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Bank positions for free & weekly forecast from major banks

  • #41
  • Oct 20, 2020 10:27pm Oct 20, 2020 10:27pm
Quoting DoctorMerlin
{quote} Good luck, I'm very tempted to buy AUD/USD as well, but I'm concerned about the stimulus deal. Correct me if I am wrong, a deal means weaker USD right?
Yes it is bad for the dollar because the total amount of dollars increases without an increase in economic output (inflationary effect).
And yes it also increases the risk appetite, but that is a symptom, not the cause.
  • #42
  • Oct 21, 2020 3:04am Oct 21, 2020 3:04am
OUT
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Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #43
  • Oct 21, 2020 3:17am Oct 21, 2020 3:17am
Quoting DoctorMerlin
{quote} Hello, thanks for your reply. Do you mind sharing your thoughts on AUD/JPY? Also, at this current hours, liquidity is thin-only us Aussies are up and spreads are wider. How do you suggest one would trade, if at all? Thank you.
Hi mate, normally i trade only gbp/eur/usd. at that time i sleep since i live in europe
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #44
  • Oct 21, 2020 3:41am Oct 21, 2020 3:41am
Hello Bacco,
Thanks for the thread, interesting to see the P/L ratio after a number of trades taken. Subscribed and following.
  • #45
  • Oct 21, 2020 4:22am Oct 21, 2020 4:22am
Hi Bacco, seems like you have a following because of your honesty of including losses. Many people only show their wins and hide their losses. Perhaps it would be great if you could consolidate and show us all your open positions in one post/your last post?

Just a thought. Cheers and good speed.
I will tear the world apart for you.
  • #46
  • Oct 21, 2020 5:06am Oct 21, 2020 5:06am
Quoting Barnell
Hi Bacco, seems like you have a following because of your honesty of including losses. Many people only show their wins and hide their losses. Perhaps it would be great if you could consolidate and show us all your open positions in one post/your last post? Just a thought. Cheers and good speed.
Hi, i ve opened the thread to share the bank movements,forecast and their position, not mine

I dont want anyone following my personal position, as principally im a scalper, sometime i open position for day trade or long term, but not a lot.

You should you use the thread to understand the general direction of market participants.
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #47
  • Oct 21, 2020 9:28am Oct 21, 2020 9:28am
moving stop
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  • #48
  • Oct 21, 2020 10:17am Oct 21, 2020 10:17am
Quoting Bacco
{quote} Hi, i ve opened the thread to share the bank movements,forecast and their position, not mine I dont want anyone following my personal position, as principally im a scalper, sometime i open position for day trade or long term, but not a lot. You should you use the thread to understand the general direction of market participants.
I see, thank you. May I ask which bank are these orders from? Are you able to share? I notice that the pictures do not reveal from which banks these orders arise from.

Thank you for sharing such valuable information with us. You're a godsend.
I will tear the world apart for you.
  • #49
  • Oct 21, 2020 6:41pm Oct 21, 2020 6:41pm
EURUSD short term technicals: Neutral/bullish the EUR is trading at a one month high as it extends its gains since late Sep and now marks a rather convincing uptrend. The shared currency climb for the session stalled at 1.1870 or around the 61.8% Fib retracement of its Sep drop at 1.1859 that may act as a clear mark to breach to signal a continued appreciation. More generally, the mid 1.18 may act as a consolidation area for the EUR with no other obvious resistance markers ahead of 1.19. Support is 1.1820/30 followed by the big figure, 38.2% Fib at 1.1765 follows.
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  • #50
  • Oct 21, 2020 11:17pm Oct 21, 2020 11:17pm
Quoting Barnell
{quote} I see, thank you. May I ask which bank are these orders from? Are you able to share? I notice that the pictures do not reveal from which banks these orders arise from. Thank you for sharing such valuable information with us. You're a godsend.
Barnell... if you could kindly take a few mins to read the first post of the thread, He has mentioned it all in detail.

  • #51
  • Oct 21, 2020 11:43pm Oct 21, 2020 11:43pm
Quoting vinforex7
{quote} Barnell... if you could kindly take a few mins to read the first post of the thread, He has mentioned it all in detail.
Am not sure of the website he speaks of...I'm an old man and not as...IT-savvy. Please, pardon me.
I will tear the world apart for you.
  • #52
  • Oct 21, 2020 11:54pm Oct 21, 2020 11:54pm
Quoting Barnell
{quote} Am not sure of the website he speaks of...I'm an old man and not as...IT-savvy. Please, pardon me.
Barnell... Im not sure, if you are young or old.. but you certainly are a good man!!! Im sorry, if I sounded offensive in my last post. The OP has not revealed the site name... but if you are keen, you could search for eFX plus. Mr. Bacco.. please comment, ONLY if Im wrong on this.

Thanks and have a great day!!!
  • #53
  • Oct 22, 2020 12:07am Oct 22, 2020 12:07am
Quoting vinforex7
{quote} Barnell... Im not sure, if you are young or old.. but you certainly are a good man!!! Im sorry, if I sounded offensive in my last post. The OP has not revealed the site name... but if you are keen, you could search for eFX plus. Mr. Bacco.. please comment, ONLY if Im wrong on this. Thanks and have a great day!!!
No worries...all is good...thanks for the tip....let me do a search for it after lunch...old man needs to eat! Hope you are having a good day and green pips all around!

