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Justin's Playground

  • #2,521
  • Apr 10, 2020 7:41pm Apr 10, 2020 7:41pm
Easy to understand, short video:
Reinforcement Learning for Trading Practical Examples and Lessons Learned by Dr. Tom Starke
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Still long long way to go.......
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,522
  • Apr 16, 2020 12:17am Apr 16, 2020 12:17am
Futures Calendar Spread Trading Strategy

Quite interesting low risk arbitrage idea..... not sure if it can be applicable to small retail traders.... Let me try...
https://www.investopedia.com/article...ain-market.asp
https://www.danielstrading.com/2019/...spread-trading
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,523
  • Apr 19, 2020 6:29pm Apr 19, 2020 6:29pm
FF is absolute waste of time. See you next year. If you don't see me next year, you can believe I am done with trading.
Keep dreaming and enjoy your dunning-krugering. Life is so wonderful !!!
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,524
  • Apr 20, 2020 9:02am Apr 20, 2020 9:02am
Quoting heispark
FF is absolute waste of time. See you next year. If you don't see me next year, you can believe I am done with trading. Keep dreaming and enjoy your dunning-krugering. Life is so wonderful !!! {image}
I think that you are wrong stating that FF is an absolute waste of time because I still believe that traders are in FF to help each others. Instead you should say that some FF members exclusively promoting their own garbage or their own warped visions are a waste of time and, unfortunately, there are many of them. In any case, if you stop posting never stop trading because, if you treat trading as a business, it's the best business in the world. This is because you can live very well and you "work" only when you feel like it. I'm looking forward to wish you a happy new year when you come back
  • #2,525
  • Apr 20, 2020 5:33pm Apr 20, 2020 5:33pm
Quoting heispark
Futures Calendar Spread Trading Strategy Quite interesting low risk arbitrage idea..... not sure if it can be applicable to small retail traders.... Let me try... https://www.investopedia.com/article...ain-market.asp https://www.danielstrading.com/2019/...spread-trading https://youtu.be/wzWE_-7q6WQ
Before I leave.....

This is surreal.... Zero was not the bottom! Can I see this again in my life? Whoever bet /CL spread on May/June contracts, they sure have blown their accounts and companies. Markets are becoming more and more unstable and we are seeing more black swans. We need to reduce market exposures. Extended market exposure is a huge risk.

(/CLK - Crude Oil May Contract)
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,526
  • Apr 21, 2020 4:15am Apr 21, 2020 4:15am
Quoting heispark
{quote} Before I leave..... This is surreal.... Zero was not the bottom! Can I see this again in my life? Whoever bet /CL spread on May/June contracts, they sure have blown their accounts and companies. Markets are becoming more and more unstable and we are seeing more black swans. We need to reduce market exposures. Extended market exposure is a huge risk. (/CLK - Crude Oil May Contract) {image}
Traders that sold puts on CLK20 WTI last week or before made a killing. I wonder if the CLM20 (June) will also go down the tube when CLK20 expires. In any case All traded CLx contracts until December 2028 went down.
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  • #2,527
  • Jul 1, 2020 6:30am Jul 1, 2020 6:30am
Quoting heispark
FF is absolute waste of time. See you next year. If you don't see me next year, you can believe I am done with trading. Keep dreaming and enjoy your dunning-krugering. Life is so wonderful !!! {image}
Ok, I lied. I cannot wait until next year. My big mouth is itching.... So, let me resume dumping all the rubbish again ... Stay tuned.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,528
  • Jul 1, 2020 6:33am Jul 1, 2020 6:33am
I am a big fan of old Russian songs and music although I don't speak Russian.

