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The Swamp

  • #74,901
  • Sep 18, 2020 10:02am Sep 18, 2020 10:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} change 4h to 1865.7
A slight miss on the 4h b/o close (-1865.7).. still bullish, but may retrace some to 1837/44. it will remain bullish unless the 4h close below 1844.. And even then, its still above 1837. With 4hs to go. All looks like the dips should be bought. With the exception of a close below 1795.. A close below 1837 is a weak bull, just like this 4h close was.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,902
  • Sep 18, 2020 10:23am Sep 18, 2020 10:23am
I use closes.. I got another method I'm testing. On the weekly, it signals a little earlier. It shows the difference between or bull/bear at 1852 at week close. I'm testing it live with you. I dont know if the open next week should be included
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,903
  • Sep 18, 2020 12:27pm Sep 18, 2020 12:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
I use closes.. I got another method I'm testing. On the weekly, it signals a little earlier. It shows the difference between or bull/bear at 1852 at week close. I'm testing it live with you. I dont know if the open next week should be included
the 1h went to bear using this method. boulder's 1h is still bullish at 1835. this one is always earlier. Its close to close time on the week.. the fat lady has not sung yet.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,904
  • Sep 18, 2020 12:30pm Sep 18, 2020 12:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A slight miss on the 4h b/o close (-1865.7).. still bullish, but may retrace some to 1837/44. it will remain bullish unless the 4h close below 1844.. And even then, its still above 1837. With 4hs to go. All looks like the dips should be bought. With the exception of a close below 1795.. A close below 1837 is a weak bull, just like this 4h close was.
test
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,905
  • Sep 19, 2020 10:04am Sep 19, 2020 10:04am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} IcMarkets has no spread..by the way.. when you see 1. in my picture its 10 pips...1.8 is 18 pips.. not 1 pip as you think...
oh okay. Good luck
  • #74,906
  • Sep 19, 2020 2:18pm Sep 19, 2020 2:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
I use closes.. I got another method I'm testing. On the weekly, it signals a little earlier. It shows the difference between or bull/bear at 1852 at week close. I'm testing it live with you. I dont know if the open next week should be included
live could be considered a matter of an endless testing!! testing for ever
  • #74,907
  • Sep 20, 2020 9:35am Sep 20, 2020 9:35am
Quoting gatorinla
I use closes.. I got another method I'm testing. On the weekly, it signals a little earlier. It shows the difference between or bull/bear at 1852 at week close. I'm testing it live with you. I dont know if the open next week should be included
Below 1852 close in a still bullish in (close trend). Maybe it will gap open below 1837. My broker has the close at 1838. With the last 4 seconds missing. I cant see it opening below 1795.

Using the same earlier method. The usdx closed the week above 93.1659 (bull side)
The eu did close below 1852, bear side.

This possible earlier method has the usd moving higher, and eu moving lower. My closes are not there yet. Lets see if this other method gives a better signal.
This other method against other pair results:
gbp/usd bear side
chf/usd bull side.

commodity pairs:
Aud/usd bull side.
NDZ/usd bull side.
usd/cad bear side.

The commodity currencies are showing strength verse usd.
So if this information is proven to be true. The eur/aud may be a good short trade. I need to filter through, to find the stronger commodity currency. Then filter the weakest of the gbp,eur, chf. That may show the best pair to trade.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,908
  • Sep 20, 2020 1:08pm Sep 20, 2020 1:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Below 1852 close in a still bullish in (close trend). Maybe it will gap open below 1837. My broker has the close at 1838. With the last 4 seconds missing. I cant see it opening below 1795. Using the same earlier method. The usdx closed the week above 93.1659 (bull side) The eu did close below 1852, bear side. This possible earlier method has the usd moving higher, and eu moving lower. My closes are not there yet. Lets see if this other method gives a better signal. This other method against other pair results: gbp/usd bear side chf/usd bull...
The gbp wins the weakest award. The nzd the strongest. The aud would be next (second commodity strongest) in strength followed by the cad. Then usd, euro, chf, gbp. So then I compared gbp to the yen.
The yen looks weaker than the gbp.