But on the topic...what makes a good man? A poor man can be a better man that a rich man. A good man is one with a good heart...but often, we don't act with thoughts from our hearts! Sigh...
I will tear the world apart for you.
  • #54
  • Oct 22, 2020 12:21am Oct 22, 2020 12:21am
Quoting Barnell
{quote} No worries...all is good...thanks for the tip....let me do a search for it after lunch...old man needs to eat! Hope you are having a good day and green pips all around! But on the topic...what makes a good man? A poor man can be a better man that a rich man. A good man is one with a good heart...but often, we don't act with thoughts from our hearts! Sigh...
It was just meant to put a smile on your face...

Have a great day!!!
Cheers!!!
  • #55
  • Oct 22, 2020 1:56am Oct 22, 2020 1:56am
Quoting Bicarus
you do know that efxplus / refinitive's data is not from bank's prop division but clients that execute via them eh.
You better pay attention to what he says. In the first scenario (prop traders) you talk about trading professionals. In the second scenario (clients) you talk about a hodgepodge of different parties of which their (not) professionalism is anybody's guess. So what meaning do these numbers have then?

Good thread you started - nice you share your losses too (unlike most) and are trying to help others with sharing info!
  • #56
  • Edited 3:12am Oct 22, 2020 2:34am | Edited 3:12am
Quoting fxke62
{quote} You better pay attention to what he says. In the first scenario (prop traders) you talk about trading professionals. In the second scenario (clients) you talk about a hodgepodge of different parties of which their (not) professionalism is anybody's guess. So what meaning do these numbers have then? Good thread you started - nice you share your losses too (unlike most) and are trying to help others with sharing info!
clients of banks does not mean non professionals. does not also mean that all are looking to turn a profit. many are for transecting for business purposes or to hedge their business exposures.

if you were to refer to refinitive's data, a classic case of TS's point #6

DBS Singapore bought 25m AUDUSD this morning @ 8am SGT
Nomura Singapore sold 10m AUDUSD this afternoon @ 2PM SGT

do you think the 2 banks are speculating on fx and that is their conviction?
answer is no,i can say for a fact(because i executed it) is that the orders were executed on behalf of Fonterra Singapore to hedge their pricings against this month's dairy deliverable and receivables.
  • #57
  • Oct 22, 2020 3:38am Oct 22, 2020 3:38am
@Bicarus: "clients of banks does not mean non professionals." - I agree. But a Treasurer of a large corporation is a professional, but (as you say) might have totally different interests. So what predicting value does that "hodgepodge of interests" number have then?
Forex brokers that bank somewhere are also in there. Also professionals but having another business interest: needing to make markets, taking opposite positions to their (mostly retail) clients. So their actions are steered (inversely) by retail traders (non professionals).
The wealthy retail trader from UBS or Julius Bar that trades for fun by himself: also trades to make a profit, but not a professional.
Same question, what predicting value does that "hodgepodge of different interests" number have then?
In my view, as a total number very little. If you know details, e.g a whale appearing in a market where it has no business interests, THAT might have value
(e.g. in the stock market).
  • #58
  • Oct 22, 2020 4:54am Oct 22, 2020 4:54am
GBPUSD short-term technicals: Neutral/bullish—The GBP is making a clear push above its 50-day MA of 1.3013 (may act as support) while still standing slightly short of its mid Oct high of 1.3083 that will block a push above 1.31 (50% retracement of Sep decline is at 1.3079). The path toward the 1.32 level beyond that does not offer many resistance points either—even past 1.32 only 1.3250/65 look like a possible ceiling for the GBP ahead of 1.34. While today’s jump augurs positively for the GBP, it still does not obviously signal that the pound will break out of the ~1.2850-1.3080 range it’s been caught in since early-Oct. Support is 1.3025 followed by 1.2985 (38.2% Fib).
  • #59
  • Oct 22, 2020 6:11am Oct 22, 2020 6:11am
Quoting Techanalyst
GBPUSD short-term technicals: Neutral/bullish—The GBP is making a clear push above its 50-day MA of 1.3013 (may act as support) while still standing slightly short of its mid Oct high of 1.3083 that will block a push above 1.31 (50% retracement of Sep decline is at 1.3079). The path toward the 1.32 level beyond that does not offer many resistance points either—even past 1.32 only 1.3250/65 look like a possible ceiling for the GBP ahead of 1.34. While today’s jump augurs positively for the GBP, it still does not obviously signal that the pound will...
Hi technanalyst, thanks for the view, but as specified in the thread info, i would like to keep it only for fundamentals and forex insight from major bank. Sometime i will share some position but i would like to keep it as clean as possible.

As i said, i appreciate your post but i would prefer to see something that comes out the banks

Thank you very much
Twitter: Rummer_grapes
  • #60
  • Oct 22, 2020 6:12am Oct 22, 2020 6:12am
Update
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