Money Flow Trading Method along with Risk Management

Good morning Forex Traders !!!

I have finished my Forex trades for today having earned over $2000.00 US Dollars. There has now been 56 trades done since September 13, 2020 when this FXCM UK $50,000 US Dollars demo account was opened by one of my pupils.

53 of the trades made were profitable with 3 losses. This account has been open for 46 days now 3 days less than 7 weeks.

The NET PROFIT is $20,365.54 US Dollars or 40% return on investment in less than 60 days. My usual average is 20% monthly or 240% annually.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/al...ops+to+zero%29

"All Hell Could Break Loose": Wednesday's "Liquidation Combination Of Doom" Has Taken Place On Only Two Prior Occasions In History
https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...?itok=LY4e264-


by Tyler Durden

Thu, 10/29/2020 - 09:32

Yes, yesterday's furious 3.5% equity selloff - the biggest since June 11 - was painful, but in isolation it should have been manageable for investors using legacy balanced 60/40 (or risk parity) portfolios. However that was not the case because as BofA's Hans Mikkelsen writes overnight, what was truly unique about the Wednesday rout is that as stocks cratered, Treasury yields rose and gold dropped, or as he puts it "everything was on sale", in other words, it was a perfect liquidation.

Such a selloff is so against the core tenets of conventional market flows, that this combination - of stocks, bonds and gold down on the same day - only happened twice in market history – on March 11 and March 18th - during the liquidity crisis where nearly all assets where liquidated as risk-parity funds were hammered.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...ut%20combo.jpg

As BofA notes, while Wednesday moves were to some extent in reaction to a deteriorating Covid-19 situation globally and lockdown-type measures being re-imposed in Europe "that can’t be the only story as the Technology sector, which benefits from stay-at-home, performed the worst." It also can’t be that polls suggesting improving odds for President Trump for next week’s election got investors worried about less fiscal support as Biden longs outperformed in the equity market.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...nce%20bofa.jpg

So according to BofA what happened on Wednesday was that investors already positioned for either outcomes for the various near term risks decided to "dial it down a touch in order to reduce risk" and deleverage, a move that hit "balanced portfolio" investors the hardest.

And in the latest ominous development for risk-parity funds, BofA warned that "at these low yields the Treasury market does not offer attractive hedging properties for a risk-off environment" especially since increased Corona risk would lead to more fiscal stimulus and higher supply of Treasuries.

Which brings us to the risk-parity "matrix of doom", which we have discussed previously and which shows at what drops in both bonds and stocks risk parity portfolios are forced to delever aggressively.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...%20wipeout.jpg

As the chart shows, another -3.5% day coupled with a modestly bigger jump in yields, and coupled with further selling in gold which is increasingly used as the "40" in 60/40 portfolios, and all hell can break loose.

Good morning Forex traders

Today is the first of ten days that will change the world that we live in.

The first major event is on November 3, 2020 and whomever wins it will not prevent the collapse of the American Empire.

The next major event is the start of the reset on November 10, 2020 when the Federal Reserve starts their two day meeting and then announces to the world what it plans to do.

We know that they will create a digital Cryptocurrency that will allow them to continue their Ponzi that started on August 15, 1971 when the American dollar no longer was backed by one ounce of Gold.

Then in 1991 during the Presidency of Bill Clinton the Glass Steagal act of 1933 was effectively cancelled replaced by the Dodd Frank act.

Then we fast forward to the almost collapse of 2007 and 2008 when Lehman Brothers were intentionally forced out of business.

Then the FED started their Quantitative easing until the world financial system was about to collapse last September 2019.

They the FEDERAL Reserve put into legal effort on December 23, 1913 by the House of Representatives and the Senate and authorized by the President of the United States of America.

Gold is a 100% Tier One asset accepted by all the countries and Central Banks of the world.

China and Russia are the largest holders of Gold in the world. The monetary reset will try to avoid Gold as part of the reset since that will take away all the power from the FED.

That is why they will try and eventually fail with the digital reset.

China and Russia will do what needs to be done to ensure that the US Dollar is no longer the Reserve Currency of the World.

Stay tuned for updates here as events unfold between today and December 31, 2020.


Bruce Warren Margolese
438 994 1659

Update: After 49 days or seven weeks of Forex trading since September 13, 2020 with 60 trades done and just 3 losses which is a 95% winning percentage.

