The Swamp | Page 3612 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #72,221
  • Jul 25, 2020 12:07am Jul 25, 2020 12:07am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} But did you catch any fish?
Nothing i wanted. A alligator gar. Anytime fishing is better than most things.. Mine wasn't this big..I released it.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,222
  • Jul 25, 2020 12:53am Jul 25, 2020 12:53am
Looks like Senate Republicans are going to put Judy Shelton, a goldbug, on the Fed.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #72,223
  • Jul 25, 2020 1:02am Jul 25, 2020 1:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Nothing i wanted. A alligator gar. Anytime fishing is better than most things.. Mine wasn't this big..I released it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NaKohMbQKQg

Yeah fishing is good. Back to basics. Man and nature. Some really good fishing in Australia. I did a four day charter fishing trip near Darwin with one of my sons. Fish of all varieties, pelagics and bottom feeders. We got into a school of queen fish mixed with big trevallies. They literally competed to grab lures as fast as you could throw them in. The Queen fish put up huge fights, jumping out of the water and head shaking. Great fun! But for me nothing competes with an elk hunt high in the Rockies in Idaho. Slipping thru the forest as quietly as possible, no one else around, deep in a wilderness area, taking my time, trying to spot wildlife before they know I'm there. I go back there once every 2 years for that thrill. We spread my Dad's ashes at Heaven's Gate, in the Seven Devil's a few years ago. You can't get any closer to heaven than that country.
  • #72,224
  • Jul 25, 2020 1:55am Jul 25, 2020 1:55am
While we in Europe kind of forget the virus,,, we read this https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/202...mpression=true
FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #72,225
  • Jul 25, 2020 7:50am Jul 25, 2020 7:50am
Quoting Blackopal
{quote} Yeah fishing is good. Back to basics. Man and nature. Some really good fishing in Australia. I did a four day charter fishing trip near Darwin with one of my sons. Fish of all varieties, pelagics and bottom feeders. We got into a school of queen fish mixed with big trevallies. They literally competed to grab lures as fast as you could throw them in. The Queen fish put up huge fights, jumping out of the water and head shaking. Great fun! But for me nothing competes with an elk hunt high in the Rockies in Idaho. Slipping thru the forest as...
We got fishing like that here also. They gather around rigs. Red snapper etc one after another. Until you start pulling up heads, when the sharks show up. I fish mostly for meat, in inside waters. Speck trout is my meat fish. I dont even try for red fish. But occasionally one commits suicide on my lure. In the Rockies. I watched a herd of hundreds of mule deer in a valley. I never hunted them. I have never been to Seven Devil's. I will have to put it on the bucket list. I could see them in the distance on my last trip. I did make a 3 week road trip to about 6 national parks West. The regular tourist spots with the kids. But those hunts for me, need to be in solitude. Eventually I may end up in Idaho or Colorado.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,226
  • Jul 25, 2020 10:15am Jul 25, 2020 10:15am
July 2011 High 1.6469 - 1.5780 Low = 689 pips Range
July 2012 High 1.5766 - 1.5392 Low = 374 pips Range
July 2013 High 1.5434 - 1.4812 Low = 622 pips Range
July 2014 High 1.7190 - 1.6856 Low = 334 pips Range
July 2015 High 1.5734 - 1.5329 Low = 405 pips Range
July 2016 High 1.3480 - 1.2795 Low = 685 pips Range
July 2017 High 1.3224 - 1.2811 Low = 413 pips Range
July 2018 High 1.3362 - 1.2957 Low = 405 pips Range
July 2019 High 1.2705 - 1.2119 Low = 586 pips Range

July 2020* High 1.2802 - 1.2358 Low = 444 pips Range

JULYS MAXIMUM RANGE = 689 pips
JULYS AVERAGE RANGE = 511 pips
JULY MINIMUM RANGE = 334 pips

July 2020 already exceeds 2012, 2014, 2015, 2017 and July 2018 ranges.

July 2020 only below 2011, 2013, 2016 and 2019 July ranges.

To me possible reversal is at 1.2817/1.2890 area for at least 300 pips retracement to 1.2517/1.2590 before any other trend can begin or continue.

