 25, 2021 10:45pm Jan 25, 2021 10:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Have a good flight. I hope you enjoyed the fajitas.
Had a good time.. thanks..

Check out UsdMxn,...seems bullish breakout..,testing day atm..
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  • #80,713
  • Jan 26, 2021 4:31am Jan 26, 2021 4:31am
Good Morning... just woke up.. I see Eur tested H4 uptrend stop 1.2123 , bulls held at H4 close...
nothing has changed much.. this continues its choppy trading between H1 and H4 stops
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  • #80,714
  • Jan 26, 2021 4:33am Jan 26, 2021 4:33am
Quoting Boulder
Good Morning... just woke up.. I see Eur tested H4 uptrend stop 1.2123 , bulls held at H4 close... nothing has changed much.. this continues its choppy trading between H1 and H4 stops {image}
Swiss the same, tested H4 downtrend stop at 0.8893, bears held at H4 close as well...
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  • #80,715
  • Jan 26, 2021 4:36am Jan 26, 2021 4:36am
Quoting Boulder
Probably continue range trades before Wednesday FMOC..I don't take dollar sides, I am still shorting Eu and Swiss both.. last filled Eur at 1.2143 and Swiss at 0.9981.. In case Eur bears can't hold H1, I will slow down on Eur shorts. Otherwise I will sell into strength. The same applied to Swiss...
Over night, I had quite a few Eur shorts got cashed out... last one TP out 1.2125... wait for refills ; . Swiss .. still waiting.. last filled 0.8891
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  • #80,716
  • Jan 26, 2021 4:44am Jan 26, 2021 4:44am
Quoting Boulder
Good Morning... just woke up.. I see Eur tested H4 uptrend stop 1.2123 , bulls held at H4 close... nothing has changed much.. this continues its choppy trading between H1 and H4 stops {image}
...Be Careful Of Shorting Eur....month end rebalancing coming up ...

CitiFX on MONTH-END - Prel estimates for January rebalancing shows equity to bond rebalancing signal & a marginal need to sell #USD across G10 FX
BARCLAYS said similar on Monday
  • #80,717
  • Jan 26, 2021 4:48am Jan 26, 2021 4:48am
Well said..
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  • #80,718
  • Jan 26, 2021 5:36am Jan 26, 2021 5:36am
Mission Impossible : selling EUR even more than selling USD...Guest Stars ECB's President Lagarde and FED Chairman Powell...LOL
I am who I am
  • #80,719
  • Jan 26, 2021 5:38am Jan 26, 2021 5:38am
Eur shorted here 1.2141... will add...
  • #80,720
  • Jan 26, 2021 7:27am Jan 26, 2021 7:27am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Had a good time.. thanks.. Check out UsdMxn,...seems bullish breakout..,testing day atm.. {image}
Benadryl kicked my ass. Just getting up. I see your 4h held last round. It was a 12h also, it held off 2117. Beware, I know below 2201 and 2654 is the bear side. You still need your 4h and 2117. . This may be a trap.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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