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Time and Price Forecasting

  • #2,581
  • Sep 2, 2020 10:34am Sep 2, 2020 10:34am
thank you Swede that's is a very nice thought
  • #2,582
  • Sep 2, 2020 10:38am Sep 2, 2020 10:38am
Quoting Swede
{quote} I envy the brilliant calculus displayed by smart, educated people in this room, its humbling to see how much there is to learn. One thing though, I don't hear a lot about fundamentals being part of the calculations, to me that is the missing link to all time calculations, along with basic price action being the trigger. For example lets take Wheat. Gann could tell you almost to the day where price would turn......but then again so could George Jones, the Farmer from Montana. George knew the crops where sparse this year across the nation...
everything the smartest economist on the planet can tell you about the economy is already priced in, that is what price does, discounts every piece of information that is coming down the pike

nfp and co will for sure distort the price for a day or so but won't change what the market is doing, price is everything time is studied to know when to change direction
twitter: @gettoefl
  • #2,583
  • Sep 2, 2020 1:09pm Sep 2, 2020 1:09pm
Quoting Swede
Quoting gettoefl
{quote} everything the smartest economist on the planet can tell you about the economy is already priced in, that is what price does, discounts every piece of information that is coming down the pike nfp and co will for sure distort the price for a day or so but won't change what the market is doing, price is everything time is studied to know when to change direction[/quote My point was don't get too hung up on time simply because of the 24 hour nature of forex (non centralized market with 3 maintrading sessions)....focus
...
that's where we agree to disagree, for me time is the key it is all a cycle, price will not turn unless it is time, when the time is reached then look at price and use tech analysis to confirm the trade is good ... i don't trade until time turns but then i am probably one of the few who thinks thus ... studying time in forex is hard because most of the time we are flat and it is a complete toss up whether up or down and when from the up it will go back to the flat line like the case currently in the euro
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 215 KB
twitter: @gettoefl
  • #2,584
  • Sep 2, 2020 1:18pm Sep 2, 2020 1:18pm
when we are serious about time we know precisely how many trading hours are in each year with weekends and holidays of course all factored in

most quarters have 65 days but the Q3 we are in has 66 so my charts reflect that
twitter: @gettoefl
  • #2,585
  • Sep 2, 2020 1:55pm Sep 2, 2020 1:55pm
Quoting Swede
{quote} I guess I am talking more from a day trading perspective.....anyway, I get your point and welcome it maybe my analyses is flawed, but I seldom pinpoint the time factor...I look at my time calculations more a establishing a zone, not a precise time to the day or hour....
works pretty much to the minute but take time to figure out and seems there's not books on it
twitter: @gettoefl
  • #2,586
  • Sep 2, 2020 2:46pm Sep 2, 2020 2:46pm
Quoting Swede
{quote} If you come across an example that you would be willing to post and how you came to “the minut” I and others would love to see it..this is not an argument, rather a learning experience. I fully admit I am consistently not within a minute, not even an hour, but I certainly pay attention to the cycle established from my analyses....anyway, just a thought.
i say first be persuaded it works beautifully to the year then work down the time frames ... the long term analysis is key to everything

up to date charts for the majors going back to mid last century at fxtop.com ... every single year matters
twitter: @gettoefl
  • #2,587
  • Sep 2, 2020 6:00pm Sep 2, 2020 6:00pm
Quoting maneverfix
{quote} Found one video on YouTube, if you haven't already seen it. झलकझलक1:12:38Introduzione al Trading Geometrico - Webinar del 5 Luglio 2018 con Davide Catanossi
There is a channel on YouTube named "Gtrading" that has a lot of geometric trading videos by Catanossi.
"GIVE ME 3 POINTS IN SPACE IN TIME AND WATCH ME CREATE MAGIC."
  • #2,588
  • Sep 3, 2020 10:02am Sep 3, 2020 10:02am
Quoting kapital
{quote} There is a channel on YouTube named "Gtrading" that has a lot of geometric trading videos by Catanossi.
unfortunately no english subtitle. It would be worth if it was in english or at least english subtitle...
  • #2,589
  • Sep 3, 2020 11:35pm Sep 3, 2020 11:35pm
Quoting Thakkx
{quote} unfortunately no english subtitle. It would be worth if it was in english or at least english subtitle...
You can choose the English closed-caption option on a computer (I don't see the option on my smartphone...just the option to turn on/off closed-caption Italian text).

-click the settings gear and choose "Subtitles/CC(1)"
-click "Italian (auto-generated)"
-click "Subtitles/CC(1)" again
-click "Auto-translate"
-scroll down the list and click "English"
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: CATANOSSI.PNG Size: 137 KB
"GIVE ME 3 POINTS IN SPACE IN TIME AND WATCH ME CREATE MAGIC."
  • #2,590
  • Sep 4, 2020 5:43pm Sep 4, 2020 5:43pm
Quoting EmmK
{quote} Check the book here: https://drive.google.com/folderview?...RAllT1NasMjHnE I will post for Wednesdays top (GBPUSD) calculation and post here today...
Thanks for sharing!
"GIVE ME 3 POINTS IN SPACE IN TIME AND WATCH ME CREATE MAGIC."
  • #2,591
  • Sep 5, 2020 5:51am Sep 5, 2020 5:51am
Bullish Gartley completed on AUDUSDH4 on Friday at Emblem 38 Angle. Base on Andrews Pitchfork aiming to at least reach the medium line which is around 150 pip.