If 1.2890 is seen, this July range must have match July 2019 and May 2020 ranges of 586 pips and 526 pips range.

Trade safe and stay safe.

Regards,

George
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #72,227
  • Jul 25, 2020 1:05pm Jul 25, 2020 1:05pm
Quoting Georginson
July 2011 High 1.6469 - 1.5780 Low = 689 pips Range July 2012 High 1.5766 - 1.5392 Low = 374 pips Range July 2013 High 1.5434 - 1.4812 Low = 622 pips Range July 2014 High 1.7190 - 1.6856 Low = 334 pips Range July 2015 High 1.5734 - 1.5329 Low = 405 pips Range July 2016 High 1.3480 - 1.2795 Low = 685 pips Range July 2017 High 1.3224 - 1.2811 Low = 413 pips Range July 2018 High 1.3362 - 1.2957 Low = 405 pips Range July 2019 High 1.2705 - 1.2119 Low = 586 pips Range July 2020* High 1.2802 - 1.2358 Low = 444 pips Range JULYS MAXIMUM RANGE = 689 pips...
better to add to the original post that u talk about GU
  • #72,228
  • Jul 25, 2020 2:19pm Jul 25, 2020 2:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i see it 1672 ish. I see another 1708/05. 6 days of green candles. All bullish looking. Adx month, week, day, 4h, and 1 h are bullish atm. Maybe some pullback around candle 7 or 8. In June it was 8 candles. Only 250 pips. Unless the month closes sub 1485, longs look to be stronger. {image}
I think will get 165-75 pip retrace then UP again
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #72,229
  • Jul 25, 2020 5:11pm Jul 25, 2020 5:11pm
Quoting gatenio
{quote} better to add to the original post that u talk about GU
Which of the original post mate?
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #72,230
  • Jul 26, 2020 5:42am Jul 26, 2020 5:42am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} I think will get 165-75 pip retrace then UP again
yeah I put these on a chart. but now I wouldn't hold one against it. Possible wedge forming. But even lc is being skull drug after close. 4 h lc candles are tossed like a rag doll. 1671 sure, but that close jumping past 1638. Leads me to think STFO of shorts for now. 1708 has some multiple R. But R has meant nothing so far. A break down on the wedges to close below 1485. Is the only thing that will slow this bull. 1595 barely slowed it.

The only thing I have is the u mofu 1708..It looks to be to be going there. After if it could manage a -1485/81 close. That would be a statement. Its not looking good for bears. Beyond 1708 lies 180x/30 ish.. losing it leaves lots of room to rise. it should unless a month close below 1485. This week should be interesting. If bears make an attempt and fail. it may be a buy near 1485.. or sell if close below.

Atm the bulls are on a terror.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 43 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,231
  • Jul 26, 2020 5:49am Jul 26, 2020 5:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah I put these on a chart. but now I wouldn't hold one against it. Possible wedge forming. But even lc is being skull drug after close. 4 h lc candles are tossed like a rag doll. 1671 sure, but that close jumping past 1638. Leads me to think STFO of shorts for now. 1708 has some multiple R. But R has meant nothing so far. A break down on the wedges to close below 1485. Is the only thing that will slow this bull. 1595 barely slowed it. The only thing I have is the u mofu 1708..It looks to be to be going there. After if it could manage a...
popcorn time.

It could be a hell of a week.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 40 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,232
  • Jul 26, 2020 9:27am Jul 26, 2020 9:27am
Have waited enough, gonna start building small shorts next week, will hold.
Everything looks bullish for EU, everybody should be buying or at least shifting/shifted to.
I also believe this is driven by USD weakness and not EUR strength; USDCHF down, EURUSD up, but EURCHF didn't move as much as EURUSD did.

Will check PA at the supply zone below, starting from 1740 given its the start of kumo in monthly.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot0.png Size: 44 KB

3 consecutive weeks of PA going over WPP+previous week's range, next week will be the 4th and still looks achievable with this momentum (1827).
WPP next week will be around 1571, WR1 1670, and WR2 1730.

Couple of red events next week (!!! FOMC+GDP) plus its the last week of the month, trade safe.