The total net profit is $22,697.34 US Dollars.

That is over 44% return on investment or 22% monthly.

That is an annual return of 264%.

I could say that I am the number one Forex trader in the world however I will not.


Smile


Bruce Warren Margolese
President/CEO
Aviel Forex Learning Edge Corporation
438 994 1659

Sure, the "number one Forex Trader" in the world.. Try playing with real money and see if you have the same results.

- RB

Good morning Gentleman and Ladies

I had previously talked about the ten days between November 1 and November 10th as being most important and world changing. My prophecy has come true.

Here we are 6 days after the US election and the world still does not know with any certainty who the next president of the United States will be.

We talk about civil war in the USA with over seventy million voters who believed in Donald John Trump the 45TH President of the United States of America.

The next 21 days will be even more important.

I will have updates here as events unfold.


Bruce Warren Margolese

So we are tomorrow at November 13, 2020 which is 10 days from election day.

Who won ? Not Joe Money Biden since it will be on December 8, 2020 and December 14, 2020 when the 538 Electors are declared.

The Media has zero power to call anything.

The best comedy show on TV is CNN. They are having a real meltdown.
It appears that the election was rigged. This is far from over so be patient and giving everyone reading my views food for thought that when President Donald John Trump keeps his presidency there will be the start of the 2020 civil war.

Even if Joe Biden won President Trump is still President until January 20, 2021.

Everyone's welcome in my new thread "S & D Relevisk.com" where I'll be going over my routine and strategy for whoever wants to check it our. We hope to see you there!

Good morning Forex traders.

Today is November 18, 2020, 15 days after the American election held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020.

We still have no Presidential winner and there for the record is NO President Elect.

The President Elect can only be declared on December 14, 2020 unless there is legal challenges in the US Supreme Court.

There are run off elections for two Senate seats on January 5, 2021. At present time Republicans hold 50 seats and Democrats 48 seats.

The end of the Presidential term for Donald John Trump 45TH President of the United States of America ends on January 20, 2021.

As of today no person in the world can know who will be in Power on January 21, 2021.

https://www.theburningplatform.com/2...n/#more-228852



Via Revolver News
https://www.revolver.news/wp-content...33-scaled.jpeg

If Joe Biden taking the lead in Michigan and Wisconsin was the moment the dynamic of the Presidential race changed, this may be the moment the dynamic changes again.

A thorough and damning new analysis just published calls the legitimacy of this critical period into question and shows just how completely ridiculous and far-fetched the core of Joe Biden’s comeback really was in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. It flags four individual vote dumps critical to Joe Biden’s “victory” in these states and shows, convincingly, that their ratios of Biden votes to Trump votes were profoundly anomalous when compared to other dumps in those states and virtually every other vote dump across the country.

The report is written in dry and academic language, filled with graphs, footnotes, and various hedges, but its implications could not be more obvious. Indeed, if the authors were less tepid, they might have fairly titled it:

Joe Biden’s Victory Was Not Legitimate. And Now We Can Prove it.
Because that’s exactly what the report does. It looks at election data and shows what many would expect: the states and cities that had the most suspicious circumstances on election night and into the next day are precisely where the analysis flags extreme anomalies.


Summary and Background of the Report
It starts out with the background on Michigan and Wisconsin — the famous “vote spikes” that were plainly ridiculous and fundamentally changed both the electoral reality and the narrative. The report reminds us of the infamous vote spikes in Michigan and Wisconsin.
Michigan
https://www.revolver.news/wp-content...e7a08d41c1.png
Wisconsin:
https://www.revolver.news/wp-content...e7a66d2f8f.png
The report is based on an analysis of the difference between successive updates in each state, each of which it calls “vote updates.” In online discourse, these are often referred to as “vote dumps” or “vote batches.”

