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The Swamp

  • #74,841
  • Sep 17, 2020 10:32am Sep 17, 2020 10:32am
Quoting Boulder
for six hours,,Eur sit in a tight range...I am ready for it to break out one way or another...longed 1805 TP 1826,, or shorted 1794 TP 1784.... will add
I flat both here 1823.. gain some due to 2 times long...

not happy that I missed my TP ..shorted here 1825...
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  • #74,842
  • Sep 17, 2020 10:36am Sep 17, 2020 10:36am
bulls coming close to H1 downtrend stop 1831.. lets see bears can hold...
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  • #74,843
  • Sep 17, 2020 10:40am Sep 17, 2020 10:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its testing now hard..
possible bear wedge may drop it soon. R on the chart.. 1837 is still big number.. LC was lower.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,844
  • Sep 17, 2020 10:49am Sep 17, 2020 10:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} possible bear wedge may drop it soon. R on the chart.. 1837 is still big number.. LC was lower. {image}
good to know... I held more shorts in Ic atm...
I just shorted pound too at 129.52 ....
  • #74,845
  • Sep 17, 2020 4:04pm Sep 17, 2020 4:04pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} good to know... I held more shorts in Ic atm... I just shorted pound too at 129.52 ....
It went up higher then fomc.. I dont like that for shorts. An unusual 27 hours of pa.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,846
  • Sep 17, 2020 4:50pm Sep 17, 2020 4:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It went up higher then fomc.. I dont like that for shorts. An unusual 27 hours of pa.
No surprise to me anymore , they ( big boys) have been biding up the Eur for months....Eur wont come down till they are ready to unload their longs...
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  • #74,847
  • Sep 17, 2020 5:01pm Sep 17, 2020 5:01pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} No surprise to me anymore , they ( big boys) have been biding up the Eur for months....Eur wont come down till they are ready to unload their longs... {image}
Today could possibly be a very down day today... you dash is amazing though it call things out way before it happens..
  • #74,848
  • Sep 17, 2020 5:21pm Sep 17, 2020 5:21pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} No surprise to me anymore , they ( big boys) have been biding up the Eur for months....Eur wont come down till they are ready to unload their longs... {image}
I'm gonna be quiet till we get those lower closes. All is bullish w/o them. The only way is to get a lower week close. Is a Friday close, below 1795. If it goes to 1883/84+ now, and drops shortly after. Then makes a new low, below 1714. Remind me to keep my mouth shut. Till the closes match. On the week and day.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,849
  • Sep 17, 2020 5:36pm Sep 17, 2020 5:36pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm gonna be quiet till we get those lower closes. All is bullish w/o them. The only way is to get a lower week close. Is a Friday close, below 1795. If it goes to 1883/84+ now, and drops shortly after. Then makes a new low, below 1714. Remind me to keep my mouth shut. Till the closes match. On the week and day.
full hedge here at Ic account... not going to remove longs till its ready to drop...
thought about last night before i went to bed.. I was holding all longs at low levels.. worried about my long positions,, put some shorts there to protect my longs...
what a chicken move that was... now I am paying for that fear move,,,,
  • #74,850
  • Edited 8:29pm Sep 17, 2020 6:30pm | Edited 8:29pm
1.22 should still be coming i reckon, when the opposite target (1.06xx) fails then usually the counter move is fierce but i didn't see a follow through

strange times
  • #74,851
  • Sep 17, 2020 6:49pm Sep 17, 2020 6:49pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} full hedge here at Ic account... not going to remove longs till its ready to drop... thought about last night before i went to bed.. I was holding all longs at low levels.. worried about my long positions,, put some shorts there to protect my longs... what a chicken move that was... now I am paying for that fear move,,,,
I changed my mind..
I just removed my hedged longs at 1852..... .. . M15 trend is over done for a retrace... I will manage if i am wrong..
  • #74,852
  • Edited 7:54pm Sep 17, 2020 7:44pm | Edited 7:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm gonna be quiet till we get those lower closes. All is bullish w/o them. The only way is to get a lower week close. Is a Friday close, below 1795. If it goes to 1883/84+ now, and drops shortly after. Then makes a new low, below 1714. . Till the closes match. On the week and day.

