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Day Trading vs. Swing Trading vs. Position Trading 84 replies

100-200MA 1 Hour Time Frame 327 replies

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Attachments: 200MA f(x) Trading
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200MA f(x) Trading

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  • Post #1
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  • First Post: Edited Apr 10, 2021 12:53am Jan 12, 2021 12:45pm | Edited Apr 10, 2021 12:53am
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Hello FF!

Today I would like to share my 200MA f(x) trading system!

new rules coming soon...
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
  • Post #2
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  • Jan 12, 2021 12:47pm Jan 12, 2021 12:47pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Current Open Trades:
Attached Image

Everything is green minus EUR/USD short.

That has been consolidating quite a bit. It's still a great short here with a roughly 40% probability of reaching the TP before the SL. You can do the math on the current RR offered by the market to see if that decision makes sense or not.
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
2
  • Post #3
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  • Jan 12, 2021 1:31pm Jan 12, 2021 1:31pm
  •  peterhenders
  • | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 215 Posts
ok I'm in, all looks good to me
  • Post #4
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 1:35pm Jan 12, 2021 1:35pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting peterhenders
Disliked
ok I'm in, all looks good to me
Ignored
Glad to have you!
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
  • Post #5
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  • Jan 12, 2021 1:41pm Jan 12, 2021 1:41pm
  •  peterhenders
  • | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 215 Posts
Not understanding the G/A long entry as the pullback should of been the entry on the 200ema line where price is now. 1.75814 area
  • Post #6
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  • Jan 12, 2021 1:41pm Jan 12, 2021 1:41pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
EURUSD looks to be heading for the stop. Very likely to get stopped out.

We are setting up to watch a great development for our next entry though.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: Screen Shot 2021-01-12 at 12.39.23 PM.png
Size: 74 KB


You can see that we are below the 200 MA and have recently made a nice lower low around 1.2130.

We are currently in a pullback heading back towards the MA.

We will want to watch here for a new lower high to be formed, and once price starts consolidating around here and turning back down, we will look to short again.

You want to picture this playing out before it does, so if/when it does, it's like you are watching everything click into place. This will help give you conviction in your trading decision/assumption of where the price is likely to head next.

If price rolls over from a new lower high in the next 24 hours or so and retraces about 20-40 pips from that lower high, I will be looking to short. Hopefully, some longs loaded up on the pullback and will need to get out once the rollover occurs, that should help us move down.
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
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  • Post #7
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  • Jan 12, 2021 1:48pm Jan 12, 2021 1:48pm
  •  learnings
  • | Joined Oct 2019 | Status: Junior Member | 3 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
My Story I originally started my trading journey in 2011. Since then, I have been using the technical skills I developed during my career as a software engineer to push the boundaries of what it means to quantitatively analyze the market as a retail trader. After nearly a decade of spending thousands of hours writing algorithms studying the market through the lens of risk-taking and probability, I was finally able to come up with a robust and elegant approach to the market that provided consistent results. Using this approach since 2017, I was able...
Ignored
Hello, thank you for your thread. Are you introducing your system here, which you have been using since 2017?
  • Post #8
  • Quote
  • Edited at 3:07pm Jan 12, 2021 1:50pm | Edited at 3:07pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
EURUSD looks to be heading for the stop. Very likely to get stopped out. We are setting up to watch a great development for our next entry though. {image} You can see that we are below the 200 MA and have recently made a nice lower low around 1.2130. We are currently in a pullback heading back towards the MA. We will want to watch here for a new lower high to be formed, and once price starts consolidating around here and turning back down, we will look to short again. You want to picture this playing out before it does, so if/when it does, it's...
Ignored
Also added a GBP_USD long to trade both sides of USD.

Something important to do if/when you trade multiple pairs is make sure you are as neutral as possible across all the pairs. Ideally, your net position on every currency would be 0, although this isn't practical.
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
2
  • Post #9
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  • Jan 12, 2021 1:53pm Jan 12, 2021 1:53pm
  •  peterhenders
  • | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 215 Posts
can I ask the reason why you have just added g/u short?
  • Post #10
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  • Jan 12, 2021 2:04pm Jan 12, 2021 2:04pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting peterhenders
Disliked
can I ask the reason why you have just added g/u short?
Ignored
Technical Reasons:
1. Above 200MA
2. Possible higher low set at 1.3620 area
3. Price has continued from that low by 33 pips or so (in our 20-40 pips range).