It examines them across states and, controlling for how big a state is and how Democratic it is, does the following:

1. Defines, mathematically, what a “vote spike” is
2. Shows just how rare those are
3. Shows how, during a five-hour period, four particularly extreme vote spikes arrived favoring Joe Biden
4. Shows how crucial these were to Joe Biden’s election in MI, WI, and GA
5. Most damningly, shows how Joe Biden likely would have lost these states — and the election — were these only more “spiky” than 99% of all vote dumps

The report describes a measurement for showing the relationship between the number of votes Biden wins by (or loses by) in any given vote dump, and how well he did as a ratio of Trump’s votes in that vote dump, while controlling for size and political lean of a state. It thus normalizes the data across states, allowing for apples to apples comparisons. The key mathematical reason why these vote spikes are anomalous is that for every large vote dump heavily favoring Biden in any given area, you also would expect to have smaller vote dumps in the same area which favor him by similar margins. Quoting from the report:
https://images.revcontent.com/revcon...6-21557030.jpg



The believability of these updates relies on the premise that the one or two most Biden-favoring parts of the state (perhaps by ballot type) were counted entirely in these two batches. If it cannot be shown that the ballots counted during these spikes were qualitatively different from all other vote updates in Michigan, then the results are likely too extreme along multiple dimensions to be accepted at face value. [Vote Integrity]

It goes on to describe how the same logic applies for the other updates as well. Large ballot dumps which heavily favor a candidate make sense, if there are also smaller ones which favor the candidate more. The “standardization” process used by the researchers here takes care of that, and shows how points up and to the right of the graph are the more “co-extreme” vote dumps, in the language of the report:
https://www.revolver.news/wp-content...e81d91f829.png

That dotted black line at the top is the 99.5th percentile. In other words, only one out of every two-hundred points are above it. The four vote dumps in question are all at or above the 99.92th percentile. With these ratios, if they were at the 99th percentile only, they would each be dragged down to the middle of the three lines shown. Critically, they account for more than the margin of victory in all three states, and thus forty-two electoral votes, and with them, the Presidency.

Making Sense of This
The analysis is incredibly dense but contains several key points, which American Patriots must remember in the coming days and weeks. The most important points are:

1. Four of the seven most extreme vote dumps decided the election for Joe Biden. This alone is bizarre and fundamentally cuts against his narrative of moderate increases in suburban and exurban areas. Moreover, the distribution is “heavy-tailed” and these vote dumps are vastly more “co-extreme” than even the points around the 99.5th percentile (the dotted black line in the graph above).
2. These four vote dumps were quantifiably far more extreme than virtually every other vote dump, with only a few others as extreme in their aberration from the inverse pattern observed elsewhere.
3. The odds of these three states (GA, WI, MI) being so well-represented at the top of the distribution is just over 1%. And when you factor in that a vote dump in GA is the 9th most extreme point, the odds that these three states have five of the top ten most extreme vote dumps drop to a mere 0.00337%. Clearly, there’s something different about these states than others, including other blue states, or even other Midwestern states where a deep-blue urban population offsets the red rest of the state (e.g. Illinois, Minnesota), or states like Colorado, Texas, or Oregon, where the urban areas are also vastly more Democratic than the rest of the state.
4. These vote spikes all occurred in the same five-hour period. Wisconsin and Michigan both spent around eighteen hours counting votes, and the count took several days in Georgia. We have since learned that the “pipe burst” story in deep-blue Georgia was never in fact true.
5. This five hour period remains a period of great controversy surrounding how the vote counting was “stopped.” Recently, we learned that the story of a “pipe bursting” in Georgia was in fact not true. Combine that with the results shown in this piece, and an obvious picture comes into view: In all three states, the count was “stopped” to give cover for electoral fraud on the scale of hundreds of thousands of votes which were released in the middle of the night, hoping few would notice.

The burden of proof is now on Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, the Democratic party, and their various urban machine operatives to defend these results as legitimate. The on-the-ground circumstances in these states had been suspicious for weeks and warranted investigation in their own right. We now have the math to confirm our suspicions. This report, in winding sentences and hedged language, lays it bare for all of us to see: Joe Biden’s election “victory” relied on a fraudulent counting process in the dead of night.

The media has no interest in covering this, and indeed are trying actively to suppress it. An attempt to Google search for “precincts that stopped the count” makes this clear. The steal of this election, perpetrated in the middle of the night in several states, was allowed to happen only because of the extraordinary assistance given to the Democrats by Big Media and Big Tech. Nonetheless, thanks to what appears to be an anonymous group of researchers, we can definitively state what we knew all along:
President Donald J. Trump is the legitimate winner of this election. Republican state legislators in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia must refuse to seat electors for Joe Biden until a complete forensic audit has been conducted.
Never give up. Never back down. And never concede.

you are nuts, get help

Good afternoon Forex traders

So one of my former students that failed the course that I tried to teach him because of problems with his EGO and his need to be proven right asked me to post a screenshot of my results. I had three open positions that I had left on since I was not trading his demo account anymore.