LOL this is the first time I've seen you write anything ridiculous....."I'm gonna be quiet till we get those lower closes. Remind me to keep my mouth shut." You provide the best insights of anyone I'm aware of on FF. Your precision in picking R & S levels to the 10th of a pip is unrivaled. But I have been in favor of EU longs until I see DXY break trend and close a Daily TF or 2 above. Now DXY has dropped back below it's descending trend line, and EU seems to have recoiled it's spring after it's plunge. I've screwed myself again this week by holding positions while I did my ridiculous 12.5 hour night shifts (London and New York sessions.) Missed TP's by a couple of pips (I would have closed manually based on PA), then reversals hit my emergency stops by pips, then reversed back in favor of positions I no longer had. More lessons.... If I hold at all during those shifts, I have to decrease lot sizes. This drop hurt.

"A 1h close above 1853.9 means the bulls won." Has the reversal changed the significance of this level now? Still R & S, but as important as previously? You seem to have some mysterious MOFU power at determining such things that mortals lack. It's in play...waiting for 1H close above.
  • #74,853
  • Sep 17, 2020 8:02pm Sep 17, 2020 8:02pm
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} LOL this is the first time I've seen you write anything ridiculous....."I'm gonna be quiet till we get those lower closes. Remind me to keep my mouth shut." You provide the best insights of anyone I'm aware of on FF. Your precision in picking R & S levels to the 10th of a pip is unrivaled. But I have been in favor of EU longs until I see DXY break trend and close a Daily TF or 2 above. Now DXY has dropped back below it's descending trend line, and EU seems to have recoiled it's spring after it's plunge. I've screwed myself again this week...

One Hour close 1.1854 IC Market
  • #74,854
  • Edited 9:13pm Sep 17, 2020 8:24pm | Edited 9:13pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} Apparently there have been so many hurricanes this year that the WMO have almost run out of names, the only one left is Wilfred

They may consider some of the Greek sea Gods... Nereus, Proteus, Glaucus and Phorkys. These sea gods are not as powerful as Poseidon, the main god of the oceans and seas. They should save Poseidon for the Big One, when four Cat 5 hurricanes collide at trump's Jupiter golf club on the Florida coast while he is hunkering in a sand bunker.

Long from 1.1852 SL 1833
  • #74,855
  • Sep 17, 2020 9:17pm Sep 17, 2020 9:17pm
coming to test M15 uptrend stop 1843...lets see bulls can hold...
  • #74,856
  • Sep 17, 2020 9:21pm Sep 17, 2020 9:21pm
Last hour closed 1.1849. Not looking so shiny now
  • #74,857
  • Sep 17, 2020 9:39pm Sep 17, 2020 9:39pm
DXY still pushing to climb above descending trend line
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  • #74,858
  • Sep 17, 2020 11:04pm Sep 17, 2020 11:04pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} full hedge here at Ic account... not going to remove longs till its ready to drop... thought about last night before i went to bed.. I was holding all longs at low levels.. worried about my long positions,, put some shorts there to protect my longs... what a chicken move that was... now I am paying for that fear move,,,,
tp some 1754/55
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,859
  • Sep 17, 2020 11:13pm Sep 17, 2020 11:13pm
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} LOL this is the first time I've seen you write anything ridiculous....."I'm gonna be quiet till we get those lower closes. Remind me to keep my mouth shut." You provide the best insights of anyone I'm aware of on FF. Your precision in picking R & S levels to the 10th of a pip is unrivaled. But I have been in favor of EU longs until I see DXY break trend and close a Daily TF or 2 above. Now DXY has dropped back below it's descending trend line, and EU seems to have recoiled it's spring after it's plunge. I've screwed myself again this week...
it will not go lower w/o a week close below 1795, day -1714. It will not go higher w/o a day close above 1936. But it will also need that close to be above 1938.x. To go further 1987x. Not saying it wont extend a wick to 20xx. Closing below is likely a rejection. All of these require a close.. But w/o closing, a rejection move will come. Like touching a hot stove. Or peeing on a running lawnmower sparkplug.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #74,860
  • Sep 17, 2020 11:26pm Sep 17, 2020 11:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it will not go lower w/o a week close below 1795, day -1714. It will not go higher w/o a day close above 1936. But it will also need that close to be above 1938.x. To go further 1987x. Not saying it wont extend a wick to 20xx. Closing below is likely a rejection. All of these require a close.. But w/o closing, a rejection move will come. Like touching a hot stove. Or peeing on a running lawnmower sparkplug.
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