Other Reasons:
1. Hedge USD Exposure.
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
1
  • Post #11
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  • Jan 12, 2021 2:13pm Jan 12, 2021 2:13pm
  •  noumannaseer
  • | Joined Oct 2014 | Status: Member | 4 Posts
Seems interesting, Subscribed
  • Post #12
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  • Jan 12, 2021 2:59pm Jan 12, 2021 2:59pm
  •  howard
  • | Joined Sep 2006 | Status: howard | 1,667 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
{quote} Technical Reasons: 1. Above 200MA 2. Possible higher low set at 1.3620 area 3. Price has continued from that low by 33 pips or so (in our 20-40 pips range). Other Reasons: 1. Hedge USD Exposure.
Ignored
Do you mean gu long?
Regards
  • Post #13
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 3:07pm Jan 12, 2021 3:07pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting howard
Disliked
{quote} Do you mean gu long?
Ignored
Ah yes, I mean long! Sorry about that typo, corrected!
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
  • Post #14
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 3:10pm Jan 12, 2021 3:10pm
  •  SirViver
  • Joined Jul 2006 | Status: Almost There | 208 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
{quote} Technical Reasons: 1. Above 200MA 2. Possible higher low set at 1.3620 area 3. Price has continued from that low by 33 pips or so (in our 20-40 pips range). Other Reasons: 1. Hedge USD Exposure.
Ignored
Much appreciate your posting the live trades instead of after the fact, and the reasoning. Thank you for sharing such a simple & sound strategy.
"You got to know when to HOLD... Know when to FOLD um ... Kenny Rodgers
  • Post #15
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 3:42pm Jan 12, 2021 3:42pm
  •  MnrComposite
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 68 Posts
Quoting SirViver
Disliked
{quote} Much appreciate your posting the live trades instead of after the fact, and the reasoning. Thank you for sharing such a simple & sound strategy.
Ignored
My pleasure!

I hope you are able to learn some new ideas and improve your trading!
Viewing the market through f(x)
Minor Composite All Time Return: 18.2%
  • Post #16
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 5:53pm Jan 12, 2021 5:53pm
  •  Brandon65
  • | Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 11 Posts
Hi there, Composite, following with interest! Correct me if I'm wrong, but a couple of trades you've taken seem to be Sells above the 200MA, would that be so?
  • Post #17
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 8:10pm Jan 12, 2021 8:10pm
  •  hibra68
  • Joined Apr 2015 | Status: Member | 1,100 Posts
What about yen pairs. There seems to be a yen pump at the moment. Later there could be a yen dump.
Can you take advantage of this?
  • Post #18
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 8:22pm Jan 12, 2021 8:22pm
  •  scsstnt
  • Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Member | 535 Posts
Hello Mnr,

Its a pleasure having you on FF my friend,thank you.I have been 15+ years in the IT field ,now trading full time.Math,statistics,probability.
Wish this thread all the best,this is what traders needs a system that works.
1
  • Post #19
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 8:41pm Jan 12, 2021 8:41pm
  •  scsstnt
  • Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Member | 535 Posts
Quoting MnrComposite
Disliked
Current Open Trades: {image} Everything is green minus EUR/USD short. That has been consolidating quite a bit. It's still a great short here with a roughly 40% probability of reaching the TP before the SL. You can do the math on the current RR offered by the market to see if that decision makes sense or not.
Ignored
22nd Dec ,there's a dangerous reversal PA pattern,sending EURUSD back where it came from
1
  • Post #20
  • Quote
  • Jan 12, 2021 11:28pm Jan 12, 2021 11:28pm
  •  peterhenders
  • | Joined Jul 2013 | Status: Member | 215 Posts
Quoting scsstnt
Disliked
{quote} 22nd Dec ,there's a dangerous reversal PA pattern,sending EURUSD back where it came from
Ignored
and what pattern is that?
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