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The Swamp

  • #69,441
  • Jun 25, 2020 2:54pm Jun 25, 2020 2:54pm
Bank stress test... Does anyone really believe the Fed will allow fear to enter the market with a scary report?

Everything is A-ok (If you know what I mean), and that means no reason to protect from risk & we can increase share buy backs to further inflate asset prices.

*Just be ready in case the players interpret the "no stress" results as a risk-on play.*

--Any other scenario would blow my mind (Banks -report- lots of "stress to the system"), but in the almost zero likelihood that something like that happened it would most likely be really big USD/Yen time.
  • #69,442
  • Jun 25, 2020 4:29pm Jun 25, 2020 4:29pm
Quoting mmccormac
Bank stress test... Does anyone really believe the Fed will allow fear to enter the market with a scary report? Everything is A-ok (If you know what I mean), and that means no reason to protect from risk & we can increase share buy backs to further inflate asset prices. *Just be ready in case the players interpret the "no stress" results as a risk-on play.* --Any other scenario would blow my mind (Banks -report- lots of "stress to the system"), but in the almost zero likelihood that something like that happened it would most likely be really big...
Still scratching for each pip. A week close -1169, I think would be positive for eu bears. Pa would still need to take out 200 day. I think a close below 1169 may shift the week balance. I think its close to shift there. 1165 more usd positive. I may need to tweak a little lower when (if it gets closer) closer. I dont think its too far off. lc signaled a retest of Friday lows. It did do that late Friday. I'm betting if has more to go.

Atm pa is 42 pips from 1169. An h close -1184 is a start, -1124 better.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,443
  • Jun 25, 2020 4:51pm Jun 25, 2020 4:51pm
Lets see what Friday's got. The gold up channel, still has residual power.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,444
  • Edited 6:44pm Jun 25, 2020 6:27pm | Edited 6:44pm
EU 6/26/202 trading levels...next to print 1230 or 1196