USDCADH4 did completed Bearish Gartley on Emblem 38 Angle.

On NZDCADH4, seems to be in ABC correction and trade opportunity on CD leg with medium line failure. There was trade opportunity when B pivot was confirm to reach up to the medium line, which is 80% probability. Will monitor how this probable path develop.

GBPNZDH4 is interesting as this is the first time seems time line coinciding quite well with the pivot. Plus the 1/2 Angle is providing good support for around 6 times. So seems it will hold. Again will see how this develop as well.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZDH4.png Size: 140 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDCADH4.png Size: 127 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4.png Size: 99 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADH4.png Size: 128 KB
  • #2,592
  • Sep 5, 2020 11:29am Sep 5, 2020 11:29am
Quoting Thakkx
{quote} Also GBPNZD look prime candidate for the Nodal pivot analysis (foldback or mirror image) based on square the range, so would be nice to see if anyone attempt to shed some light on how this one will be pan out over longer time with some prediction {image}
Unfortunately for me Nodal pivot analysis didn't show any great pivot point on GBPNZD Daily. Saying that I tried 45 Angle as mentioned by Jenkins and that seems to give very accurate pivot point for trading on this pair.

45 Angle coming from the top in March, which shows when bearish trend end and it turn bullish on 28th July.
All the 45 Angle Blue line from the bottom did predicted next pivot point quite accurately.
All the 45 Angle Magenta line from top did predicted next pivot point quite accurately.

Also as mentioned in my last post, 1/2 Angle is providing the strong support for last 3 days and if that break, that would probably end the bullish run and probably it was a Correction for the Bearish trend run from March to July.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPNZDDaily.png Size: 125 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 206 KB
  • #2,593
  • Sep 6, 2020 1:07pm Sep 6, 2020 1:07pm
Quoting EmmK
{quote} Hey guys, as promised here is the calculation for the buy tomorrow (daily trade)... I have removed much of the unnecessary angles, not applicable to this method, I left in the excel sheet...I have attached the spreadsheet. Its a calculation for tomorrows trade so it is as current as current can be. I have noted the up swing on the screenshot which i hope you can calculate and confirm Wednesday 2 September 2020 beginning of the down swing. Here is the tradingview analysis: https://www.tradingview.com/x/7id6HKcf/ TO TAKE IT FURTHER,...
Hey excellent prediction so far. Are we saying the trend will be bearish upto 13 November(RTD 73 and 118.3) considering 1st September High Pivot point is held? Please note i have sunday bar, so TD slightly different to your one.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 112 KB
  • #2,594
  • Sep 6, 2020 4:03pm Sep 6, 2020 4:03pm
Quoting Thakkx
{quote} Unfortunately for me Nodal pivot analysis didn't show any great pivot point on GBPNZD Daily. Saying that I tried 45 Angle as mentioned by Jenkins and that seems to give very accurate pivot point for trading on this pair. 45 Angle coming from the top in March, which shows when bearish trend end and it turn bullish on 28th July. All the 45 Angle Blue line from the bottom did predicted next pivot point quite accurately. All the 45 Angle Magenta line from top did predicted next pivot point quite accurately. Also as mentioned in my last post,...
hi Thakkx may i ask you the chart 48 you show is from a Jensen book ? thank you looks interesting i haven't read much on jensen
  • #2,595
  • Sep 6, 2020 4:24pm Sep 6, 2020 4:24pm
Yes it is in one of the Jenkins book named
michael-s-jenkins-complete-stock-market-trading-and-forecasting-guide
  • #2,596
  • Sep 6, 2020 7:47pm Sep 6, 2020 7:47pm
Hi,
I am a bit late finding this thread but have been going through it page by page and the breadth of knowledge on here is awesome!
Slowly getting to grips with Jenkins books that I have downloaded. Thanks very much to those who kindly uploaded them!
Would someone who has managed to download the Jenkins videos be able to send me a direct link please? I was unable to download them from the original link. Thanks!
  • #2,597
  • Sep 7, 2020 11:21am Sep 7, 2020 11:21am
Quoting Thakkx
Yes it is in one of the Jenkins book named michael-s-jenkins-complete-stock-market-trading-and-forecasting-guide
Hi Thakkx, are you able to post a link to the above book at all please?
  • #2,598
  • Sep 7, 2020 12:43pm Sep 7, 2020 12:43pm
Quoting TraderPhil27
{quote} Hi Thakkx, are you able to post a link to the above book at all please?
https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...1&d=1582072986
  • #2,599
  • Sep 7, 2020 1:00pm Sep 7, 2020 1:00pm
Quoting Thakkx
{quote} https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...1&d=1582072986
Thank you Thakkx for posting the link, really appreciate it!
  • #2,600
  • Sep 7, 2020 2:42pm Sep 7, 2020 2:42pm
Quoting EmmK
{quote} Current movement...GBPUSD {image} {image}
Thank you EmmK for sharing your technique. It is nice to see a good call working out which proves you know what you are doing.
I hope you continue to show a few more of these.
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