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The Swamp

  • #78,601
  • Nov 20, 2020 2:44pm Nov 20, 2020 2:44pm
Quoting Boulder
Cot Report for Nov 17, institutions added both longs and shorts in Euro, net short increased by 1327 contacts {image}
For GBP, they cut longs and added shorts this week, net short increased by 2051 contracts
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  • #78,602
  • Edited 3:03pm Nov 20, 2020 2:52pm | Edited 3:03pm
I posted cot info from forexlive,, his numbers are different from mine.. I don't know where his numbers are from... anyway.... you have them too..
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  • #78,603
  • Nov 20, 2020 3:10pm Nov 20, 2020 3:10pm
good to read for next week...have a good weekend...

Will Eurozone PMIs Set Top for EURO?
http://www.bkassetmanagement.com/fea...for-euro_14997
  • #78,604
  • Nov 20, 2020 4:01pm Nov 20, 2020 4:01pm
Quoting Boulder
I posted cot info from forexlive,, his numbers are different from mine.. I don't know where his numbers are from... anyway.... you have them too.. {image}
It's the difference between long and short contracts for EUR : 203551-69591=133960=134k
I am who I am
  • #78,605
  • Nov 20, 2020 5:06pm Nov 20, 2020 5:06pm
Quoting gatorinla
For all the morons promoting Sweden's response, and herd immunity. Sweden is locking down. After it's admitted failure using head immunity. u.s. with a outcome is a 3% death rate. {image}
Don Trump Jr. has corona, Rudy's son too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,606
  • Nov 20, 2020 5:35pm Nov 20, 2020 5:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
eu close below 1849 gu below 3260 usdx above 92.46 on a day close today, I think will bring a test of eu 1777 support. Maybe more. Its stuck in some range w/o a b/o close. {image}
close on the usd bear side. The closes were close, possible gap to these. Usd week close is bearside. The day usd closed on the bullside. Although the week closed bearside, the month, and day are on the bullside. All week pa remained on the month's bullside. It has remained above since September's close. Pa has not been able to push below since. That may change, it may not. I was hoping to get the week to agree. A +92.46 gap could do that.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,607
  • Nov 20, 2020 7:21pm Nov 20, 2020 7:21pm
Quoting imwim
{quote} It's the difference between long and short contracts for EUR : 203551-69591=133960=134k
That is why I think Forexlive statement didn't make sense. , he mentioned Eur longs increased by 1K, actually Eur longs were decreased by 1k

11/10 COT: Eur longs 202374-shorts 67087=135,287 net position (net longs)
11/17 COT: Eur longs 203551-shorts 69591=133,966 net position ( net longs)
One week change: 133966-135287=(1321)

longs decreased by 1321 not increased by 1321

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  • #78,608
  • Nov 20, 2020 7:33pm Nov 20, 2020 7:33pm
just saw another version COT interpretation from efx the same as what I did...so forexlive commentary seems not correct....
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  • #78,609
  • Nov 21, 2020 3:18pm Nov 21, 2020 3:18pm
Quoting Boulder
just saw another version COT interpretation from efx the same as what I did...so forexlive commentary seems not correct.... {image}
you may like this autistic, blind, singer.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,610
  • Edited 4:53pm Nov 21, 2020 4:19pm | Edited 4:53pm
Hospitals if not already swamped. Most will be before year ends. A 2k per day death rate today. Sunday and Monday usually drops. Tuesday's are usually much higher.
The infection rate is 10.5% higher, than 7 days before. That's over a 1 million increase in less than 1 week. Many more are undiagnosed. Full hospitals will mean. The people needing critical care, will be turned away to die (triage) . The people turned away may be for other ailments like, heart attack, stroke, cancer, car accidents, etc. Even small children may not be able to get critical emergency medical care. Stay safe, 80,000 people are in u.s. hospitals for covid. Most of the limited amount of healthcare workers are already overworked and busy. With a finite amount of healthcare workers already stretched. We are screwed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,611
  • Nov 22, 2020 2:48am Nov 22, 2020 2:48am
Why our dreams could be the key to time travel...
https://www.bbc.com/reel/video/p08yx...to-time-travel
I am who I am
  • #78,612
  • Nov 22, 2020 4:02pm Nov 22, 2020 4:02pm
Quoting Boulder
Cot Report for Nov 17, institutions added both longs and shorts in Euro, net short increased by 1327 contacts {image}
sorry for stupid question, but how do you use this data?
  • #78,613
  • Nov 22, 2020 4:10pm Nov 22, 2020 4:10pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} For GBP, they cut longs and added shorts this week, net short increased by 2051 contracts {image}
but what does it mean? can you share your experiance?
  • #78,614
  • Edited 8:38pm Nov 22, 2020 7:16pm | Edited 8:38pm
Quoting Boulder
just saw another version COT interpretation from efx the same as what I did...so forexlive commentary seems not correct.... {image}
JPY is crediting more countries in a ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) region.. I saw some interesting articles last week the markets are responding to it in a positive way..