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Ludmila Senchina
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,529
  • Jul 1, 2020 6:41am Jul 1, 2020 6:41am
I am waiting my $150 (deposit was $100) IC Market account blows off. I don't need Forex account anymore. It's WCU (World Currency Unit) based trading. I've waited for more than two months but it's still alive.... Is $150 account too big to fail?
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,530
  • Jul 1, 2020 7:08am Jul 1, 2020 7:08am
Natural Gas is potentially very good to buy in the mid-long term basis: https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/a...day-ema-658376
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,531
  • Jul 1, 2020 7:55am Jul 1, 2020 7:55am
/NGU0-/NGQ0 (/NG Sep-Aug spread) vs. /NGQ0 DOM comparison:

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Exchange supported spread has much bigger liquidity. In my opinion, spread trading is not a zero sum game as rollover cost is the cost real consumers eager to pay for storage for future deliveries.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,532
  • Jul 1, 2020 8:02am Jul 1, 2020 8:02am
I finally ditched MT4, Bookmap and Sierra Chart. Now I use MotiveWave, Thinkorswim and Journalytix only. Data is Rithmic, broker is AMP Futures (I am considering to change it to Advantage Futures if AMP cannot support spread trading properly.)
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,533
  • Edited 3:31pm Jul 1, 2020 8:13am | Edited 3:31pm
Quoting heispark
When you go to trade copy service providers such as zulutrade, myfxbook or mql5, you can see abundant of gamblers with deep DD. Let me show you a random example I picked up from one of those providers. If you see the following picture, you may see he is a quite good trader until it finally hits huge loss in mid 2017: {image} However, when you see the following picture with drawdown overlapped, now you may not agree: {image} Without showing DD in open positions, the equity curve means nothing. Serious money never can allow such huge DD. Be careful...
Quoting heispark
{quote} Actually, he lied from the beginning. I knew he always used high leverage. He left too many clues..... {image}{image}{image}{image} https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...2#post12247602 https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...4#post12279024 https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12242598 https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...5#post11184355
(Watch from timeline 6:00)
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,534
  • Jul 1, 2020 8:18am Jul 1, 2020 8:18am
Quoting heispark
Futures Calendar Spread Trading Strategy Quite interesting low risk arbitrage idea..... not sure if it can be applicable to small retail traders.... Let me try... https://www.investopedia.com/article...ain-market.asp https://www.danielstrading.com/2019/...spread-trading https://youtu.be/wzWE_-7q6WQ
Another good video for spread trading:
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,535
  • Jul 1, 2020 8:38am Jul 1, 2020 8:38am
Quoting heispark
{quote} Ok, I lied. I cannot wait until next year. My big mouth is itching.... So, let me resume dumping all the rubbish again ... Stay tuned.
It wasn't a lie you just had a slip of the tongue Welcome back
  • #2,536
  • Jul 1, 2020 8:59am Jul 1, 2020 8:59am
Quoting heispark
{quote} Another good video for spread trading: https://youtu.be/0IUSAVXa45I
Looking at the two trading videos convinced me that I'm better off sticking with trading current prices since I know exactly what the real price is when I trade.
  • #2,537
  • Edited 2:44pm Jul 1, 2020 2:12pm | Edited 2:44pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} Looking at the two trading videos convinced me that I'm better off sticking with trading current prices since I know exactly what the real price is when I trade.
Yes, if you know how to bet market directions, that should be the best way to trade. Unfortunately, I have proved I wasn't good at doing that in the past, so I am happy I found spread trading (actually, I even don't call it a 'trading'. It's just some easy collection of arbitrage with only occasional risks such as recent Crude Oil collapse which significantly widened spread). Especially, I like the fact that I don't need to spend much time watching charts now. It gave me some heart trouble recently.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,538
  • Jul 1, 2020 3:56pm Jul 1, 2020 3:56pm
Quoting heispark
Natural Gas is potentially very good to buy in the mid-long term basis: https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/a...day-ema-658376
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,539
  • Jul 1, 2020 4:14pm Jul 1, 2020 4:14pm
Tweets useful to Natural Gas trading....
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
  • #2,540
  • Jul 2, 2020 3:51pm Jul 2, 2020 3:51pm
Hotter summer is expected => Higher Nat Gas price
https://www.natgasweather.com/wp-con...rt_July1_v.pdf

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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
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