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The Swamp

  • #71,301
  • Jul 15, 2020 6:59am Jul 15, 2020 6:59am
one of my Private mail in FF,,,,,


sorry bro, i am not a charity
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FX is a Bitc*h!, No one keeps me wake all night but FX does!!
  • #71,302
  • Jul 15, 2020 7:10am Jul 15, 2020 7:10am
Dollar weakness everywhere. A slow consistent pounding that makes it all the more scarier, dangerous and sustainable.

Not going to try and fade anymore maybe for this week till the dust settles otherwise my account will fade away.
Most of my trades last 2 days were either at b/e, small profit or small losses.

Will try to switch to "buy the dips" and see if it yields more result. But this doesn't feel like it is stopping anytime soon.
What is concerning is that there are still people who are caught down there at the new swing across various crosses and they haven't started panicking and getting margin called yet.

Probably will have to see one big leg up and retrace before i decide it is over. Till now, stay safe.
There is no royal road to anything.
  • #71,303
  • Jul 15, 2020 7:33am Jul 15, 2020 7:33am
If you wanna short, best do it now at 1443ish. Stop at 1448.

If you wanna go long, put a buy stop at 1448.

If we push above 1448, there should be nothing until 147x-ish
  • #71,304
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:01am Jul 15, 2020 8:01am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I shorted too at 1419.. with 20 pips stop... TP 1385..
the short was flat early at 1403 +16...
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  • #71,305
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:02am Jul 15, 2020 8:02am
MR2 (1451) might be temporarily blocking this upside like how MR1 (1375) did.
Previous week's range + WPP is touched at 1433 but the bull runs late May early June shoots 30-60 more pips after achieving previous week's range.
1433+(30-60) makes upper limit of 1500 this week.

And don't forget to take a look at your calendar.
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Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #71,306
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:03am Jul 15, 2020 8:03am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} the short was flat early at 1403 +16... {image}
My tiny 1433 can't exit, lol.
Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #71,307
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:05am Jul 15, 2020 8:05am
i had a 4h short candle signal on the ej a few closes ago (harami). Its engulfed now. eu is not showing any bear on 1h +.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,308
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:12am Jul 15, 2020 8:12am
Quoting gatorinla
i had a 4h short candle signal on the ej a few closes ago (harami). Its engulfed now. eu is not showing any bear on 1h +. {image}
using the current 1447.1 eu high.. the closest to anything bear 1h wise. is a close below 1433.. And even it may just take it to 1425 h support. Second 1386/94 ish
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,309
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:20am Jul 15, 2020 8:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} using the current 1447.1 eu high.. the closest to anything bear 1h wise. is a close below 1433.. And even it may just take it to 1425 h support. Second 1386/94 ish {image}
1447 is here... I don't forget this monthly flag post.
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} A June close above 1367 will open some doors. {image}
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Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #71,310
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:23am Jul 15, 2020 8:23am
Quoting gellowmellow
{quote} 1447 is here... I don't forget this monthly flag post. {quote} {image}
yes,, but month needs to close above 1486, or it will fall. To break and close above usually takes several tries.. lots of volatility. It hasn't been there since March.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,311
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:34am Jul 15, 2020 8:34am
ej closed last week lower. eu closed last week higher. indicative of the closing direction the following week. Eu reached last week's high plus. the ej missed atm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,312
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:35am Jul 15, 2020 8:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} using the current 1447.1 eu high.. the closest to anything bear 1h wise. is a close below 1433.. And even it may just take it to 1425 h support. Second 1386/94 ish {image}
nothing worth reporting for eu bears then or now.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,313
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:37am Jul 15, 2020 8:37am
Quoting Boulder
Eu 7/15/2020 trading levels.. next to print 1424 or 1383 RU R3 ----------1.1485 DP R3 ----------1.1461 MP R2 ----------1.1451 RU R2 ----------1.1447 WP R3 ----------1.1432 DP R2 ----------1.1429 RU R1 ----------1.1424 DP R1 ----------1.1409 WP R2 ----------1.1383 DP PP ----------1.1377 RU S1 ----------1.1377 MP R1 ----------1.1375 RU S2 ----------1.1354 WP R1 ----------1.1353 DP S1 ----------1.1345 DP S2 ----------1.1325
based on your experience, which level works best?
  • #71,314
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:38am Jul 15, 2020 8:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} not much R here till 148x/9x... beyond it, 1506 and higher. {image}
;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,315
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:39am Jul 15, 2020 8:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} one untested possible tl from jan 2019/march 2020.. at 1475 ish.. No eu shorts for me w/o some candle confirmation. {image}
wait for some confirmation signal.. Nothing is bearish here..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #71,316
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:40am Jul 15, 2020 8:40am
That looks like a rejection of MR2 to me, how long, I donno. Lol
Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #71,317
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:41am Jul 15, 2020 8:41am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} based on your experience, which level works best?
Levels started with RU prefix + daily PP.. that usually where I focus on ..RU R3 or RU S3 usually hold the day high or day low , off by a few pips...
  • #71,318
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:44am Jul 15, 2020 8:44am
Quoting Boulder
Eu 7/15/2020 trading levels.. next to print 1424 or 1383 RU R3 ----------1.1485 DP R3 ----------1.1461 MP R2 ----------1.1451 RU R2 ----------1.1447 WP R3 ----------1.1432 DP R2 ----------1.1429 RU R1 ----------1.1424 DP R1 ----------1.1409 WP R2 ----------1.1383 DP PP ----------1.1377 RU S1 ----------1.1377 MP R1 ----------1.1375 RU S2 ----------1.1354 WP R1 ----------1.1353 DP S1 ----------1.1345 DP S2 ----------1.1325
levels printed so far, 61 adr atm.. next to print 1461 or 1383

RU R3 ----------1.1485
DP R3 ----------1.1461
MP R2 ----------1.1451
RU R2 ----------1.1447
WP R3 ----------1.1432
DP R2 ----------1.1429
RU R1 ----------1.1424
DP R1 ----------1.1409
WP R2 ----------1.1383
DP PP ----------1.1377
  • #71,319
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:44am Jul 15, 2020 8:44am
Quoting gellowmellow
That looks like a rejection of MR2 to me, how long, I donno. Lol
Market makers killing people left and right. Collecting long and short stops. Gotta look at index for clues for true direction. At least nowadays index is where the money is at. FX is just following.
  • #71,320
  • Jul 15, 2020 8:44am Jul 15, 2020 8:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yes,, but month needs to close above 1486, or it will fall. To break and close above usually takes several tries.. lots of volatility. It hasn't been there since March.
dont misread this.. it can go hundreds of pips above 1485. Then close below it.. let lower tf change.. even than, expect stops to be hit. starting with 1 min to day/week.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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