DP R3 ----------1.1292
RU R3 ----------1.1281
DP R2 ----------1.1265
DP R1 ----------1.1249
RU R2 ----------1.1249
MP R2 ----------1.1240
WP PP ----------1.1233
RU R1 ----------1.1230
DP PP ----------1.1223
DP S1 ----------1.1196
RU S1 ----------1.1192
DP S2 ----------1.1180
RU S2 ----------1.1173
WP S1 ----------1.1162
DP S3 ----------1.1154
MP R1 ----------1.1151
RU S3 ----------1.1142
  • #69,445
  • Jun 25, 2020 7:28pm Jun 25, 2020 7:28pm
EU looks like 12800 today. Its a bit of a stretch but i think its possible.. I will have to wait until rates come out..
  • #69,446
  • Jun 25, 2020 7:37pm Jun 25, 2020 7:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Still scratching for each pip. A week close -1169, I think would be positive for eu bears. Pa would still need to take out 200 day. I think a close below 1169 may shift the week balance. I think its close to shift there. 1165 more usd positive. I may need to tweak a little lower when (if it gets closer) closer. I dont think its too far off. lc signaled a retest of Friday lows. It did do that late Friday. I'm betting if has more to go. Atm pa is 42 pips from 1169. An h close -1184 is a start, -1124 better.
add.. -1113 ny close would be best.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,447
  • Edited 8:31pm Jun 25, 2020 8:13pm | Edited 8:31pm
Quoting q_import
EU looks like 12800 today. Its a bit of a stretch but i think its possible.. I will have to wait until rates come out..
NZD Rates positive looks like EU may rise waiting for AUD rates
AUD is reacting positive to NZD rates
  • #69,448
  • Jun 25, 2020 8:26pm Jun 25, 2020 8:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} add.. -1113 ny close would be best.
fyi..
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  • #69,449
  • Jun 25, 2020 8:28pm Jun 25, 2020 8:28pm
Quoting Boulder
S refill 1219, pending 1226.. .triggered...
TP out 1209 +10
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  • #69,450
  • Jun 25, 2020 8:36pm Jun 25, 2020 8:36pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} fyi.. {image}
Shrinking meaning they rained in some liquidity.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,451
  • Jun 25, 2020 8:42pm Jun 25, 2020 8:42pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Shrinking meaning they rained in some liquidity.
They are increasing Vol prices will spike when no one is on the otherside of the trade. gaps will become the norm for certain indexes
some stops will be jumped.. more anomalies to come..
  • #69,452
  • Jun 25, 2020 8:55pm Jun 25, 2020 8:55pm
Arkansas is predicted to have 150K active corona cases by Sept 30. That should fill up some beds. Thats 30X more than they have today. They are already stretched today. Other states who frowned upon mask will have a likely situation. https://katv.com/news/local/uams-mod...kansas-sept-30
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,453
  • Jun 25, 2020 8:59pm Jun 25, 2020 8:59pm
Quoting gatorinla
Arkansas is predicted to have 150K active corona cases by Sept 30. That should fill up some beds. Thats 30X more than they have today. They are already stretched today. Other states who frowned upon mask will have a likely situation. https://katv.com/news/local/uams-mod...kansas-sept-30
I think its amazing when the world declares the US a 2nd world country.. Political parties shut down all messages
  • #69,454
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:03pm Jun 25, 2020 9:03pm
memorial day was 1 month ago. Infections on steep rise 2 weeks later. 4 weeks later Texas governor changed his tune. 2 weeks from now, will be sad. I suspect more governors will play dumb.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,455
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:08pm Jun 25, 2020 9:08pm
Good news. Trump cures cancer. Just dont get tested for cancer.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,456
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:22pm Jun 25, 2020 9:22pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I think its amazing when the world declares the US a 2nd world country.. Political parties shut down all messages
Europe is already wanting to close up to u.s... China quarantines us for 14 days. We are not the cool kids. Trump turned us into a third world country.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,457
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:22pm Jun 25, 2020 9:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
memorial day was 1 month ago. Infections on steep rise 2 weeks later. 4 weeks later Texas governor changed his tune. 2 weeks from now, will be sad. I suspect more governors will play dumb.
It all depends on the culture of the community. The more everyone shares the same beliefs the more open an honest you can be. The more diverse the belief systems the more you will offend with your honesty. So playing it dumb means to me the reporters are ill informed or lack educated ways to frame questions in a way to extract the information needed or they want a pay check and dont care..or they agree and dont want to push the issue..
  • #69,458
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:29pm Jun 25, 2020 9:29pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} It all depends on the culture of the community. The more everyone shares the same beliefs the more open an honest you can be. The more diverse the belief systems the more you will offend with your honesty. So playing it dumb means to me the reporters are ill informed or lack educated ways to frame questions in a way to extract the information needed or they want a pay check and dont care..
its not the reporters fault the morons ignore. What the scientist have told them. Lets not blame the reporters for Governors acting ignorant for politics. I dont give them a out, or blame others, for their stupidity. People are needlessly dying because of this. The governors or Trump get no sympathy from me. They are risking my life and my family's to suck Trump's ass. I will be happy to see all of them off the taxpayers dime.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #69,459
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:38pm Jun 25, 2020 9:38pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its not the reporters fault the morons ignore. What the scientist have told them. Lets not blame the reporters for Governors acting ignorant for politics. I dont give them a out, or blame others, for their stupidity. People are needlessly dying because of this. The governors or Trump get no sympathy from me. They are risking my life and my family's to suck Trump's ass. I will be happy to see all of them off the taxpayers dime.
I think you just said it.. Why are they asking governors and governesses about health issues..
People are looking for leadership from the wrong group..
These people govern the community as a CEO of a company. You dont ask CEO CFO questions.. its miss direction..
A CEO keeps things running the CFO keeps the books (Just for arguement sake).
Ask the CEO about the books.. He dont know its a canned response.
The CEO was trying to get investments going to keep the company afloat he doesn't know anything he is busy using people CC to fill up the jet to get money flowing into the company..
Ask the CFO you will get your answer..
  • #69,460
  • Jun 25, 2020 9:51pm Jun 25, 2020 9:51pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I think you just said it.. Why are they asking governors and governesses about health issues.. People are looking for leadership from the wrong group.. These people govern the community as a CEO of a company. You dont ask CEO CFO questions.. its miss direction..
Calling them a CEO is misdirection. Their job involves much more than a CEO does.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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