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The Swamp

  • #75,201
  • Sep 25, 2020 10:01am Sep 25, 2020 10:01am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} booked more shorts... next TP 1614 and 1608..... 70 adr atm.... will keep shorting till it reaches 1570..then 1450 next... {image}
booked early at 1616 instead +18
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  • #75,202
  • Sep 25, 2020 10:13am Sep 25, 2020 10:13am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} booked more shorts... next TP 1614 and 1608..... 70 adr atm.... will keep shorting till it reaches 1570..then 1450 next... {image}
booked some too now.. its near 1611. next 4h 1595/98
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #75,203
  • Sep 25, 2020 10:27am Sep 25, 2020 10:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} booked some too now.. its near 1611. next 4h 1595/98 {image}
guess I book more shorts here 1620.. +35 ..
leave most position for Tp 1570 next week...
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  • #75,204
  • Sep 25, 2020 10:41am Sep 25, 2020 10:41am
usdx reached adr.. plus some 4h r.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #75,205
  • Sep 25, 2020 10:55am Sep 25, 2020 10:55am
Quoting gatorinla
usdx reached adr.. plus some 4h r. {image}
Do you think EU, GU might close up a bit from here to balance the end of week?
  • #75,206
  • Sep 25, 2020 11:19am Sep 25, 2020 11:19am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} Do you think EU, GU might close up a bit from here to balance the end of week?
I dont see anything bullish. The support is 4h support 1995/98. 1611.9 was just an old 30 min support. I dont know. I will sell bounces. I posted a chart with places that may act as R.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #75,207
  • Sep 25, 2020 11:31am Sep 25, 2020 11:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I dont see anything bullish. The support is 4h support. I dont know. I will sell bounces. I posted a chart with places that may act as R.
Yeah I'm just thinking it's all been one way for a few days, wondering if MM will let it all close week on dead bottom lows. I'm just scalping the 15-20 pip bumps on GU now, just closed my last trades, don't plan to hold over the week end
  • #75,208
  • Sep 25, 2020 11:38am Sep 25, 2020 11:38am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} Do you think EU, GU might close up a bit from here to balance the end of week?
I dont see a reason to bounce, but that never stopped it. I have some 4h R on the chart. It has to break 1595 or rise. 1636 or 72 are in the line of progression. 1659 is not really a R. Just yesterday's close. It needs to be beat to drop too at some point. ATM its beat. If it bounces, it may not be.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #75,209
  • Sep 25, 2020 11:48am Sep 25, 2020 11:48am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} Yeah I'm just thinking it's all been one way for a few days, wondering if MM will let it all close week on dead bottom lows. I'm just scalping the 15-20 pip bumps on GU now, just closed my last trades, don't plan to hold over the week end
15 min was engulfed an h ago. Next meaningful R 1636/4x. lighter R on the chart. 4h closes in min
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #75,210
  • Sep 25, 2020 11:51am Sep 25, 2020 11:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 min was engulfed an h ago. Next meaningful R 1636/4x. lighter R on the chart. 4h closes in min {image}

Cheers
  • #75,211
  • Edited 3:16pm Sep 25, 2020 2:43pm | Edited 3:16pm
just saw COT report for 9/22.. I don't like what I see .. institutions added more Eur longs,,,..
I am banking more shorts here for now,,,,
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  • #75,212
  • Sep 25, 2020 2:49pm Sep 25, 2020 2:49pm
Institutions cut more dollar longs...
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  • #75,213
  • Sep 25, 2020 3:03pm Sep 25, 2020 3:03pm
fyi
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  • #75,214
  • Sep 25, 2020 3:12pm Sep 25, 2020 3:12pm
Quoting Boulder
just saw COT report for 9/22.. I don't like what I see .. institutions added more Eur longs,,,.. I am booking more shorts gain here for now,,,, {image}
booked Eu shorts for now...will short higher..
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  • #75,215
  • Sep 25, 2020 3:32pm Sep 25, 2020 3:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 min was engulfed an h ago. Next meaningful R 1636/4x. lighter R on the chart. 4h closes in min {image}
I was wrong on that comment before about dollar impact by who wins election before

Dollar's recent direction points to Biden win

https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/...tion-biden-win

''A weaker dollar in the three months ahead of the election typically favors the incumbent party while a stronger dollar has been good news for the challenging party, though the direction of the greenback has no real impact on who wins. Still, the index has correctly predicted seven of the last eight election winners when using that measure, according to Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial.
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  • #75,216
  • Sep 25, 2020 3:39pm Sep 25, 2020 3:39pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} booked Eu shorts for now...will short higher.. {image}
I closed mine hours ago. What I see is, a b/o weekly close. And a daily b/o close. Next week support 1176, next day support 1383.
The next day R 1663.

Maybe it will bounce some. Cot was closed Tuesday. Since the close (1707) on Tuesday. It dropped 95 pips. Those institutions may have made a bad bet. Thinking 1714, and 1795 would hold. The month will close Wednesday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #75,217
  • Sep 25, 2020 3:51pm Sep 25, 2020 3:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed mine hours ago. What I see is, a b/o weekly close. And a daily b/o close. Next week support 1176, next day support 1383. The next day R 1663. Maybe it will bounce some. Cot was closed Tuesday. Since the close (1707) on Tuesday. It dropped 95 pips. Those institutions may have made a bad bet. Thinking 1714, and 1795 would hold. The month will close Wednesday.
Datapoints atm.. if M30 reverses the trend .. I will slow down on shorts till later.....
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  • #75,218
  • Sep 26, 2020 1:40am Sep 26, 2020 1:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Yeah, "good things" for any moron in the cult to see. These "good things" must be some kind of secret. Things only a lower IQ person can see. When someone is coned, they are so embarrassed. They cant admit others or even themselves. They were coned. Even Bernie Madoff still had supporters. At least till the statements couldn't be turned to cash. Some even had to give some money back. Wake up, the con is on you.
you sleep..wake up..
  • #75,219
  • Edited 9:58pm Sep 26, 2020 2:41am | Edited 9:58pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I closed mine hours ago. What I see is, a b/o weekly close. And a daily b/o close. Next week support 1176, next day support 1383. The next day R 1663. Maybe it will bounce some. Cot was closed Tuesday. Since the close (1707) on Tuesday. It dropped 95 pips. Those institutions may have made a bad bet. Thinking 1714, and 1795 would hold. The month will close Wednesday.

Also Day, Week and Month (so far) all engulfing Bear Candles.

And a break this week below neckline on Daily TF Head and Shoulder pattern. I have the neckline at 1.1734 or 1.1696, dependent on drawn across bottom of candle bodies or wicks.

1.1734 gives appx. target of 1.1559, 1.1696 appx. targets 1.1483
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  • #75,220
  • Sep 26, 2020 5:23am Sep 26, 2020 5:23am
Quoting Boulder
just saw COT report for 9/22.. I don't like what I see .. institutions added more Eur longs,,,.. I am banking more shorts here for now,,,, {image}
Nice info. Thank you. I think the 200MA on the daily is the target of this fall. But I am still expecting fireworks to the upside and the COT into confirms it.
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