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The Swamp

  • #73,361
  • Aug 10, 2020 8:33pm Aug 10, 2020 8:33pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} she just needs to relax. its getting closer to 1714. I got a tp at 21. no matter how weak she looks, pa is still above 1714. The month week and day are still bullish. Whatever happens now. Bears need to close day below 1761. Maybe 1714. bbl, after close..
I closed mine.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,362
  • Aug 10, 2020 9:26pm Aug 10, 2020 9:26pm
I'm thinking I should have longed earlier. I have a 1752 possible R. But I think 1770/81 may be best to wait for. Near 1707 bounces chance is better. Week wise 1775 could ed up being R. If week closed below. I dont have a strong bias to short. Month week day are still bullish.


1775/80 may be worth a shot. I wouldn't get married to it, if it closed +1788

in higher individual degrees, closes above 1788 or 1795 1h would be less bearish
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,363
  • Aug 10, 2020 9:47pm Aug 10, 2020 9:47pm
1.1726 done! A retrace up to 1.1766-1.1800 is expected before resuming down for the next level 1.163-1.153.
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  • #73,364
  • Aug 10, 2020 9:50pm Aug 10, 2020 9:50pm
Started to buy the dips at 338 with tight stops.
Don't like the engulfing on the 15 mins though coupled with H&S on 1 min.

My swing to the downside is below 1.17400.
Targeting 57x levels and possible 775x levels.

500 needs to give way convincingly.
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There is no royal road to anything.
  • #73,365
  • Aug 10, 2020 11:27pm Aug 10, 2020 11:27pm
TP 1 hit at 550. Asia session done. Will reload at 470 / 80 levels again if it come backs. Trend seems to be well established though.

Stay safe all. Off to rest.
There is no royal road to anything.
  • #73,366
  • Aug 11, 2020 2:41am Aug 11, 2020 2:41am
EUR/USD Forecast: King dollar's comeback seems unstoppable, and for good reasons - https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/eu...paign=analysis
  • #73,367
  • Aug 11, 2020 2:57am Aug 11, 2020 2:57am
So, where are we here...Into a major demand zone.

Those of us short from above have had a fairly serene journey in recent days (pullback, lower each time). However, things are rarely this straight forward and whilst our take profit level is close at hand - we are also right into a demand zone here. Bounce is likely so might be time to buckle up for a bit and from my end at least I'll be looking to add back in on moves higher
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  • #73,368
  • Aug 11, 2020 3:38am Aug 11, 2020 3:38am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm thinking I should have longed earlier. I have a 1752 possible R. But I think 1770/81 may be best to wait for. Near 1707 bounces chance is better. Week wise 1775 could ed up being R. If week closed below. I dont have a strong bias to short. Month week day are still bullish. 1775/80 may be worth a shot. I wouldn't get married to it, if it closed +1788 in higher individual degrees, closes above 1788 or 1795 1h would be less bearish {image}
caught the retrace last night. closed a little earlier after 1775 missed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,369
  • Aug 11, 2020 3:57am Aug 11, 2020 3:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} caught the retrace last night. closed a little earlier after 1775 missed. {image}
stops may be just a little above 1775..5 pips may be enough.. month week and day are still bullish. near 1714 is bounce-able.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,370
  • Aug 11, 2020 3:58am Aug 11, 2020 3:58am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} caught the retrace last night. closed a little earlier after 1775 missed. {image}
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GG
  • #73,371
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:02am Aug 11, 2020 4:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} stops may be just a little above 1775..5 pips may be enough.. month week and day are still bullish. near 1714 is bounce-able.
in, stops 1780
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,372
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:03am Aug 11, 2020 4:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} in, stops 1780
-5 out. it had a bullish flag. 1800 area may be the minimal.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,373
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:14am Aug 11, 2020 4:14am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} -5 out. it had a bullish flag. 1800 area may be the minimal.
I dont have any bearish bias. it didnt take out 1714.. 1818 looks like its coming. adr 1813
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,374
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:20am Aug 11, 2020 4:20am
as long as pa is near 1714 w/o a day close below. pa is susceptible to bounce. a week close below 1775 is also needed. Ideally Friday closing below is better for bears. Then we can talk about month. Being short, one should always taking some profit or limiting loss. The month, week, and day are against you.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,375
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:33am Aug 11, 2020 4:33am
i thought this could develop into a flag earlier for 18002.. But 1818 may attract higher. That R at 1775 was to attractive not to consider.. but its broke now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,376
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:38am Aug 11, 2020 4:38am
Quoting gatorinla
i thought this could develop into a flag earlier for 18002.. But 1818 may attract higher. That R at 1775 was to attractive not to consider.. but its broke now. {image}
closing an h above 1787.7 and 1794.8 should be less bearish. it would increase 1818 odds.

that said the flag starts in the 1800 area. both of those are some R.

Quoting gatorinla
Near 1707 bounces chance is better. Week wise 1775 could ed up being R. If week closed below. I dont have a strong bias to short. Month week day are still bullish. 1775/80 may be worth a shot. I wouldn't get married to it, if it closed +1788 in higher individual degrees, closes above 1788 or 1795 1h would be less bearish {image}
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,377
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:39am Aug 11, 2020 4:39am
FYI. I've been watching as NU dropped for the last hour, while AU, EU, and GU ran up. Found out why. I just heard on the news New Zealand just recorded their first 4 community transferred covid cases in over a month. NU bouncing back now
  • #73,378
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:47am Aug 11, 2020 4:47am
Quoting Blackopal
FYI. I've been watching as NU dropped for the last hour, while AU, EU, and GU ran up. Found out why. I just heard on the news New Zealand just recorded their first 4 community transferred covid cases in over a month. NU bouncing back now
first community cases in 102 days
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #73,379
  • Aug 11, 2020 4:47am Aug 11, 2020 4:47am
Quoting Blackopal
FYI. I've been watching as NU dropped for the last hour, while AU, EU, and GU ran up. Found out why. I just heard on the news New Zealand just recorded their first 4 community transferred covid cases in over a month. NU bouncing back now
wow 4 cases.. I see your 4 and raise you 5,000,000 X 10. "Nobody could ever imaged such big numbers."
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #73,380
  • Aug 11, 2020 5:11am Aug 11, 2020 5:11am
Quoting axecap
{quote} first community cases in 102 days
Residents at an elderly care home have some flu type symptoms with some showing respiratory issues similar to Covid, they have been tested with none being confirmed as yet
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