The account number is D291129079 with FXCM UK.

The account was opened by Abdul on September 13, 2020. I traded the account for him until I determined he was not following my instructions and investing one hour a day to study and post on my thread at least once a day.

The account started with $50,000 US dollars on September 13, 2020. The balance went as high as $75,276.14 US dollars on November 2, 2020 one day before the US elections.

I stopped actively trading the account and left open three positions of short SP500.

A few days ago because of the insanity of the markets by the incredible amount of money printing by the FED the markets kept going up to a new all time high.

My 3 positions were all closed on a incredible drawdown and a margin call that I could have stopped by taking a loss much earlier and the new balance is $14,618.14 US dollars.

Just to make a point for Abdul, I will run this balance back to $75,000 US dollars. I hope he will put as much energy in watching as he did not put into learning how to trade because he decided that he knew more than the teacher. That is why only 5% of all Forex traders can make profits. They lack in discipline and cannot control their fear and their greed and their EGO.

Just to really make the point in a positive way, I shared with him 3 stocks that would make him much real money. So HIVE my best selection went from $.14 cents back during March 2020 to the high a few days ago of over $1.25. Of course Abdul sold too early yet still had a profit according to him. So here his lack of discipline and lack of fundamental knowledge took away more profits all again because of fear of loss or greed or ego. These remarks in no way is a personal attack on Abdul just sharing why few people can make money in any markets. At 76, I have been doing this for over 60 years and my track record is rather extraordinary.

Be safe folks.

All feedback is welcomed.


Bruce

I don't know who this Abdul fella is but he, you, or anyone else should never be diddling around with penny stocks. it's basically Russian roulette and you will get "deer huntered" sooner or later

Good morning Commercial Member

I am a Forex trader with 18 years hands on experience and trading real funds.

I have managed millions of US Dollars and started trading real funds on March 9, 2006 so next March will be 15 years. I average around 20% monthly and over 75% of all my Forex trades are winning ones.

I also teach retail and commercial Forex traders my unique method. I have been trading equities and commodities for 60 years.

I suggested HIVE during March 2020 and it is a Bitcoin and Etherum miner. Yesterday the stock HIVE closed at $1.30.

This post is NOT a Recommendation to buy anything. Have a very positive and profitable day.


Bruce

congrats on the forex record, i just felt the need to make the point that penny stocks or "penny" stocks, aka anything less then $5 per share, should not be part of any responsible trader's portfolio ever.

Thanks - I do agree with you on the penny stock angle. These three stocks are exceptions to the general rule.

What is your impressions on the volatility in the Forex markets ? Do you find charts useful as to support and resistance ? Do you trade using Risk On or Risk Off ?

Have a positive Forex trading week.


Bruce

There always are exceptions to the rule and as long as long as a person truly knows what they're doing then they can be of some use.

The volatility in forex is what works for me. I use supply and demand and stick to pairs that generally have spreads less then 6 pips. The liquidity in those pairs is such that gaps generally don't happen despite the volatility (except over weekends but I close all day trades before the end of the week) so the stop market orders are basically guaranteed to fill at the given price within half a pip or so.

I don't like to pay much attention to anything but price action since the news, stats, or whatever else fundamental traders use, don't seem to predict price movement any better then the chart itself. And to me it makes more sense anyway since you can see trend direction coupled with areas where price has consolidated in the past, hinting that there's heavy institutional trading at that price level. Plus if you consider how long it takes to go through the fundamentals of a given vehicle vs how long it takes to look at a few charts, it's just more efficient to go with technical analysis.

The main issue I have with penny stocks is that so many of them are used by pump-and-dumpers. So when noobs are getting into the market and head for penny stocks because they're cheap, they don't realize what they're getting themselves into. The risk of a penny stock going to $0 is relatively high even when pump-and-dumpers are excluded, so hopefully if any noobs are reading this they'll think twice.

But what do I know, honestly I just like the sound of my keyboard clicking. clickity clickity clickity....(oh yeah that's the stuff)..... clickity clickity