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The Swamp

  • #73,381
  • Aug 11, 2020 5:19am Aug 11, 2020 5:19am
Quoting JFphuket
{quote} Residents at an elderly care home have some flu type symptoms with some showing respiratory issues similar to Covid, they have been tested with none being confirmed as yet

They are on an island in lockdown ... I am very curious to know how those cases appear.
Don't base your strategy on what I'm saying
  • #73,382
  • Edited 5:56am Aug 11, 2020 5:22am | Edited 5:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wow 4 cases.. I see your 4 and raise you 5,000,000 X 10. "Nobody could ever imaged such big numbers."

Yeah, I know. Over reaction. I sold a handful of AN 1.0885 -1.0893. i just checked, a couple of days ago NZ "celebrated" 100 days without community transmission. They've had returned travelers in quarantine with the virus. Likely it escaped from them. An example of how contagious this virus is.... They lost control of it in Melbourne, due to poor containment procedures with returned overseas travelers. ONE person came to Sydney, spent a few hours in a pub. He alone directly infected over 30 people. Others spread around the country from Melbourne, spread the virus. But our numbers here are still low enough to effectively contact trace. Nonetheless, most state borders closed EDIT or tightened again here. Obviously, the fear in NZ is that it may start a second wave. But they have a rational, proactive government, so their risk factor is greatly reduced
  • #73,383
  • Aug 11, 2020 5:31am Aug 11, 2020 5:31am
I may long on a 1762 pullback.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,384
  • Aug 11, 2020 5:31am Aug 11, 2020 5:31am
closing this hour above 1787 is not good for bears.
if it does... back to bullish bias for me.
  • #73,385
  • Aug 11, 2020 5:43am Aug 11, 2020 5:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} closing an h above 1787.7 and 1794.8 should be less bearish. it would increase 1818 odds. that said the flag starts in the 1800 area. both of those are some R. {quote} {image}
I'm still not sold on shorts, but we know it retraces. 1818 to me looks to be next. just above 1818 is 1821.4. maybe some R 1818/22. Maybe some inside trading. I'm still scared to trade that wtf weekly candle. it usually retraces the wicks on both ends.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,386
  • Aug 11, 2020 5:48am Aug 11, 2020 5:48am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} Yeah, I know. Over reaction. I sold a handful of AN 1.0885 -1.0893. i just checked, a couple of days ago NZ "celebrated" 100 days without community transmission. They've had returned travelers in quarantine with the virus. Likely it escaped from them. An example of how contagious this virus is.... They lost control of it in Melbourne, due to poor containment procedures with returned overseas travelers. ONE person came to Sydney, spent a few hours in a pub. He alone directly infected over 30 people. Others spread around the country from Melbourne,...
nz with 4 cases drops. Just imagine 5,000,000 cases. With an estimated 10X more. That's why usd drops.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,387
  • Aug 11, 2020 6:13am Aug 11, 2020 6:13am
Scalping to pass the time away off the demand level into supply: Bank +11
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  • #73,388
  • Aug 11, 2020 6:19am Aug 11, 2020 6:19am
DAX 4H engulfing bear candle. I expected Blue line level above at 94 to be tested b4 much of a pullback. Still seems likely to be tested before (if) we go back to lows.

A bit of an aberration seems to occur with my DAX charts. Same broker, DAX 4H candle prints 2 hours before (or after) 4H prints on all pairs. I don't know why.
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  • #73,389
  • Aug 11, 2020 7:03am Aug 11, 2020 7:03am
Let's have another scalp off the round number: Bank +21
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  • #73,390
  • Aug 11, 2020 7:06am Aug 11, 2020 7:06am
GU Daily setup is very bullish. Eu and GU breaking of correlation to provide liquidity for each other. However, gu has to break the top and close the day above 1.3179 otherwise that pattern turns to bullshit
  • #73,391
  • Aug 11, 2020 7:53am Aug 11, 2020 7:53am
Gold-eur: look a penny!
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Pension fund Return This Month: 2.2%
  • #73,392
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:07am Aug 11, 2020 8:07am
I'm thinking AJ is setting up a break.. But if it cant move up. 400 to 800 pips below. The end of August it may run out of runway or sooner. 77.00 area may be a top needing breaking for bulls. If it implodes, month close would be -76.21, week -76.5, Day maybe then -76.52, 4h -76.75, 1h -76.75.. So if the tl is tested, bulls need to maintain those closes and go up. If not, the wedge pattern bottom may give up. One may be get lucky and play off 77.00 for some.. maybe hold some, for more. AJ reflects on commodities and equities.
It is bullish, but the reward comparable to risk looks decent. Near 77 is just a handful of risk.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,393
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:08am Aug 11, 2020 8:08am
EU and EJ mixed signals with H1 and H4 trends.... not falling traps either way....
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  • #73,394
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:11am Aug 11, 2020 8:11am
Hey Gator, is the poll on the main page editable? Maybe a time for a new one?
I don't know...
  • #73,395
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:14am Aug 11, 2020 8:14am
1765 possible L
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,396
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:21am Aug 11, 2020 8:21am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm thinking AJ is setting up a break.. But if it cant move up. 400 to 800 pips below. The end of August it may run out of runway or sooner. 77.00 area may be a top needing breaking for bulls. If it implodes, month close would be -76.21, week -76.5, Day maybe then -76.52, 4h -76.75, 1h -76.75.. So if the tl is tested, bulls need to maintain those closes and go up. If not, the wedge pattern bottom may give up. One may be get lucky and play off 77.00 for some.. maybe hold some, for more. AJ reflects on commodities and equities. It is bullish, but...
Eyeing this one and NJ for days. I want to be the lucky guy
  • #73,397
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:22am Aug 11, 2020 8:22am
this is some crazy shit.. bear engulfed. followed by bullish engulfed. followed by 1764 drop. The reason for possible long is the bullish engulfed close was above 1794.8... norm 1754... and old tl.. void the long if h closes below 1771.. target 1818 0r +

last candle was a 4h candle also. higher close, but all of this is inside.. 1714/1915
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,398
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:25am Aug 11, 2020 8:25am
Quoting Kartveli
Hey Gator, is the poll on the main page editable? Maybe a time for a new one?
voting is still open..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,399
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:42am Aug 11, 2020 8:42am
i cant figure out all the rhyme or reason. I dont know if its the AI bots or what. This pair is near weaning me off it. being inside, long near 1714
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,400
  • Aug 11, 2020 8:46am Aug 11, 2020 8:46am
EU whenever it has to go down for correction can be the most stupid pair you ever met. I will short it here at 1774 and see if we can hit 1714 by tomorrow.
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