https://www.aseantoday.com/2020/11/r...us-china-spat/

Loan to India Bilateral
https://iasbaba.com/2020/11/india-ja...rstv-ias-upsc/
JPY .. Preping for JPY 50Billion in loans. Demand for JPY rising again.. Phase 2 to begin shortly..

I am awaiting the largest oil wealth transfer.. H.R.8751 - the selloff of oil company assets will begin..

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  • #78,615
  • Nov 22, 2020 7:51pm Nov 22, 2020 7:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} close on the usd bear side. The closes were close, possible gap to these. Usd week close is bearside. The day usd closed on the bullside. Although the week closed bearside, the month, and day are on the bullside. All week pa remained on the month's bullside. It has remained above since September's close. Pa has not been able to push below since. That may change, it may not. I was hoping to get the week to agree. A +92.46 gap could do that.
open was still usd bear side. Eu R still 1880, but also a wick to 1893/4 is normal. Beyond that since the usd closed bullish big R at 1908/09, but it may reach 1920, and 1935. both smaller R. The big ones 1880, 1908, 1935, 1965.

Gu big one at 133.80, 133.95 133.82 (multi year untested tl 133.8x/9x). Possible gu top near 134 ish.. Minor maybe (TL) 133.28/30ish. 133.64 pops up too. Close R 133.40/54.

A close back below 13310 may act as some r.

Like I said the usdx did close/open bearish. Both the week and day are bearish to me. I have monthly supports 91.91 ish. Other month supports 91.97, 91.72, 92.14. Minor 92.10, 92.15, 92.18.

The usd looks set up to drop. I'm not sure it can. Maybe another bounce first.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,616
  • Nov 22, 2020 7:53pm Nov 22, 2020 7:53pm
fyi.. info for now ..we will see later there is updated info..
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  • #78,617
  • Nov 22, 2020 8:00pm Nov 22, 2020 8:00pm
Quoting Boulder
fyi.. info for now ..we will see later there is updated info.. {image}
Good night.. may get up early to trade German PMI..
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  • #78,618
  • Nov 22, 2020 8:07pm Nov 22, 2020 8:07pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} open was still usd bear side. Eu R still 1880, but also a wick to 1893/4 is normal. Beyond that since the usd closed bullish big R at 1908/09, but it may reach 1920, and 1935. both smaller R. The big ones 1880, 1908, 1935, 1965. Gu big one at 133.80, 133.95 133.82 (multi year untested tl 133.8x/9x). Possible gu top near 134 ish.. Minor maybe (TL) 133.28/30ish. 133.64 pops up too. Close R 133.40/54. A close back below 13310 may act as some r. Like I said the usdx did close/open bearish. Both the week and day are bearish to me. I have monthly...
Gu larger tl about 133.82
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,619
  • Nov 22, 2020 8:10pm Nov 22, 2020 8:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Gu larger tl about 133.82 {image}
other lower R for the raging gu bull.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #78,620
  • Nov 22, 2020 8:12pm Nov 22, 2020 8:12pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Good night.. may get up early to trade German PMI.. {image}
See u in 5 sec.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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