The kiwi closed stronger on the yen. But testing the weaker threshold at close. While the aud/jpy (second commodity strongest) closed on the bear side. Using above week closes. Makes the kiwi the strongest, followed by the yen, aud, cad and so forth.
The gbp short against any of these may be the way to go.

gbp/jpy looks like it may drop 50 pips after open. Near day R 135.22. Atm sits at 135.04. near week support at 134.48ish.. This one may be one to hold some. Possible drop to 127 handle.. Yellow week possible supports are on the chart.

kwi gbp may be hard to find on some brokers. It may be the better to trade. I will stick with the dragon. my chart of the week for 50 pips.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,909
  • Sep 20, 2020 2:33pm Sep 20, 2020 2:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The gbp wins the weakest award. The nzd the strongest. The aud would be next (second commodity strongest) in strength followed by the cad. Then usd, euro, chf, gbp. So then I compared gbp to the yen. The yen looks weaker than the gbp. The kiwi closed stronger on the yen. But testing the weaker threshold at close. While the aud/jpy (second commodity strongest) closed on the bear side. Using above week closes. Makes the kiwi the strongest, followed by the yen, aud, cad and so forth. The gbp short against any of these may...
the open placed the nzd/jpy under the week number. That would switch yen to #1 in the strength setup. Over the kiwi.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,910
  • Sep 20, 2020 9:18pm Sep 20, 2020 9:18pm
Pending SHORT
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A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #74,911
  • Sep 20, 2020 10:26pm Sep 20, 2020 10:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
I use closes.. I got another method I'm testing. On the weekly, it signals a little earlier. It shows the difference between or bull/bear at 1852 at week close. I'm testing it live with you. I dont know if the open next week should be included
testing this 1852 week signal. The last 4h close is not on the same page. It was bullish. Inside, but inside bullish. Like I said, I use closes. This method is at odds with the closes I use. I wont know if its correct till the next close Friday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,912
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:04am Sep 21, 2020 1:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The gbp wins the weakest award. The nzd the strongest. The aud would be next (second commodity strongest) in strength followed by the cad. Then usd, euro, chf, gbp. So then I compared gbp to the yen. The yen looks weaker than the gbp. The kiwi closed stronger on the yen. But testing the weaker threshold at close. While the aud/jpy (second commodity strongest) closed on the bear side. {image}
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}Using above week closes. Makes the kiwi the strongest, followed by the yen, aud, cad and so forth. The gbp short against any of these may be the way to go. gbp/jpy looks like it may drop 50 pips after open. Near day R 135.22. Atm sits at 135.04. near week support at 134.48ish.. This one may be one to hold some. Possible drop to 127 handle.. Yellow week possible supports are on the chart. kwi gbp may be hard to find on some brokers. It may be the better to trade. I will stick with the dragon. my chart of the week for 50 pips. {image}...
[/color]
first target reached. next big support. 133.09
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,913
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:10am Sep 21, 2020 1:10am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} testing this 1852 week signal. The last 4h close is not on the same page. It was bullish. Inside, but inside bullish. Like I said, I use closes. This method is at odds with the closes I use. I wont know if its correct till the next close Friday.
it appears the week cares little for 4h closes. pa is now below 1837. 1795 would be next.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,914
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:16am Sep 21, 2020 1:16am
gbp/jpy moved 140 pips today already. GBP/usd about 109
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,915
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:27am Sep 21, 2020 1:27am
Eu datapoint atm... may on its way to day stop 1769... with this fresh bearish trend...
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  • #74,916
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:32am Sep 21, 2020 1:32am
Quoting Boulder
Eu datapoint atm... may on its way to day stop 1769... with this fresh bearish trend... {image}
Once it closes below FOMC I will be on the long short train..
Since the range is so big I am expecting 18575 before we leave the station
  • #74,917
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:35am Sep 21, 2020 1:35am
175 pips today
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,918
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:38am Sep 21, 2020 1:38am
Quoting gatorinla
175 pips today {image}
https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54229845

11am BST important likely another lockdown to be announced.
  • #74,919
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:41am Sep 21, 2020 1:41am
Quoting gatorinla
I use closes.. I got another method I'm testing. On the weekly, it signals a little earlier. It shows the difference between or bull/bear at 1852 at week close. I'm testing it live with you. I dont know if the open next week should be included
The last time the testing method swapped to bullish was 1.0897. It may do a like move in the bearish direction. Don't spit in the wind.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,920
  • Sep 21, 2020 1:46am Sep 21, 2020 1:46am
Quoting BearingBull
{quote} https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-54229845 11am BST important likely another lockdown to be announced.
it was in the charts for a while.. big charts take a while sometimes. summer ended..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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