On UJ, there's a tail on daily - rejection or 104? It becomes confusing at this point, lol.
Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #72,233
  • Edited 9:44am Jul 26, 2020 9:32am | Edited 9:44am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} I think will get 165-75 pip retrace then UP again
if your right, 1670.7 is on your side atm. All time UM is there. U may get to hold. U still need -1485 month closed below. some backing expected 1708. If 1485 is closed above, 2131 looks wide open.. beyond the 12 yr tl..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 42 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,234
  • Jul 26, 2020 3:36pm Jul 26, 2020 3:36pm
fyi for US
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 1.0 MB
  • #72,235
  • Jul 26, 2020 3:37pm Jul 26, 2020 3:37pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} I think will get 165-75 pip retrace then UP again
ej is in a like position. 124.57/58
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 70 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,236
  • Jul 26, 2020 3:44pm Jul 26, 2020 3:44pm
Quoting Boulder
fyi for US {image}
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} The lack of a Federal corona response. Has lead to the greatest historic cost in lives and treasure. This is not over. More printing to come. The coffers are already empty (deficit). 12 million renters are set to be evicted w/o some government intervention now. This dont include those late on mortgages. I know many dont care about this. But up the food chain, some slum lords wont get paid. The banks will be forced to be apartment owners, home owners, strip mall owners etc. The 12 million # on the street, will expand to...
removing the 600 $ will force employers to lay more of the working off. All caused by the lack of a corona response, AKA Trump flu. Its like seeing the Japanese planes on the radar. And responding, "they will turn away."

Quoting gatorinla
{quote}
But up the food chain, some slum lords wont get paid. The banks will be forced to be apartment owners, home owners, strip mall owners etc. The 12 million # on the street, will expand to former home owners. It will include home owners, slum lords, and the local strip mall owner. All unable to pay the banks. A massive bank bailout will follow with more printing. Or the banks will be insolvent. Now for the people who dont care, or thinks it will not affect them. If you have good job or business. If your neighbors house is bank owned, boarded up. Your house losses value. The fire sale of vacant houses will bring down your homes value. And when it happens. Why should you continue to pay 500k for your house? When you can buy the across the street for 1/2 price. And so forth and so long. A snow ball affect. I witnessed 3 of these in the last 30 years. 1980s oil depression, S&L crash, 2008/09 crash. After 911 we had a mini one, I dont count it. Any way dont think your immune to it. You will pay for it one way, or another. We all will. I usually buy after a drop. This one could be worse than all the others combined. For those who think this wont hurt eu. It may take a while. Eventually this will affect the world. BMW etc sells luxury cars to U.S. effluent and upper middle class. Sure the U.S will print. In any business losing customers is not good. The pendulum swings both ways. It will affect China on down its supply chain in Australia etc. It affects the entire world. Yes, the U.S. will continue to print. Others will need a market to sell stuff. It will find a new equalized level. A world reset is coming. It always adjust. Just as it did at eu 1.6xxx
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,237
  • Jul 26, 2020 3:51pm Jul 26, 2020 3:51pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} {quote} removing the 600 $ will force employers to lay more of the working off. All caused by the lack of a corona response, AKA Trump flu. Its like seeing the Japanese plains on the radar. And responding, "they will turn away." {quote}
planes not plains... I am a foreigner...I can spell better than you.. lol
  • #72,238
  • Jul 26, 2020 3:54pm Jul 26, 2020 3:54pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} planes not plains... I am a foreigner...I can spell better than you.. lol
in this case the Mid West plains are going to crash too. Look how big the Texas and California economies are. The rest of the South is a tax taker. If you take the money makers off line. The rest just suck the government tit.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,239
  • Jul 26, 2020 3:58pm Jul 26, 2020 3:58pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} planes not plains... I am a foreigner...I can spell better than you.. lol
English is my second language, I'm from the South.

Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #72,240
  • Jul 26, 2020 4:03pm Jul 26, 2020 4:03pm
Quoting Avir
While we in Europe kind of forget the virus,,, we read this https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/202...mpression=true
Absolutely terrible.
Look ahead, Macro=Direction, Levels & Structure = Entry
122 traders viewing now, 3 are registered:
paogeh
,
paopao
,